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Nevada vs. San Diego State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#197 Nevada
Wolf Pack 17.5
#198 San Diego State
Aztecs -17.5

Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 10:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Nevada

5 - 4

3-5
ATS
4-5
O/U
19
PPG
34
OPPG

San Diego State

7 - 1

5-3
ATS
1-7
O/U
21
PPG
14
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

#197 Nevada at #198 San Diego State

When and where: Nov. 9, 2019. SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, CA, 8 p.m.

San Diego State is 7-1 and has won four straight games. The Aztecs sit in first place in the Mountain West Conference West Division. Nevada is 5-4 and working on their second quarterback of the season. The Aztecs can get closer to a first-place finish and a game in the MWC championship game with the victory.

Wolf Pack hoping for strong play from QB

Carson Strong is the Wolf Pack’s starting quarterback again. He started the season but then was then benched for Malik Henry. Now Henry is out to concentrate on academics and Strong is back in. He has thrown for 1,281 yards on the season with five touchdowns and six interceptions. Toa Taua leads a strong rushing attack with 562 yards on 143 carries.

Last week, Nevada beat New Mexico, 21-10. Strong threw for two touchdowns and 305 yards. Devonte Lee led the rushing attack with 68 yards. Taua scored Nevada’s other touchdown.

The Wolf Pack offense averages 358.6 yards per game, good for 102nd nationally, but rush for 121.2 yards (61st). They score just 19.3 points per game (116th). The defense has been porous, giving up 34.6 points per game (116th) and 414.8 yards (86th).

Aztecs looking for fifth straight win

The Aztecs have moved into the Top 25 on both rankings after a strong start to the season. They are coming off a bye and playing a Nevada team that beat them last year, 28-24.

The defense leads the way for San Diego State. They give up only 14.1 points per game (8th nationally) and 283.6 total yards (12th). They are especially tough against the run, giving up only 70 yards per game (third). They play a conservative brand of offense, accumulating only 330 yards per game (112th).

Ryan Agnew is efficient at quarterback, passing for 1,417 yards with 10 touchdowns and only three interceptions. Although he has been injured throughout the season, Juwan Washington leads the rushing attack with 432 yards. Kobe Smith has been a big-play receiver with 514 yards and four touchdowns.

In their last game two weeks ago, the Aztecs went on the road to beat UNLV, 20-17. San Diego State led 17-0 in the first half and held on for the victory. UNLV missed a game-tying field goal attempt at the end of the game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

It would seem like a stretch to give 17.5 points with the Aztecs when they only average 21.8 points per game. Particularly at home, where the Aztecs are only 1-2 against the spread on their home turf.

The San Diego State defense is good, but they gave up 17 points, including 10 in the second half, to let UNLV come back to make the game close two weeks ago. Nevada has enough offensive weapons to make the game competitive. And even if they don’t, the Aztecs don’t have enough offense to cover the big number.

Prediction: Nevada +17.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

It’s not often you would want to take the over in a game featuring one of the best offenses in the country against a below average defense. But 38 points is only 19 points per team.

San Diego State’s last game fell at 37 total points, but Nevada is a much better team than UNLV and the Aztecs are coming off a bye week so they should surpass that number.

Take Over 38

Prediction: Over 38

Kirk Kern

Coming Soon!.

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