Upcoming Free Picks

TCU vs. Oklahoma Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-23-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#137 TCU
Horned Frogs 18
#138 Oklahoma
Sooners -18

Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

TCU

5 - 5

3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
32
PPG
26
OPPG

Oklahoma

9 - 1

4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
46
PPG
25
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Oklahoma Sooners host the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday in a matchup with potential national implications. Both Oklahoma and TCU are coming off dramatic wins over the weekend. The Sooners came back from a 28-3 deficit to shock Baylor 34-31 and take the lead in the Big 12 standings. The Horned Frogs needed a late field goal for a 33-31 win at Texas Tech.

Oklahoma kept its shrinking College Football Playoff hopes with perhaps the most dramatic win of the season. Down three touchdowns at halftime, quarterback Jalen Hurts led the Sooners to 24 unanswered points including a go-ahead field goal with 1:45 remaining. TCU beat TTU in a near reversal of Oklahoma's victory. The Horned Frogs led 24-3 in the second quarter before letting the Red Raiders climb back and take leads in the third and fourth quarters. Ultimately TCU and freshman quarterback Max Duggan prevailed thanks to a late field goal drive.

Horned Frogs a win away from bowl eligibility

The TCU Horned Frogs have put together a forgettable 2019 season, but an upset win at Oklahoma would give players and fans alike a lasting memory. TCU had lost four of five games before hanging on to beat Texas Tech over the week. The Horned Frogs out-gained TTU 549-402 yards but saw their 24-3 lead vanish into a 31-30 deficit by the fourth quarter. TCU needed a go-ahead field goal to come out victorious.

With freshman Max Duggan at quarterback, folks in Fort Worth knew they could be in for a long year. Duggan had a poor start to October, throwing one touchdown to three interceptions in losses to Oklahoma State and Baylor. He looked better against TTU, completing 25-42 passes for a season-high 323 passing yards to go with two touchdowns and no interceptions. TCU is a run-first team at heart, though, and top back Darius Anderson could see anywhere from 12 to 20 carries. Anderson has been in a fierce scoring drought of late with no rushing touchdowns in the last five games.

TCU's defense allows the second-fewest yards per game in the Big 12 behind Oklahoma (351.9). The Horned Frogs are second best in pass defense efficiency, too. Nonetheless, TCU has given up far too many points in conference road contests. They gave up 34 to Oklahoma State and 49 to Iowa State. Sophomore safety Trevon Moehrig is a playmaker to watch out for; he has four interceptions and one forced fumble.

Sooners go for senior day win

The Oklahoma Sooners made a statement in their 28-3 comeback against Baylor over the weekend. Oklahoma may be on the outside looking in on the College Football Playoff race, but this is still an explosive team led by one of the best players in the nation in Jalen Hurts. There's always a way," Hurts told reporters after the game "And I think we truly believe that. I know y'all didn't think we were going to come back and win." The Alabama transfer improved his Heisman candidacy with a four-touchdown performance including two scores in the fourth quarter and another drive that set up a game-winning field goal.

Hurts could be without his top receiver Saturday, as CeeDee Lamb remains listed as questionable. Lamb has 13 touchdown grabs on the year and averages 22.3 yards per reception. Sophomore receiver Charleston Rambo is next with five touchdown receptions. Freshman tight end Austin Stogner stepped up Saturday with two receiving touchdowns. Oklahoma is also one of the nation's top rushing teams with Hurts leading the way with 983 yards and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Sophomore running back Kennedy Brooks has another 608 yards and three scores.

Defensively, OU tops the Big 12 in yards allowed per game (348). That doesn't tell the full story, though. In each of the last three games, the Sooners have had defensive meltdowns. They gave up 34 points to Kansas State in a span of two quarters, allowed 20 fourth-quarter points to Iowa State and led Baylor to drop 31 points in the first half. The goal for OU Saturday will be to play 60 minutes of consistent defense. Otherwise, the Sooners could be in for another tough game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I'm banking on the Oklahoma Sooners defense stepping up Saturday after three straight sub-par performances. What gives me this confidence is that OU faces a freshman TCU quarterback in Max Duggan. Duggan can be wildly inconsistent at times, and playing on the road against the Big 12's top overall defense in yards allowed should give him fits. Meanwhile, I expect the Sooners offense to keep on chugging along.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners -18

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Even with over being bet up a couple points since lines opened, it looks like the more attractive pick here. The Sooners rank 11th nationally with 47 points per game and get to face a TCU defense that ranks in the middle of the Big 12 in points allowed. Expect OU to come close to its season scoring average if not pass it. With the way that the Sooners defense has looked in past weeks, I don't expect anything close to them pitching a shutout. This one should go over.

