Upcoming Free Picks

UL Lafayette vs. Appalachian State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 12-7-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#107 UL Lafayette
Ragin Cajuns 6
#108 Appalachian State
Mountaineers -6

Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UL Lafayette

10 - 2

9-3
ATS
5-7
O/U
38
PPG
17
OPPG

Appalachian State

11 - 1

8-4
ATS
5-7
O/U
38
PPG
18
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

Where and when: Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, North Carolina, Saturday, 12 pm EST

On what is predicted to be a bright, sunny day in Boone, North Carolina, the Sun Belt’s best will meet for the championship on Saturday afternoon as the western division’s Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will battle the leaders of the eastern division in the Appalachian State Mountaineers at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The Mountaineers have won straight up in the past seven meetings versus the Ragin’ Cajuns. However, they are only one game above average (4-3) versus the spread in these contests.

Important to note that the Mountaineers are 5-1 SU at home for the season while being .500 against the spread at 3-3 (0-2 against the number in their last 2 games in Boone). They ended the season going 4-0 SU in addition to being 3-1 ATS while the Ragin Cajuns have been just as solid in winning 6-straight games while also going 4-2 ATS. Covers.com currently favors the Mountaineers by 6.5-points while the total has been set at 56 points. Louisiana-Lafayette has covered the spread in three of the last four matchups in Boone while the under has been the play in six of the last seven meetings between these two solid teams (3-0 in last three).

Louisiana-Lafayette needs all 60 minutes to defeat Warhawks

The Ragin' Cajuns were barely able to hold off the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at home in their most recent outing as their defense was very much uncharacteristic in allowing over 200 yards rushing in addition to 570 total yards in the slim victory. However, their tenth win on the year was a milestone for the program as this was their first-ever ten-win season in history. QB Levi Lewis passed for 270 yards along with three scores as his favorite target was senior JaMarcus Bradley, who scored once while recording 4 passes for 127 yards to lead the receiving corps.

One can expect the Ragin' Cajuns to unleash a healthy dose of their rushing attack versus the Mountaineers as they are currently putting up 274 yards per game in 2019. The team is led by Raymond Calais and Elijah Mitchell, who each rushed for a total of 209 yards versus the Warhawks. However, Louisiana-Lafayette will certainly need much more productivity in their running game this time around after rushing for only 123 yards versus Appalachian State in a 10-point home loss on October 9th. Lewis was pressured under center all game in being sacked three times while going 13-24 for 135 yards and a pick in the defeat. It will be interesting to see how the Ragin' Cajuns mix things up on the offensive end versus a team that only allows a tad less than 19 points per contest in addition to a shade over 320 yards per game in 2019.

Despite having linebacker Jacques Boudreax along with Lorenzo McCaskill leading the defense for the Ragin' Cajuns, the unit will certainly need to step up in this contest as they will attempt to stop a rushing attack that is putting up 226 yards per game. For the year, the Ragin' Cajuns are allowing 172 yards on the ground per outing.

Evans lead Mountaineers in scores this year

Darrynton Evans is the face of the Mountaineers rushing attack as he has racked up a total of 1380 yards on the season in addition to posting 19 TD's. He was, however, bottled up a bit versus the Ragin' Cajuns in October in ending with 69 yards, total, on 22 rushes (3.0) with no touchdowns. Junior QB Zack Thomas completed only 64% of his passes in this contest while throwing for a total of 147 yards with no TD passes.

Thomas has thrown 10 touchdown passes compared with no picks in his past three starts, however, while Evans has posted six scores in the last three games for the Mountaineers in addition to rushing for 100+ yards in two of these outings. Furthermore, junior receiver Thomas Henigan is coming off a 140 receiving yards performance versus the Warhawks and will attempt to find some openings versus a Ragin' Cajun defensive secondary that allowed 197 yards passing per game to opponents.

Appalachian State’s ability to prevent the Ragin’ Cajuns from developing a consistent rushing attack will be critical for this matchup. As pointed out, the rushing attack for the Ragin' Cajuns have been dominant all season long; Yet, Louisiana-Lafayette struggled to get the most out of their ground game versus the Mountaineers in October, as pointed out. It will be interesting to see, with all the marbles on the line, if the home team can somehow repeat this type of defensive performance on Saturday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

While I happen to believe that the Ragin’ Cajuns will be very motivated to pick up a win in this Saturday afternoon Sun Belt championship contest, the Mountaineers are seeking to end the season on a strong note.   Besides, they were already snake-bitten earlier in the season versus the Eagles of Georgia Southern at home and are well aware that they must bring the focus and intensity for a matchup versus a familiar foe in the Ragin' Cajuns that have shined in 2019 by scoring 10-wins.  Aside from the Mountaineers dominating this series from a head to head standpoint, they destroyed the Ragin' Cajuns in the 2018 Sun Belt championship game by 49 points, as 14-point favorites.

