Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Raymond James Stadium
When: Saturday, November 23, 2019, 4:00 pm ET
We have an American Athletic Conference matchup to consider for Saturday afternoon when the #18 ranked Memphis Tigers meet the South Florida Bulls for the tenth time in school history. Memphis leads the series 5-4 with the Tigers losing to the Bulls last season 49-42. Memphis needs a win here to stay in the hunt for the AAC title, and all eyes will be on this one.
Memphis Four Game Winning StreakThe #18 Memphis Tigers are having an excellent season, and a 9-1 overall record along with a 5-1 mark in the American Athletic Conference is good for first place in the AAC. The Tigers enter this game riding a four-game winning streak, and with a bowl invite almost assured, all that’s left is winning the AAC. A win this Saturday is a massive step in that direction.
Head Coach Mike Norvell weekly press conference video is available at the link below. Always informative and a must watch!https://t.co/UYww4c83pj— Memphis Football (@MemphisFB) November 19, 2019
South Florida allows 194 rushing yards per game this season, and Memphis will look to frosh sensation Kenneth Gainwell to do the brunt of the damage on the ground. Gainwell has rushed for 1166 yards with a dozen touchdowns along with an extra 463 receiving yards and three trips to pay dirt. Sophomore running back Kylan Watkins has 314 rushing yards with three touchdowns with 40 receiving yards and a touchdown.
The Bulls pass defense allows 173.2 passing yards per contest, and Memphis junior quarterback Brady White has thrown for 2852 yards with 28 touchdowns alongside five interceptions this season. White has also been sacked 17 times this season, and that could become problematic as the Bulls have 27 sacks this season.
White has three primary receivers putting in work; junior wideout Damonte Coxie has 765 receiving yards with seven touchdowns, senior Antonio Gibson has 574 yards with seven touchdowns, and senior Kedarian Jones has 366 receiving yards with three touchdowns this season.
Bulls Hoping to Play Spoiler to MemphisThe Bulls won’t likely receive a bowl invite with a 4-6 record, and at 2-4 in the AAC, it’s unlikely they will win the conference, but they can play the spoiler role on Saturday. South Florida has lost three of its last five games but did manage a solid win at home over BYU. Memphis is up first followed by its season finale with USF, and if they want to finish .500 this season, they need back to back upsets to pull that off.
"We have a really unbelievable group of seniors. This group has done a really good job of representing this university and playing at a high level." - @CoachStrong_USF— USF Football (@USFFootball) November 18, 2019
News & Notes ahead of Saturday's clash with No. 18 Memphis.#BullStronghttps://t.co/gFBAlTCxZN
Memphis allows 210 passing yards per game, and the Bulls will look to freshman quarterback Jordan McCloud. The frosh signal-caller has thrown for 1268 yards, 12 touchdowns with six interceptions. McCloud has rushed for 250 yards and four touchdowns with 28 sacks, and that might be a problem as Memphis has recorded 22 sacks this season.
Senior tight end Mitchell Wilcox leads the Bulls with 338 receiving yards and five touchdowns this season. Sophomore wideout Randall St Felix has 20 receptions for 252 yards with a pair of touchdowns, and sophomore wide receiver Bryce Miller has 228 receiving yards with four scores this season.
The Tigers allow 170 rushing yards per game and senior running back Jordan Cronkrite has rushed for 686 yards with four touchdowns alongside 134 receiving yards and does the majority of the work for the Bulls backfield.
- Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are:
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Memphis is going to beat South Florida through the air and punish them on the ground, and the Bulls won't be able to do much about it. The Tigers defense isn't that great, but the Bulls won't be able to walk all over them. Outscoring the opposition is what Memphis does, and South Florida doesn't have a good enough defense to stop them. Gainwell is the real deal, as is White, and the two will lead the Tigers to a victory large enough to cover the spread. I will play Memphis to cover the spread in this contest.
Prediction: Memphis -14
Full-Game Total Pick
There isn't going to be much defense played in this one, and if the game ends at 48-21, and that's how I think this game is likely to end, then Memphis will have covered the spread, and the game will exceed the total. The Bulls can't stop the run at all, and Gainwell is one of the best, and I expect him to go off in this matchup. The Bulls don't stop the pass very well, and Memphis might be a bit better defensively, but I see South Florida scoring at least three touchdowns. I will play the OVER in this game.
Prediction: Over 59.5