Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Lincoln Financial Field
When: Saturday, December 14, 2019, 3:00 pm ET
We have one of the oldest rivalries in NCAA Football history when the Army Black Knights meet the twenty-third ranked Navy Midshipmen for an afternoon of tackle football. Saturday marks the 116th meeting between the two military academies, and the Navy holds a 56-52 edge in their rivalry. The Army is 5-7 this season and coming off a 52-31 road loss to Hawaii. Navy is 9-2 this season and is riding a two-game winning streak.
Army Loses to HawaiiArmy has lost three of its past five games and has had a difficult season, going 5-7 this season. This Army team rarely gets blown out, but when they win, they usually win big. The Black Knights score an average of 30.3 points while allowing 22.3 points per game, and Army would love to win this final game of the season against Navy.
Davis is pumped on that call. pic.twitter.com/2GudFhsQUe— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) December 1, 2019
Navy allows 232 passing yards per game, and while the Army runs the triple option, they do throw the ball. Senior quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr has thrown for 570 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions, and Hopkins has rushed for 706 yards with seven touchdowns.
Army has a pair of receivers who do the majority of the pass-catching work; junior wideout Camden Harrison has 23 receptions for 415 yards with three touchdowns, and junior wide receiver Artice Hobbs IV has caught 27 balls for 152 yards and a pair of scoring strikes.
The Black Knights run the triple option and have several players with over 100 rushing yards. Senior running back Connor Slomka has rushed for 637 yards with eight touchdowns and is the top running back option. Junior running back, Sandon McCoy has 555 rushing yards and leads the Black Knights with ten rushing touchdowns. Senior running back Kell Walker has 387 yards with three touchdowns for Army this season.
Midshipmen Have Fantastic SeasonNavy has had a fantastic season and could cap it off on Saturday with a victory over rival Army. The Midshipmen have won four of the past five games, including consecutive victories over SMU and Houston. Navy scores an average of 39.3 points while allowing 24.2 points per game this season.
Navy also runs the triple option, and that could be deadly against an Army defense allowing 144 rushing yards per game. Senior quarterback Malcolm Perry leads Navy with 1500 rushing yards with 15 touchdowns. Perry has also thrown for 1027 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions. Perry is the center of the Navy offense, and Army will have a difficult time containing him on Saturday.
The Midshipmen have a pair of backs aside from Perry running the football; sophomore running back Jamele Carothers has rushed for 637 yards with 13 touchdowns with an additional 101 receiving yards and a touchdown. Junior fullback Nelson Smith has 557 rushing yards with seven touchdowns this season.
Perry has two primary receivers he likes to target; sophomore wideout Mychal Cooper leads the team with 355 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns but missed the Houston game and is unlikely to play against Army. Junior wideout C.J. Williams has 210 receiving yards with a couple of touchdowns, and junior wide receiver Ryan Mitchell has 178 receiving yards with a touchdown. He will see some work with Cooper out.
- Midshipmen are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Midshipmen are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
The top supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
- Black Knights are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I like the Navy in this one, and I don’t mind laying the ten points. Perry is going to be challenging to stop, and while Army knows how to stop the triple option, they allow far too many yards against a Navy team that has defeated the top 25 opponents and will likely crush Army. The Navy defense can be beaten through the air, but the Army doesn’t have that weapon and will get theirs via the ground. The Black Knights will score, but the Navy will cover the spread in this one. I will lay the points and go with the Navy to cover the spread.
Full-Game Total Pick
The game opened at 43 but is now sitting at 40.5 points in most shops, and I will play the OVER in this one. Both offenses know how to move the ball, and we’re going to see plenty of smash-mouth football along with the triple option. We’re also going to see Perry throwing the football, and he will succeed at this. I see this as a 31-14 game with the Navy winning, and I will be playing the OVER in this one.