Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
When: Saturday, November 16, 2019, 3:30 pm ET
We have a Big-12 matchup to discuss when the West Virginia Mountaineers meet the #16 ranked Kansas State Wildcats. Saturday marks the tenth meeting between the two schools with Kansas State holding a narrow, 5-4 edge in their rivalry. West Virginia buried the Wildcats in last seasons’ football game by a score of 35-6 for its third consecutive victory over Kansas State.
West Virginia Rebuild Almost CompleteWest Virginia is 3-6 this season and will likely miss out on a bowl invitation, and its 1-5 Big-12 record won’t help them either. They enter this game hoping to erase a five-game losing streak and have a 0-3 record this season against Top 25 teams, and that will make things interesting for them against the #24 ranked Kansas State Wildcats this Saturday.
If the Mountaineers are to win this game, they will have to run the football. The Wildcats allow 172 rushing yards per game, and West Virginia has a pair of backs they hope can get the job done. Sophomore running back Leddie Brown has 227 rushing yards with a touchdown plus an additional 62 receiving yards. Kennedy McKoy has 220 rushing yards with three trips to the end zone.
K-State allows 194.8 passing yards per game and Mountaineers junior quarterback Austin Kendall has thrown for 1989 yards, 12 touchdowns with ten interceptions. He’s also rushed for an additional 91 yards with one touchdown and 12 sacks.
Kendall has three primary targets he likes to throw to this season. Freshman wide receiver Sam James has 58 receptions for 623 yards and two touchdowns. Junior wideout T.J. Simmons has 409 receiving yards with four touchdowns along with senior wide receiver George Campbell and his 285 receiving yards with four touchdowns.
K-State Looking to Close Out StrongK-State has won three of its last five games and is 1-0 this season against fellow top 25 schools. Their 3-3 Big-12 record isn’t going to win the conference title, but their 6-3 overall record might get them an invitation to a postseason bowl game. With its final three games against unranked opponents, K-State has a great chance to finish the season with a 9-3 record, but they have to beat Virginia Tech before any of that happens.
West Virginia allows 248.9 passing yards per game, and the Wildcats will look to junior quarterback Skylar Thompson to lead the way. Thompson has thrown for 1589 yards with nine touchdowns and one interception. Thompson has also rushed for 331 yards with ten touchdowns and 16 sacks.
Thompson has three primary targets this season; senior wide receiver Dalton Schoen has 457 receiving yards with three touchdowns and a team-high 30 receptions. Freshman wide receiver Malik Knowles has 325 receiving yards and three scores. Sophomore tight end Nick Lenners has 137 yards with a pair of scores this season.
West Virginia allows 172 rushing yards per game, and the Wildcats senior running back James Gilbert is probably salivating at this opportunity. Gilbert has rushed for 558 yards with five touchdowns. Junior running back Harry Trotter has 256 rushing yards with three touchdowns plus Jordon Brown has 241 rushing yards with three scores this season.
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on FieldTurf.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are:
- Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Mountaineers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I'm sensing a blowout here. K-State got whipped last week by a beatable team, and I suspect those kids have been hearing about it all week. The Wildcats are the better offense as well as a better defense, and they will dominate the Mountaineers. West Virginia is rebuilding, and they will be fine next season, but they are no match for Kansas State in this one.
I will play the Wildcats to cover the spread.
Prediction: K-State -14 Points
Full-Game Total Pick
K-State is going to stick it to the Mountaineers as they don't want a repeat of last weekend. The Wildcat defense is halfway decent and they will stop this West Virginia team because they want to go to a bowl game. The Wildcats offense is good enough to cover the spread but they aren't great enough to run up the score against West Virginia.
I will play the UNDER in this game.
Prediction: Under 47.5 Points