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Ohio U vs. Bowling Green Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-19-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#101 Ohio U
Bobcats -18.5
#102 Bowling Green
Falcons 18.5

Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Ohio U

4 - 6

2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
29
PPG
29
OPPG

Bowling Green

3 - 7

3-7
ATS
2-8
O/U
16
PPG
34
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Tuesday night MACtion returns with a matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and the visiting Ohio Bobcats. Bowling Green was blown out at Miami (OH) 44-3 Wednesday night but get to return home, where it won two of its last three. Ohio fell to Western Michigan 37-34 in overtime Wednesday after scoring a final-minute touchdown in regulation to tie the game.

Bowling Green's offensive struggles continued against Miami with the Falcons turning the ball over three times -- all interceptions. Junior quarterback Grant Loy could not find much accuracy with his throws. He's now tossed five touchdowns versus 10 picks. Ohio and Western Michigan traded blows for four quarters before the Broncos held the Bobcats to a field goal in overtime and then ran in a game-winning touchdown. Senior quarterback Nathan Rourke threw for a pair of touchdowns and 225 yards in an efficient performance.

Bobcats look to keep bowl hopes alive

The Ohio Bobcats suffered their second straight loss by three points with a tough overtime defeat to Western Michigan last Tuesday. Ohio deserves credit for coming back and tying the game in the final seconds of regulation but a senior night loss to the West-division leading Broncos will sting for awhile. Ohio now needs to win two straight road games over Bowling Green and Akron to reach bowl eligibility.

Ohio's tepid passing attack has improved in recent weeks and needs to be sharp for the Bobcats to come out on top against the Falcons. Quarterback Nathan Rourke threw for a pair of touchdowns against WMU including a 12-yarder with nine seconds left in regulation to tie the score at 31-all. Rourke has the second-highest quarterback rating in the conference. He's also run for 10 touchdowns and 718 yards.

Defensively, Ohio ranks eighth in the MAC allowing 432.6 yards per game. The Bobcats struggle with pass defensive efficiency in particular. Ohio gave up 477 yards to Western Michigan including 332 through the air. Fortunately for the Bobcats, Bowling Green is one of the league's worst passing teams. Senior safety Javon Hagan leads the team with 92 tackles.

Bowling Green happy to return home

The Bowling Green Falcons are coming off arguably their worst performance of the season in a 41-point loss to Miami (Ohio). Bowling Green gave up 37 first-half points including a 79-yard Miami pick-six in the second minute of the game. It was that kind of night for quarterback Grant Loy, who threw for three interceptions and just 90 yards. To no surprise, the Falcons are among the worst passing teams in the nation.

Bowling Green's rushing game is its bread and butter and the running back unit deserves credit for tallying 185 yards against Miami. Junior Bryson Denley led the way with 105 yards including a long of 53. The Falcons will likely be without two backs: Andrew Clair and Davon Jones. That means more carries will go to Denley as well as Loy.

The Falcons rank second to last in scoring defense in the conference with 34.8 points allowed per game. The rush defense allows over 211 yards on average. One area where the Falcons excel defensively is sacks as they rank fourth in the league with 24. Senior linebacker Brandon Perce has 93 tackles, fifth-most in the MAC.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Bowling Green Falcons are coming off a 41-point loss so it's understandable why Vegas and many bettors would be weary of expecting them to cover, even if it's a pretty large spread. Don't get me wrong, the Falcons are a bad team, but I think they'll keep this game within a couple of possessions. They've won two of their last three at home and the loss to Central Michigan came by 18 points. CMU is 5-2 in the MAC whereas Ohio is 3-3. Go with Bowling Green here.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons +20

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Neither offense is very dependable as of late but especially not Bowling Green, which scored just three points against Miami (Ohio). It's topped 20 points against one FBS opponent all season. Ohio's offense has done a little bit better but keep in mind that the under is 4-1 in the Bobcats' last 5 road games. The under sound likes the appealing pick here.

Prediction: Under 45

Ezra Amacher

Ezra Amacher is a professional sportswriter with a decade's worth of experience working for websites and newspapers. He enjoys meticulously analyzing matchups to give readers just what they need to know. Ezra has now brought his talents to us here at StatSalt. He currently resides in the Las Vegas area.

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