Upcoming Free Picks

Illinois vs. Michigan State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#135 Illinois
Illini 14.5
#136 Michigan State
Spartans -14.5

Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Illinois

5 - 4

6-3
ATS
3-6
O/U
29
PPG
24
OPPG

Michigan State

4 - 4

2-6
ATS
3-5
O/U
21
PPG
21
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Illinois Fighting Illini prepare for a trip to East Lansing to face the Michigan State Spartans from the Spartan Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Both teams are on opposite ends of the form spectrum: Illinois have won their last three, while Michigan State have lost their previous three.

Illinois revive season with three straight wins

Form

After a four-game losing streak, Illinois have resuscitated their season with three straight wins. That means they are now 5-4 for the season after they beat Rutgers comprehensively 38-10 in their previous game, a win built around a solid defensive performance.

Last game

The game was tied at 10 at halftime, but Illinois changed the game in the second half. Brandon Peters was 6 of 11 for 120 yards, including a touchdown. Dele Harding led the defense with 12 tackles, and an interception return for a score. Dre Brown rushed the ball eight times for 31 yards and two touchdowns.

What was said?

"Dele, he's been that for us all year," Illinois coach Lovie Smith said. "He was feeling a little sick before the game, but he's one of our captains and a motivator for us. He's productive. We needed to flip the switch at halftime. We had opportunities early, but the takeaways just jump-started us when we needed it most."

Season outlook

Illinois have indeed flipped the switch with consistent offense that now ranks 61st in the season, with an average of 30 points per game. They have been particularly good on the ground, rushing for 163 yards, 69th in the league.

Michigan State lose three straight with total score of 100-7

Form and last game

The Spartans have lost their last three games, all to top-10 opponents. They scored a combined 17 points during these three games. In their previous game, the Spartans were thrashed 28-7 by the Penn State Nittany Lions.

What was said?

"From my perspective, we need to execute better," Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio said. "There are things that we can do from a call situation, but we've got the same -- a lot of the same plays are the same plays that other people run as well, timing and who to go to and those type of things. But we'll look at everything."

Personnel update

Joe Bachie has been "ruled ineligible for taking a banned substance", according to ESPN. "All my career I've done my very best to represent Michigan State in a positive manner on and off the field," Bachie said. "I plan to appeal, but to all of those affected, from my coaches to my teammates and to the fans, I apologize for putting them through this situation."

Social media

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Any trends or stats provided here might be immaterial when a team is not confident. Similarly, negative trends may not matter when a team is filled with confidence. That's the case in this game. Illinois is in great form and spirit after winning three, while the Spartans are not in a good spot. They've lost three games and a player has been ruled ineligible. Confidence, morale and form are the three factors that could decide who covers this spread. Illinois should.

Prediction: Illinois Fighting Illini +14.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This is likely to be a low-scorer. Both teams don't have great offensive stats, averaging a combined 675 yards per game. Their rushing efficiency is a problem too: Illinois rush the ball 4.1 yards every attempt, while Michigan State are worse at 3.5 yards per attempt.

Per attempt of offense, both teams combine for 6.5 yards. That's well below the par to combine for more than 45 points.

Prediction: Under 45

Nikhil Kalro

Nikhil has been working with ESPN since the age of 18 and covers cricket for their website ESPNcricinfo. We now have his talents here at StatSalt. When not writing or editing news, game reports, commentary and analysis stories, he is following American sports. A love for stats and patterns, research and results and years of handicapping experience makes him one to follow as a reliable capper. A degree in business administration and a keen eye for volatile industries like the stock market help too.

