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Kansas vs. Oklahoma State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-16-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#375 Kansas
Jayhawks 17.5
#376 Oklahoma State
Cowboys -17.5

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas

3 - 6

4-5
ATS
5-4
O/U
25
PPG
33
OPPG

Oklahoma State

6 - 3

6-2
ATS
5-4
O/U
37
PPG
29
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Under Les Miles, the Kansas Jayhawks have improved their overall performance. In their last two games, they nearly beat No. 15 Texas on the road and beat Texas Tech at home. They had a bye week this past Saturday and now they'll travel to Stillwater to play the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

The game will be played at 12:00 P.M ET on Fox Sports 1.

Oklahoma State has had their own success this year and they're also coming off a bye week. The Cowboys are rounding out the AP poll at No. 25 thanks to a 6-3 record thus far. Notable wins for the 'Boys include a road win against No. 23 Iowa State and a home win against No. 24 Kansas State.

The Jayhawks haven't beaten Oklahoma State this decade, going 0-9 since 2010.

Jayhawks Rising Under Miles

The Kansas Jayhawks were the laughingstock of the Big 12 for a long time. Under new head coach Les Miles, that has changed. The Jayhawks beat Boston College and Texas Tech this year, and games against a nationally ranked Texas team and West Virginia were decided by just one score. They'll have to win out to appear in a bowl game but the culture is changing and that's what is important.

The offense for Kansas wasn't great to start the season, scoring less than 25 points four times in their first six games. The lackluster performance resulted in the firing of their offensive coordinator and the promotion of Brent Dearmon, who was an offensive consultant. Since Dearmon took over, the team has hit its stride by using more run-pass options and more unique looks. In the three games since Dearmon took over, the team is averaging 31.6 points per game.

Last game was a step back for quarterback Carter Stanley. It was a big rivalry game and Stanley had a really bad game, completing less than 60 percent of his passes with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. For the season, Stanley has a 19:7 touchdown-to-interception rate so it was more an outlier than anything. In the four games prior, he had thrown 11 touchdowns to just one interception.

Cowboys Looking For 3rd Straight W

There hasn't been a lot of press about Oklahoma State this year because other Big 12 teams have taken the spotlight. Under the radar, though, the Cowboys are bowl eligible once again and ranked nationally at No. 22. They have won their last two games but have a 3-3 conference record.

OSU's defense allows a lot of points, which isn't surprising for a Big 12 team. The Cowboys rank seventh in the Big 12 in both points allowed per game (29.7) and yards per game (438.2).

On the bright side, they have a big edge against Kansas because the Cowboys have the best running game in the entire conference, averaging 267.7 rush yards per game. Against Kansas, they should explode because the Jayhawks have been eaten alive by running backs and running quarterbacks. They are the worst rush defense in the Big 12 and are the only program allowing more than 200 rush yards per game. Also, Tylan Wallace, the Cowboys leading receiver, is out for the season so that could hinder the passing attack and have the team focus more on the ground game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The public is all over Oklahoma State in this game and that just goes to show you how undervalued the Jayhawks are. Let's get this straight: this isn't the same Kansas team people are used to seeing. They have a world-class head coach in Les Miles and he has them playing hard every weekend. Of their nine games, only three have been defeats by more than 17 points, and it won't be four by the end of the weekend. Kansas' offense is humming with their new OC and Oklahoma State is a poor defense that ranks eighth in the Big 12 in passing yards allowed. That's Kansas' bread and butter; Carter Stanley has been above average this year and he's primed for a breakout game after his worst game last weekend. Additionally, the Jayhawks are simply overdue for a cover after just three ATS wins in their last 16 meetings.

Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks +17.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I'm normally a handicapper that likes taking the under but I can't help myself here. This game has shootout written all over it. The Cowboys have an awful pass defense and the Jayhawks have an awful run defense. Both offenses can make it rain and push the ball down the field so I see this game getting into the 40's on both sides. After all, it's not a coincidence that the last four meetings between the two teams have resulted in totals over the posted number.

Prediction: Over 67

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

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