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#195 Tennessee at #196 Missouri
When and where: Nov. 23, 2019. Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO, 7:30 p.m.
Missouri enters the game having lost four straight, but are still a favorite over Tennessee at home. The Volunteers have won four of their past five games and are currently on a three-game winning streak. Tennessee has two games remaining to obtain bowl eligibility, so they will either need to win this week at Missouri or next week against Vanderbilt.
Vols surging as season nears end
Tennessee has beaten South Carolina, UAB and Kentucky since their loss to Alabama on Oct. 19. They are coming off a bye this week as they enter the game against Missouri.
On the season, Jarrett Guarantano has passed or 1,402 yards even though he has been limited with a hand injury. Ty Chandler has rushed for 597 and Jauan Jennings has 771 receiving yards and eight touchdowns.
The Volunteers started the season 1-4 with blowout losses to Florida (34-3) and Georgia (43-14). They have righted the ship since then, with home wins over Mississippi State (20-10), South Carolina (41-21), Alabama-Birmingham (30-7) and at Kentucky (17-13). Their only loss in this run was at Alabama (30-7).
Against Kentucky on Nov. 9, the Volunteers fell behind 13-0 in the first quarter, but then rallied for a field goal in the second quarter and two touchdowns in the third quarter while shutting out the Wildcats the rest of the way.
Guarantano threw two touchdown passes in the second half while completing only seven passes for 115 yards for the game. Marquez Callaway caught four passes for 103 yards and a touchdown in the game.
Tigers looking to end losing streak
Missouri was sitting at 5-1 and one the verge of bowl eligibility on Oct. 12, but have since lost four straight games to put that eligibility on hold. Three of those losses have been on the road, at Vanderbilt (21-14), Kentucky (29-7) and Georgia (27-0), but their most recent loss was last weekend at home against Florida (23-6).
Against Florida, Bryant completed 25 of 39 passes for 204 yards and an interception. Roundtree was held to 30 yards on seven carries. For the game, Missouri was held to only 256 total yards, with 52 coming on the ground.
Missouri had won all its home games this season prior to playing Florida last week. They have played excellent defense this season, allowing only 297.6 yards (ranked 10th) and 19.5 points (19th), even without injured linebacker Cale Garrett.
• Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game
• Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games
The supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
• Volunteers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on field turf
• Volunteers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game
• Volunteers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Missouri and Tennessee are two teams trending in completely opposite directions as the Tigers have lost four straight and the Volunteers have won four of their past five. Both teams are currently 5-5 on the season and in need of a sixth win to gain bowl eligibility with two games remaining.
While Missouri has lost four straight, their defense hasn’t given up more than 29 in an individual game. The offense, on the other hand, has scored only a combined 27 points in those four games.
Expect a close game. Missouri opened as a 6-point favorite, but that number has been bet down to 4 points. That lower number should be enough for the Tigers.
Take Missouri -4
Prediction: Missouri -4
Full-Game Total Pick
The only elite unit on the field in this game is the Missouri defense, which is ranked 10th nationally in total yards allowed and 19th in points allowed at 19.5. The Tigers offense, despite their recent woes, have a respectable 388.2 yards per game (83rd) and score 26 points per game (86th).
The Volunteers are coming off a bye week that will certainly help injured quarterback Guarantano. Tennessee has played four different quarterbacks this season.
Take Under 46
Prediction: Under 46