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Western Kentucky vs. Arkansas Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#171 Western Kentucky
Hilltoppers 2
#172 Arkansas
Razorbacks -2

Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Western Kentucky

5 - 4

6-3
ATS
4-5
O/U
22
PPG
20
OPPG

Arkansas

2 - 7

2-7
ATS
3-6
O/U
22
PPG
35
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will be chasing bowl eligibility at 5 - 3 and they will have to hope that win #6 comes in SEC territory as the Arkansas Razorbacks look to be rude hosts on Saturday in Fayetteville.

The Hilltoppers are 3 - 21 in their history against SE opponents, but at least they get to travel to play an Arkansas team that is transitioning to a new QB.

Arkansas head coach Chad Morris said in his presser this week that John Steven Jones will be the guy going forward, which he stated on the team's home page. The freshman out of Dallas, TX now gets his shot to try to move this lethargic offense for the Pig Suey faithful!

The line setters are not tipping their hand with this line, as we see Arkansas barely favored at a point or so at home. Although, when you are not a clear favorite against a Conference USA squad on your own field, maybe that is the sign of things to come?!

Can the Hilltoppers take an out an SEC program on the road?

Here comes the story that everyone loves to talk about when this type of thing happens. Well, kinda. When QB Steven Duncan went down for the year with the foot injury, Ty Storey became the man calling the signals for the Hilltoppers. Here is the good part...

Storey transferred to WKU from? Anyone? Hey, there ya go it's Arkansas, and now he gets to go back to Fayetteville and say hello again to his old teammates. Storey didn't light up the stat sheet in 2018 with Arkansas, but he did spend 3 years wearing the hogs uniform and knows this place as well as anyone.

Storey is currently leading the 46th ranked passing offense in the nation putting up 252.8 ypg. The run game? Yeah, let's not bother talking about that, because you can go see for yourself how bad the 122nd ranked rush offense in the land. In addition,

Storey has no issue tucking the ball in and being an asset to the running attack. He has found paydirt 4 times with his legs and has thrown for 7 TD as well

The 5 interceptions show he needs some cleaning up, and the 15 sacks certainly draw your attention with this offensive line needing to get it together.

In all honesty, the defensive numbers stand out a bit to me, simply because you can see WKU hanging around the top-30 in many defensive categories.

Hogs looking to avoid a 2nd straight 2-win season

Arkansas head coach Chad Morris is already under the gun from only achieving 2 wins a season ago. At 2 - 7 this season with LSU and Missouri on the schedule to finish the regular season, this might be that shot to get a win and make it 3 this year.

Regardless, even a 3-win season doesn't exactly emote confidence going forward so we might have ourselves a little situation in Fayetteville this off-season. I am not saying they are letting Morris go quite yet, but 5 wins in 2 years and NONE of them coming against an SEC opponent might force some tough decisions.

So is our goal here to talk stats or just get plays out to the good people? I mean my god if I have to reel off the Arkansas season stats for people I might have to jump off a bridge. Well shit, then how would I finish the piece? LOL

Ugly man, just ugly stuff coming out of Fayetteville in 2019, so go look up the horrendous numbers that Arkansas has and get back to me!

Now the Jones project is in order, as coach Morris has decided that freshman QB John Steven Jones will control the clock and call the signals this weekend. How long that lasts is a mystery, but at this point, there is no wrong move to make because they have all been wrong so far.

Jones saw some action and the coach was happy with the little sample shown, but let's not even talk about LSU weekend, phew! Jones looked good in garbage time against Alabama and went 4 of 9 last weekend in the loss to Miss State, although he did toss a TD pass in each appearance.

Anyway, I see no reason to talk stats here, so shut up and make a pick and move on!

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Keep your point and a half or whatever this line falls at by kickoff.

I think we are all a little impressed, at least, by what WKU is doing with Storey as their backup QB, and his ability to influence the game.

I see the Hilltoppers escaping Fayetteville with a 26 - 24 road win against the Hogs on their own field.

That will be all that needs to be said!

WKU ML is the play on the side

Prediction: W. Kentucky ML

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Well, with my 26 - 24 prediction that tells me that I can add to 50 and see this under coming in. Obviously, that is a bit tight for me knowing that anything can change that in a heartbeat.

These two offenses need to still figure out where they are right now, and until they do I cannot fathom a game in the 30s going down here. I honestly don't think either team will be hitting that 30 number, so I have to touch on the Under and let the chips fall!

Under 52.5 is the play on the total.

Prediction: Under 52.5

EJ Rainmaker

Prior to joining us here at StatSalt, EJ was been covering sports betting dating back to the 1980's and has been featured twice in World Cup Magazine. With knowledge in multiple sports, you can trust that EJ knows what it means to be invested, always conscious of Return on Investment and Value. EJ has expertise in covering the NHL, NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball and is very confident in his ability to help you double or triple your bankroll.

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