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Ohio Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs
Where and when: DXL Frisco Bowl, Frisco, Texas, Wednesday, December 19th, 2018, 8:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time
The Ohio Bobcats will meet the San Diego Aztecs in the DXL Frisco Bowl in Frisco, Texas, on Wednesday, December 19th, 2018, at 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. After beginning the season with a 3-3 record, the Ohio Bobcats ended their 2018 campaign by winning five of their last six games, overall, with their last coming at home over the Akron Zips as they picked up the 49-28 win as their rushing attack continued to dominate on the season in putting up 381 yards on a shaky defensive front for the Zips and were led by A.J. Ouellette with 169 yards along with two scores while Maleek Irons also collected 126 yards on 18 carries for an Ohio team that ended the season going 5-2 against the spread.
On the other hand, the San Diego Aztecs, after beginning the season with the record of 6-1, ended their 2018 campaign losing four of their last five games as they suffered a 31-30 home loss to the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in the last week of the season as San Diego State rushed for 222 yards for the game, yet their defense allowed 452 yards along with three touchdown passes to Cole McDonald and the Hawaii passing attack as the Aztecs finished the season on a three-game losing streak while the Rainbow Warriors won five of six games, overall, to end an exciting year.
Ohio ends season in dominating fashion with win over Zips
After averaging only 29 points in the first five games of the season, the Ohio Bobcats suddenly went on a run toward the middle of the 2018 campaign as they were winners of five of their last six games to end the season with their only loss coming versus the RedHawks of Miami of Ohio on November 7th. Furthermore, during this run, the Bobcats put up at least 49 points in each of these outings, aside from their loss to the RedHawks.
WE GOIN' BOWLING!
— #MACtion (@MACSports) December 13, 2018
With that being the case, much of their success is due to their rushing attack which is led by AJ Quelette, who has rushed for 1142 yards for the season while also leading the team with 14 touchdowns as the running back has rushed for at least 150 yards in four of the last five games for Ohio. At the quarterback position, Nathan Rourke has thrown for over 2200 yards for the season as he has also stepped up his game under center as well as he passed for 13 touchdowns alongside only three interceptions during the Bobcats winning streak to end the season while Papi White served as his main target throughout the year as he ended the season with 897 receiving yards while averaging 15.5 yards per catch along with 10 touchdowns in 2018.
Each of these individuals combine to make the Ohio Bobcats a truly dangerous team not only due to their Russian attack, which is ranked 8th in the country, but, also in the passing attack which is ranked 88 in the nation in averaging a tad over 200 yards passing per outing. In all, look for Ohio to certainly take the momentum that they have obtained throughout the past few weeks into this matchup with the San Diego Aztecs, who were free-falling towards the end of the season, however, was able to win enough during the first half of the season in which to qualify for a bowl game. Nonetheless, this will certainly be an exciting match-up in that the Aztecs are ranked third in the nation in stopping the run while the Ohio Bobcats come into this game averaging 262 yards per game, total.
Aztecs looking for much better performance versus Bobcats
One can certainly say that both the offense and defense for San Diego State was the catalyst for their slide towards the end of the season as they lost four of their last five games, overall. Nonetheless, the defense certainly gave up a bit more points as they ended the season allowing 21 points per game; However, during their five-game losing skid, the Aztecs allowed opponents to score a full touchdown more than their yearly average.
— SDSU Football (@SDSUFootball) December 14, 2018
On the other hand, the offense, led by quarterback Ryan Agnew, struggled towards the end of the season as he only threw for over 100 yards in only two of their last five games yet having six touchdowns along with just one interception during this time. On the other hand, while the passing attack for a San Diego State only averages a tad under 200 yards per game, the rushing attack is truly their money maker as the Aztecs are averaging 162 yards per game led by Juwan Washington with 870 yards on the season along with 10 total touchdowns. And while Washington begin this season rushing for well over 100 yards in three of his first four games, injury prevented him from participating throughout the middle of the season while he ended with only one 100-yard game in his last four outings of the season.
Of course, the rushing attack is truly the tip of the spear for the Aztecs offense, however, Fred Trevillion has served as the go-to target on the outside as he has obtained 598 yards on the season along with three touchdowns. In all, San Diego State will certainly need to not only establish themselves within the trenches versus a tough Ohio defense, but, they will also need to take advantage of their seldom-used passing attack versus an Ohio Bobcats team that will certainly give up yards to opponents in allowing 264 yards per game to opponents on the year.
On the other hand, the defense for San Diego State certainly needs to step up much more as well as they did not perform as expected to end the season. Nonetheless, with their defense only allowing 94 yards rushing per game, they may indeed find success versus a solid Ohio team that will be looking to rush the ball early and often in which to gain an advantage.
- Over is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 non-conference games
- Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December
- Over is 6-1-1 in Bobcats last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
- Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game
- Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game
- Aztecs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While San Diego State will certainly have a bit of success early on, look for Ohio to take control of this game early in the second half as they will continue to run the ball until San Diego State has proven that they are able to contain its attack. In other words, look for Ohio to stick to their game plan of running the ball throughout the contest while Rourke will certainly make some headway, when needed, versus a San Diego State pass defense that is ranked 73rd in the nation while giving up 233 yards per outing to opponents. In all, expect Ohio to end the season on a strong note versus a disheartened Aztec team that will likely continue to be shell-shocked from a dismal end to the season.
Prediction: Pick: Ohio Bobcats – 135
Full-Game Total Pick
I will back the over in this contest as I see Ohio really putting up some points versus a San Diego State defense that looks to be in a tailspin, as stated. Despite this, expect San Diego State to find some headway versus an Ohio defense that is very soft within the past secondary. It is for this reason that the over is indeed the strong play as I see both teams putting some points on the board, yet the score should increase in favor of Ohio as they begin to control the trenches more and more as the game progresses.
Prediction: Pick: Over 49
Full-Game Prop Bet
I will Bank on the Ohio Bobcats to pull out a win as well as cover the small spread in this matchup as they certainly have the momentum along with the dominating rushing attack in which to cruise in this matchup. With that being the case, look for San Diego State to make this game interesting, however; Yet, when it is all said and done, Ohio will certainly take control of this game within the trenches late in the game while also pulling out a slim victory in addition to covering the spread.
Prediction: Pick: Ohio Bobcats -2,5
Half-Time Side Pick
With the rushing attacks being the tip of the spear for both offenses this year, expect both teams to lead with their rushing game, once again, in this matchup as taking control of the trenches will be imperative. Nonetheless, Ohio will have more success at their rushing attack as they are coming off outings to where their rushing attack has totally dominated opposing defenses. With that being the case, look for Ohio to also carry a lead into halftime while also covering the point.
Prediction: Pick: Ohio Bobcats -1
Half-Time Total Bet
I will back the over in this matchup as the Ohio Bobcats have certainly had a furious run to where they are averaging around 45 points per game in the last five outings, as stated. With that being the case, expect them to certainly put some points on the board. Also, expect San Diego State to also come out early in which to put some plants on the scoreboard as well, thus signaling that the over is indeed the strong play at the half amongst these two teams on Wednesday night.
Prediction: Pick: Over 25.5
Half-Time Prop Prediction
Again, look for Ohio to control the pace of this matchup from start to finish as their rushing attack will certainly begin to overwhelm San Diego State throughout the course of this game. With that being the case, look for the Bobcats to also dominate in time of possession for the first half, thus allowing them to crash in on the money line at the half. As stated, both teams will put points on the board early, however, the score board will certainly tip on behalf of the Bobcats early.
Prediction: Pick: Ohio Bobcats -130