Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Sanford Stadium
When: Saturday, November 9, 2019, 7:00 pm
We have Southeastern Conference football to consider for Saturday afternoon when the 5-3 Missouri Tigers meet the #6 ranked, 7-1 Georgia Bulldogs. This marks the ninth meeting between the two universities with Georgia holding a 7-1 historical edge in this series. The Bulldogs have won the past five meetings and defeated the Tigers 29-14 in last season’s meeting.
Missouri is coming off a bye week and suffered a 29-7 road loss to Kentucky to even its SEC record to 2-2. Georgia defeated #6 ranked Florida by a score of 24-17 to raise its conference record to 4-1.
Tigers 0-3 Road RecordMissouri has lost two straight games and is 2-3 over their last five games. Missouri enters this matchup coming off a bye week and hoping to end a two-game losing streak. Both losses came on the road and all three of the Tigers losses this season have come on the road. Over the last five games, Missouri has defeated South Carolina, Troy, Mississippi and lost road games to Vanderbilt and a 29-7 loss to Kentucky nearly two weeks ago.
Georgia allows 196 passing yards per game and Missouri will hopefully have senior quarterback Kelly Bryant to attack this passing defense. Bryant is listed as questionable for Saturday with a hamstring injury. The senior signal-caller has thrown for 1845 yards with 12 touchdowns along with five interceptions. Kelly has rushed for 205 additional yards and a touchdown.
Bryant has three significant receivers he likes to throw to; senior wide receiver Jonathan Nance leads the team with 307 rushing yards along with three touchdowns, senior wideout Johnathon Johnson has 294 receiving yards and junior tight end Albert Okwuegbunam has 250 receiving yards and six touchdowns this season.
Georgia allows the fourth-least rushing yards per game; Larry Rountree III leads the Tigers with 644 yards with eight touchdowns and Rountree has an additional 54 receiving yards this season. Sophomore running back Tyler Badie has 342 rushing yards with two touchdowns with an additional 297 receiving yards with three touchdowns.
Georgia Chasing SEC TitleThe #6 ranked Bulldogs are riding a two-game winning streak and are 7-1 overall and 4-1 in SEC play this season. Georgia has a real shot to win the SEC but they will likely need to run the table and with #11 ranked Auburn up next week and a tough one against Texas A&M the week after, Georgia needs to win this matchup over Missouri. The Bulldogs defeated #6 Florida last weekend 24-17 and they looked primed for this matchup on Saturday.
Missouri allows 136.9 rushing yards per game and leading the Bulldogs is junior running back D’Andre Swift with 838 yards, seven touchdowns and an additional 172 receiving yards and a pair of scores. Senior running back Brian Herrien has 324 rushing yards, five touchdowns with an additional 70 receiving yards and its these two backs that will do most of the work on Saturday.
The Tigers allow the third-fewest passing yards in the country and junior quarterback Jake Fromm will be tasked with beating the Tigers via the air. Fromm has thrown for 1685 yards with 11 touchdowns, three interceptions, and an additional 37 rushing yards. Fromm has been sacked four times and that type of protection is necessary against a Tigers defense recording 13 sacks this season.
Senior wideout Lawrence Cager leads the Bulldogs with 377 receiving yards with four touchdowns, frosh wide receiver George Pickens has 322 receiving yards and a pair of scores, junior wide receiver Demetris Robertson has 229 receiving yards with three touchdowns and frosh wideout Dominick Blaylock has 209 receiving yards with three touchdowns this season.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
The supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are:
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Georgia has Auburn on next week's schedule and they might look past the Tigers and that would be a mistake. Missouri has a solid defense and they are going to try and take it to the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs ground game will be what wins the ballgame for Georgia but the Tigers will get enough stops and a couple of scores against a sometimes shaky defense and that will cover the spread.
I will lay the points and play Missouri to cover the spread.
Prediction: Missouri +17 Points
Full-Game Total Pick
These are two of the best defenses in the country playing in this game and I suspect this SEC battle is going to become very physical. Neither offense is as good as their opposing defense and that is going to keep this game close with a big play or two deciding the outcome of this matchup. 47 points are too much for this game with these defenses and I can't see this game as not ending under the total.
I will play the UNDER in this contest.
Prediction: Under 47 Points