Featured Video from Scott Reichel
#215 San Diego State at #216 Hawaii
When and where: Nov. 23, 2019. Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HA, 11 p.m.
This game between San Diego State and Hawa ii could be to decide the Mountain West Conference West Division title, although Nevada stillhas a shot at it as well. If the Aztecs (8-2) win or tie, they clinch the title. If Hawaii wins, there could possibly be a three-way tie for the title if Nevada wins its last two games.
Aztecs defense leads the way
San Diego State has lost only two games all season, but they are undefeated on the road. They’ve won five of their last six entering Saturday’s game, including last week’s 17-7 win over Fresno State.
The Bulldogs also were in contention for the MWC West Division title, but the Aztecs totally dominated on defense and had enough offense to pull it out.
Fresno scored a first-quarter touchdown to take the lead, but SDSU shut them out the rest of the way. Aztecs’ quarterback Ryan Agnew threw for 323 yards and a touchdown to lead the way. Walk-on receiver Jessie Matthews caught eight passes for 119 yards.
The Aztecs defense allows only 13.7 points per game to rank eighth nationally. They limited Fresno State’s offense, which averages 31.6 points per game to only seven.
The San Diego State offense is serviceable at 337.4 yards per game and scores 20.4 points per game. Against Fresno State, the Aztecs had a few missed opportunities with a fumble at the 2-yard-line, a blocked field goal and a touchdown that was reversed on replay.
Rainbow Warriors looking to play better at home
Hawaii went to Las Vegas last week and struggled to beat a two-win UNLV squad. Both Chevan Cordeiro and Cole McDonald played quarterback in the game. Cordeiro started but got the quick hook after throwing two interceptions that led to a 7-0 UNLV lead in the first quarter.
McDonald came in and completed 20 of 26 passes for 211 yards and also rushed for two touchdowns as the Warriors came from behind for a 21-7 win.
Pick-6! @1tez_Davis caught the tipped ball and dove into the endzone to give @HawaiiFootball the first lead of the game! This is the third pick-6 of the season, the most for Hawaii since the 2010 season. @TheRolovichShow pic.twitter.com/OUcsdWgjOk— The Nick Rolovich Show (@TheRolovichShow) November 18, 2019
The Warriors finished the game well below their 35.8 point average, which places them 21st nationally. They are 10th in total yards, averaging 492.5 yards per game. However, they give up 33.7 points per game (112th) and 431.8 yards (97th).
• Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win
• Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game
• Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against a team with a winning record
The supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
• Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game
• Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games
• Aztecs are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games on field turf
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
It’s not often you can get points with an 8-2 team playing a 7-4 squad, but that’s what you get when a team has to make that difficult trip to Hawaii. The Aztecs are only 6-4 against the spread this season, but in most of those games they have been a favorite and with a mediocre offense, they ‘ve scored just enough to win.
The defense, however, is legitimate. Even in a game they lost, they high high octane Utah State to only 23 points for the game. Last week, they held Fresno State to 24 points below their season average.
Take SDSU +2
Prediction: SDSU +2
Full-Game Total Pick
San Diego State games have gone under eight of nine games this season. Even in the one game that went over, the Aztecs and Wyoming combined to score only 48 points.
In their last past two games, the Aztecs and their opponent combined for 24 and 30 points.
Hawaii can score, but they haven’t faced a defense as good as the Aztecs this season. Last week, against a terrible UNLV defense, the Warriors managed only 21 points.
Take Under 52
Prediction: Under 52