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UCF Knights vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Preview, and Odds
NCAAF: Friday, November 8, 2019, Skelly Field at H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma, 7:00 pm EDT
The UCF Knights are traveling to Oklahoma to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, searching for the fourth consecutive win, while the hosts are desperate to avoid the sixth straight defeat. After narrowly losing to Cincinnati, UCF connected three wins, including the most recent one over the Houston Cougars at home. The Knights improved to a 7-2 record and are in the 2nd place in the AAC East.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane, on the other hand, suffered the fifth straight defeat and third in a row on the road as they fell short to the Tulane Green Wave. They now dropped to a 2-7 record and are at the bottom of the AAC West.
These rivals met seven times in the last 11 years, and Tulsa recorded six wins, but the previous H2H encounter was in November 2016.
The Knights exploded in the third quarter to get a win over HoustonUCF trailed 23-21 at halftime against the Houston Cougars but scored 21 points and allowed none in the third quarter to secure a 44-29 victory. Freshman quarterback Dillon Gabriel impressed with 21 completions on 30 attempts for 298 yards and three touchdowns. He also added one rushing touchdown. Tre Nixon led all the receivers with six catches for 123 yards and a couple of scores. Running back Bentavious Thompson recorded 65 yards and two TDs on seven carries.
The Knights are the 2nd team in college football in total yards (551.0), and they are facing Tulsa’s defense that allows 407.3 yards per contest. The Golden Hurricane are not bad when it comes to defending the air, as they’re letting 22.0 yards to the opposing receivers. In case the Knights’ top 10 passing offense (324.9 yards per game) doesn’t work, the visitors can turn to their rushing offense that is among the top 20 teams in the country (226.1). Tulsa’s D against the run is among the worst as it is allowing 205.3 yards so that Bentavious Thompson could have a massive game on Friday.
The Golden Hurricane were scoreless in two quarters in a loss to the Green WaveTulsa failed to bounce back from a tight defeat to Memphis as they suffered the fifth consecutive loss – this time to the Tulane Green Wave, 38-26. The Golden Hurricane were kept off the scoreboard in the first and third quarter, while their defense didn’t play well, and the loss was inevitable. Junior QB Zach Smith completed 17 of 33 passes for 270 yards and one touchdown. Keylon Stokes had three receptions for 78 yards and a score, while Corey Taylor II added one touchdown on the ground.
The Golden Hurricane have a solid passing offense that averages 272.2 yards per contest. UCF is allowing 209.8 yards through the air, so the hosts will have trouble to put more than 200-250 passing yards here. Tulsa’s rushing offense is not even in the top 100 in the country (131.6), while the Knights are letting 138.6 yards per game.
- 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game
- 0-5 SU in their last five games
- 0-5 SU in their last five games vs. the American Athletic Conference opponents
The top supporting trends for this game are found on Covers.com UCF:
- 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games
- 17-3 SU in their last 20 games
- 19-1 SU in their last 20 games vs. the American Athletic Conference opponents
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am going to ignore the fact that Tulsa recorded wins in the previous two H2H duels because the last encounter was three years ago, and a lot of things changed since. UCF has the 2nd best offense in the country when it comes to total yards (551.0) and the 5th best in points per game (46.3). This matchup is far from being favorable for the Golden Hurricane, and I don’t see how they can avoid a big defeat here.
Tulsa is going to use the passing game in this one, but I am backing the Knights to keep them to around 200 yards, which will be enough for the visitors to get a comfortable win. Tulsa’s running game is not even in the top 100 in college football, so it’s clear that the hosts don’t have plenty of offensive weapons to cope with the high-scoring Knights.
Prediction: UCF Knights -17 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
UCF scored 40+ points in four of their last five games, and although they scored even 63 in the previous road game against Temple, I don’t think they will score more than 50 here. Tulsa did allow 40+ points in three of the four home games this season, and I have no doubts they will let the visitors 40+ in this one. However, the Golden Hurricane’s offense bothers me, and I don’t think it is good enough to hurt the Knight’s defense. The total is set at 70.5, which is quite big, in my opinion, and I am going with Under.
Prediction: Under 70.5 (-110)