Prediction: Over 65

Ezra Amacher

Ezra Amacher is a professional sportswriter with a decade's worth of experience working for websites and newspapers. He enjoys meticulously analyzing matchups to give readers just what they need to know. Ezra has now brought his talents to us here at StatSalt. He currently resides in the Las Vegas area.

Upcoming Free Picks

Monday, Dec 16
NFL
#333 Indianapolis Colts 44
#334 New Orleans Saints -9
8:15pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NBA
#579 Cleveland Cavaliers
#580 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#581 Chicago Bulls
#582 Oklahoma City Thunder
8:05pm
View Pick
#583 Miami Heat
#584 Memphis Grizzlies
8:05pm
View Pick
#585 San Antonio Spurs
#586 Houston Rockets
8:05pm
View Pick
#587 Dallas Mavericks
#588 Milwaukee Bucks
8:05pm
View Pick
#589 Portland Trail Blazers
#590 Phoenix Suns
9:05pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NCAAB
#815 Mercer
#816 UNCW
7:00pm
View Pick
#817 Valparaiso
#818 Charlotte
7:00pm
View Pick
#819 Marist
#820 Rider
7:00pm
View Pick
#821 Marshall
#822 Morehead ST.
7:00pm
View Pick
#823 S. Miss
#824 Texas Tech
7:00pm
View Pick
#825 N. Illinois
#826 Pittsburgh
7:00pm
View Pick
#837 Kent ST.
#838 Cal Irvine
7:00pm
View Pick
#827 E. Illinois
#828 W. Illinois
8:00pm
View Pick
#829 Montana ST.
#830 N. Dakota ST.
8:00pm
View Pick
#831 Evansville
#832 Jacksonville ST.
8:30pm
View Pick
#833 UCSB
#834 Idaho ST.
9:30pm
View Pick
#835 Loyola Marymount
#836 UC Davis
10:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NHL
#65 Ottawa Senators
#66 Florida Panthers
7:05pm
View Pick
#67 Nashville Predators
#68 N.Y. Rangers
7:05pm
View Pick
#69 Washington Capitals
#70 Columbus Blue Jackets
7:05pm
View Pick
#71 Colorado Avalanche
#72 St. Louis Blues
8:05pm
View Pick
#73 Edmonton Oilers
#74 Dallas Stars
8:35pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#201 Buffalo 56.5
#202 Charlotte 5.5
2:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#207 C. Michigan 40
#208 San Diego ST. -4
2:00pm
View Pick
#209 Liberty 55
#210 Georgia S. -5
2:30pm
View Pick
#211 SMU 72
#212 FAU 3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#215 Washington 49
#216 Boise ST. 3.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 22
NFL
#459 Oakland Raiders
#460 Los Angeles Chargers
4:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#223 Miami - FL
#224 Louisiana Tech
4:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#227 N. Carolina (UNC)
#228 Temple
12:00pm
View Pick
#233 USC
#234 Iowa
8:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#239 Memphis
#240 Penn ST.
12:00pm
View Pick
#241 Oklahoma
#242 LSU
4:00pm
View Pick
#243 Clemson
#244 Ohio ST.
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 30
NCAAF
#247 Louisville
#248 Mississippi St
4:00pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#253 Kentucky
#254 Virginia Tech
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Georgia ST.
#260 Wyoming
4:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#263 Michigan
#264 Alabama
1:00pm
View Pick
#265 Minnesota
#266 Auburn
1:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Jan 3
NCAAF
#275 Ohio U
#276 Nevada
3:30pm
View Pick