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Duke Blue Devils vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Where and when: BB&T Field, Winston Salem, North Carolina, Saturday, 7:30 pm EST
The Duke Blue Devils will travel to BB&T Field in Winston Salem, North Carolina, for a 7:30 pm EST showdown with the 19th ranked Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Saturday afternoon. PointsBet.com have the Demon Deacons favored early by 7 points while the total has been set at 51 points. After the Blue Devils had early success for the decade, the Demon Deacons have picked up wins in two of their last three contests versus Duke. Important to note that Wake Forest is also 0-4 SU versus the Blue Devils in their last four at BB&T Field, with Duke covering in all four contests.
After beginning the season at 3-1 however, the Blue Devils have been on a slide in losing five of their last six, overall, including four straight. They remain to have a slim opportunity to make a bowl game at 6-6 if they are to pick up a win on the road this weekend while also getting a home finale win over the Miami Hurricanes next weekend. Unfortunately, Duke is 2-3 ATS on the road this year in addition to entering this contest with a record of 1-5 in their last six outings against the number.
Wake Forest is already bowl eligible with seven wins on the year; However, they were humbled in a huge way on the road against a highly-talented Clemson Tigers last weekend. The win dropped the Demon Deacons to fourth-place within the Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic division. And while the team will close out the year with a road matchup versus the Syracuse Orange next weekend, they have yet to win against the spread away from BB&T Field. As for home matchups ATS in 2019, the Demon Deacons happen to be winners in four of their last five games, overall. Important to note that the underdog is 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings amongst these teams.
Harris and passing game needs to do more for Blue DevilsThe passing attack for Duke has not been consistent this year in ranking 109th in the nation. Senior Quintin Harris, despite throwing for over 1700 yards along with 14 touchdowns, has completed just under 60% of his passes on the season in addition to throwing ten picks. Fortunately for the Blue Devils, rain is expected in Winston Salem, thus meaning that Duke can attempt to unleash their 77th ranked rushing attack that is accumulating 155 yards per game.
Junior Deon Jackson has been special in the backfield for the Blue Devils in racking up 571 yards on the year with 7 TD’s. However, the running back has not rushed for 100 yards this year while also not crossing the plane for a touchdown in four games. And while Duke will certainly need to take advantage of a Wake Forest run defense that is allowing 165 yards per game to opponents, this feat may become a bit more difficult if tackle Robert Kraeling, who is questionable with a leg injury, is unable to suit up for his second straight contest. Center Jack Wahlabaugh continues to be out indefinitely with an ankle ailment.
Defensively, Duke has allowed 87 points, total, in losses to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish along with the Syracuse Orange, each blowout in front of their home crowd. Collectively, the unit has played much better on the road in 2019 as the Blue Devils, despite allowing 48 points in a loss versus the Virginia Cavaliers, allowed an average of 16 points in their prior three road matchups.
Too many mistakes for Demon Deacons versus TigersWake Forest’s coach Dave Clawson summed up his feelings on the Demon Deacon’s loss to the Clemson Tigers in stating that, “Clemson executed well and we didn’t. A lot of things we did are fixable and correctable. That’s why we practice. We watch the film on Sunday and make the corrections. Whether you win a last-second, emotional game or lose a game like that on Saturday, you have to move forward”.
Wake Forest had two picks from QB Jamie Newman (2338 yards, 22 TD’s, 9 INT’s) as their passing attack was only good for 41 yards. On the other hand, its rushing attack, which is averaging 162 yards per game, only put up 64 yards, total, with Kendrell Flowers leading the way with a whopping 27 yards on 9 carries. The blowout loss to the Tigers halted a four-game streak to where Newman threw for at least 200 yards along with at least two touchdown passes. With sophomore Sage Suratt (1001 yards, 11 TD’s) out for the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury along with Scotty Washington (607 yards, 7 TD’s) being questionable with an ankle injury, the passing attack may well suffer yet again versus a Duke defense that has really done well in defending the pass in ranking 25th in the nation (194 yards per game).
Play on defense for Wake Forest has also been atrocious in their last two outings as they allowed a total of 88 points to the Virginia Tech Hokies along with Clemson. However, the unit has allowed 20 or less to opponents in four of their six home games this year. Furthermore, the Demon Deacons have come up short in four-straight games at home versus the Blue Devils; However, they have covered in two of their last three meetings, including last year in a 59-7 road win as 9.5-point favorites.
- No trends to report
- Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Duke’s offense may be shorthanded with two of their offensive lineman possibly not suiting up. Also, the Blue Devils have not been able to stop the rush at all this year. With Suratt out for the year, expect the home team to redevelop a rushing attack that can possibly take the heat off a Newman. And despite the season that he has had, with two costly interceptions in last week’s loss, Newman proved to many that the spotlight was a bit much.
Prediction: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -7
Full-Game Total Pick
With the under being the play in two of the last three matchups between these two teams along with the result in two of the last three contests in Winston Salem, one can certainly expect a much better defensive effort after each of these teams were destroyed in this area last weekend. Make no mistake, neither of these defenses have been able to consistently stop their opponent all year long. With that being the case, do not expect either to dominate on the defensive end on Saturday. However, this is indeed a game that the Blue Devils certainly remember while the Demon Deacons should be itching to get back onto the field to avenge a terrible loss to the Tigers.
Prediction: Under 51