Upcoming Free Picks

Tuesday, Nov 12
NCAAF
#301 E. Michigan 49.5
#302 Akron 17
6:00pm
View Pick
#303 W. Michigan 62.5
#304 Ohio U -2
6:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Nov 12
NBA
#561 Cleveland Cavaliers 215
#562 Philadelphia 76ers -10
7:05pm
View Pick
#563 Oklahoma City Thunder 209.5
#564 Indiana Pacers -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#565 Detroit Pistons 217.5
#566 Miami Heat -8
7:35pm
View Pick
#567 New York Knicks 213
#568 Chicago Bulls -6.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#569 Los Angeles Lakers 219
#570 Phoenix Suns 2.5
9:05pm
View Pick
#571 Atlanta Hawks 209.5
#572 Denver Nuggets -11
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Brooklyn Nets 217
#574 Utah Jazz -7
9:05pm
View Pick
#575 Portland Trail Blazers 227
#576 Sacramento Kings 2
10:05pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Nov 12
NCAAB
#751 Creighton 144
#752 Michigan -5.5
6:30pm
View Pick
#753 Davidson 137.5
#754 Charlotte 10
7:00pm
View Pick
#755 Missouri 136
#756 Xavier -5
7:00pm
View Pick
#757 N.E. 141
#758 UMass 2.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#759 Evansville
#760 Kentucky
7:00pm
View Pick
#761 The Citadel
#762 Georgia
7:00pm
View Pick
#765 E. Carolina 143
#766 Appalachian ST. -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#769 N. Kentucky 144
#770 Coastal Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#779 Cleveland ST.
#780 Missouri ST.
8:00pm
View Pick
#781 Auburn 146.5
#782 S. Alabama 7
8:00pm
View Pick
#783 N. Texas 138.5
#784 Arkansas -13
8:00pm
View Pick
#785 N. Illinois
#786 Iowa ST.
8:00pm
View Pick
#787 UL Lafayette
#788 TCU
8:00pm
View Pick
#795 Murray ST. 149.5
#796 Tennessee -11.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#797 Miami - FL 138.5
#798 UCF 3
9:00pm
View Pick
#799 Long Beach ST. 141.5
#800 Stanford -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#801 Denver
#802 Utah ST.
9:00pm
View Pick
#803 New Mexico ST. 137
#804 UTEP 3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#819 Memphis 149
#820 Oregon -4
9:00pm
View Pick
#811 N. Dakota
#812 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#805 UT Arlington 144.5
#806 Nevada -5
10:00pm
View Pick
#807 Pepperdine 157
#808 Cal ST. N.ridge 5
10:00pm
View Pick
#813 Washington ST. 141
#814 Santa Clara -3
10:00pm
View Pick
#815 S. Dakota ST.
#816 USC
10:00pm
View Pick
#817 UNLV 137.5
#818 California -3.5
11:00pm
View Pick
#821 Oklahoma 143
#822 Oregon ST. 2.5
11:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Nov 12
NHL
#19 Florida Panthers 6
#20 Boston Bruins -165
7:05pm
View Pick
#21 Columbus Blue Jackets 6
#22 Montreal Canadiens -185
7:05pm
View Pick
#23 Pittsburgh Penguins 6.5
#24 N.Y. Rangers 115
7:35pm
View Pick
#25 Colorado Avalanche 5.5
#26 Winnipeg Jets -115
8:05pm
View Pick
#27 Arizona Coyotes 5.5
#28 St. Louis Blues -160
8:05pm
View Pick
#29 Detroit Red Wings 5.5
#30 Anaheim Ducks -165
10:05pm
View Pick
#31 Nashville Predators 6
#32 Vancouver Canucks -110
10:05pm
View Pick
#33 Edmonton Oilers 6
#34 San Jose Sharks -135
10:35pm
View Pick
#35 Minnesota Wild 6
#36 Los Angeles Kings -105
10:35pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Nov 13
NCAAF
#305 Bowling Green 51.5
#306 Miami - OH -18
8:00pm
View Pick
#307 N. Illinois 55
#308 Toledo -2.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Nov 13
NBA
#581 Los Angeles Clippers
#582 Houston Rockets
7:35pm
View Pick
#583 Washington Wizards
#584 Boston Celtics
7:35pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Nov 13
NCAAB
#617 Indiana ST.
#618 Louisville
8:00pm
View Pick
#621 Ball ST.
#622 Illinois - Chicago
8:00pm
View Pick
#623 Drexel
#624 Rutgers
8:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Nov 14
NFL
#309 Pittsburgh Steelers 41.5
#310 Cleveland Browns -2.5
8:20pm
View Pick
Thursday, Nov 14
NCAAF
#311 Buffalo 55.5
#312 Kent ST. 6
7:00pm
View Pick
#313 N. Carolina (UNC) 49
#314 Pittsburgh -4
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Nov 15
NCAAF
#315 Louisiana Tech 56
#316 Marshall -2.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#317 Fresno ST. 44
#318 San Diego ST. -1
9:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Nov 16
NCAAF
#325 Indiana 50
#326 Penn ST. -14
12:00pm
View Pick
#375 Kansas 66
#376 Oklahoma ST. -18
12:00pm
View Pick
#379 TCU 56.5
#380 Texas Tech 3
12:00pm
View Pick
#387 Michigan ST. 44
#388 Michigan -13.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#397 Alabama
#398 Mississippi St
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Wisconsin 51.5
#400 Nebraska 14
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Troy 61
#346 Texas ST. 8
3:00pm
View Pick
#319 W. Virginia 50.5
#320 Kansas ST. -14.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#331 Ohio ST.
#332 Rutgers
3:30pm
View Pick
#337 Wake Forest
#338 Clemson
3:30pm
View Pick
#339 C. Michigan 57.5
#340 Ball ST. -2
3:30pm
View Pick
#371 Georgia 43
#372 Auburn 3
3:30pm
View Pick
#377 Texas 66.5
#378 Iowa ST. -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#383 Memphis 71.5
#384 Houston 9.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Minnesota 44.5
#336 Iowa -3
4:00pm
View Pick
#353 Wyoming 49.5
#354 Utah ST. -6.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#373 UL Lafayette
#374 S. Alabama
5:00pm
View Pick
#395 S. Miss 52
#396 UTSA 17.5
6:00pm
View Pick
#327 Cincinnati 50.5
#328 USF 14
7:00pm
View Pick
#351 Air Force 60
#352 Colorado ST. 10
7:00pm
View Pick
#401 LSU
#402 Ole Miss
7:00pm
View Pick
#369 S. Carolina 50
#370 Texas A&M -10
7:30pm
View Pick
#381 Oklahoma 67.5
#382 Baylor 10
7:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Nov 17
NFL
#451 Dallas Cowboys 51.5
#452 Detroit Lions 3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#453 New Orleans Saints 51
#454 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#455 Atlanta Falcons 54
#456 Carolina Panthers -5.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#457 Jacksonville Jaguars 44
#458 Indianapolis Colts -3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#459 Denver Broncos 38.5
#460 Minnesota Vikings -10.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 New York Jets 37.5
#462 Washington Redskins -1.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#463 Buffalo Bills 39
#464 Miami Dolphins 5
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Houston Texans 49
#466 Baltimore Ravens -4
1:00pm
View Pick
#471 Cincinnati Bengals 48
#472 Oakland Raiders -10
4:25pm
View Pick
#473 Chicago Bears 42
#474 Los Angeles Rams -7
8:20pm
View Pick
Monday, Nov 18
NFL
#475 Kansas City Chiefs 49
#476 Los Angeles Chargers 4
8:15pm
View Pick