 

Prediction: Appalachian State Mountaineers -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I will side with the under as it has been the play in six of the last seven matchups amongst these two teams.  Furthermore, six of the last eight games for the Mountaineers have trended towards the under in addition to being the result in six of the last seven games for Louisiana-Lafayette.  In all, one can expect this contest to be very competitive and low-scoring as each team will look to establish themselves in the trenches in order to unleash/prevent the rushing attack from kick-starting.  With that being the case, I do not see the total surpassing its limit for this contest.

Prediction: Under 56

Falepa Emme , "The Force"

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa brought his passion for analytics in each of these areas to OUR TEAM here at StatSalt and it will certainly benefit you in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Dec 6
NCAAF
#103 Oregon 50.5
#104 Utah -6.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 6
NBA
#509 Indiana Pacers 213
#510 Detroit Pistons 2.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#511 Orlando Magic 212.5
#512 Cleveland Cavaliers 4
7:05pm
View Pick
#513 Brooklyn Nets 217.5
#514 Charlotte Hornets 3
7:05pm
View Pick
#515 Minnesota Timberwolves 220
#516 Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#517 Washington Wizards 234
#518 Miami Heat -10
8:05pm
View Pick
#519 Golden ST. Warriors 212.5
#520 Chicago Bulls -4.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#521 Denver Nuggets 203
#522 Boston Celtics -3
8:05pm
View Pick
#523 Los Angeles Clippers 232
#524 Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#525 Sacramento Kings 215
#526 San Antonio Spurs -3.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#527 Los Angeles Lakers 221.5
#528 Portland Trail Blazers 4
10:35pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 6
NCAAB
#615 Iowa 145
#616 Michigan -7.5
6:30pm
View Pick
#617 Tennessee - Martin 168
#618 C. Michigan -12.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Providence 143
#620 Rhode Island -1
7:00pm
View Pick
#621 Duke 140.5
#622 Virginia Tech 7
7:00pm
View Pick
#623 Dartmouth 119
#624 USF -8
8:00pm
View Pick
#627 Pittsburgh 124.5
#628 Louisville -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#629 Idaho ST.
#630 Pepperdine
9:00pm
View Pick
#631 USC 137
#632 TCU -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#633 N. Dakota 132
#634 Montana -6.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#635 Cal ST. N.ridge 159
#636 Portland ST. -5.5
10:30pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 6
NHL
#63 Chicago Blackhawks 6.5
#64 New Jersey Devils -140
7:05pm
View Pick
#65 Arizona Coyotes 5.5
#66 Pittsburgh Penguins -180
7:05pm
View Pick
#67 Montreal Canadiens 6.5
#68 N.Y. Rangers -105
7:05pm
View Pick
#69 Los Angeles Kings 6
#70 Edmonton Oilers -170
9:05pm
View Pick
#71 Washington Capitals 6
#72 Anaheim Ducks 125
10:05pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 7
NCAAF
#105 Miami - OH 53
#106 C. Michigan -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#107 UL Lafayette 57.5
#108 Appalachian ST. -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#109 Baylor 62.5
#110 Oklahoma -8.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#111 UAB 50
#112 FAU -8
1:30pm
View Pick
#113 Cincinnati 58.5
#114 Memphis -9
3:30pm
View Pick
#115 Hawaii 62.5
#116 Boise ST. -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#117 Georgia 57
#118 LSU -7
4:00pm
View Pick
#121 Virginia
#122 Clemson
7:30pm
View Pick
#119 Wisconsin 54
#120 Ohio ST. -15.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 7
NCAAB
#661 La Salle
#662 Drexel
2:00pm
View Pick
#663 Cal ST. Bakersfield
#664 Ole Miss
2:00pm
View Pick
#685 Indiana ST.
#686 Wright ST.
2:00pm
View Pick
#689 Hofstra
#690 St. Bonaventure
2:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 7
NHL
#15 Toronto Maple Leafs
#16 St. Louis Blues
7:05pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 8
NFL
#131 Baltimore Ravens 43
#132 Buffalo Bills 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#133 Washington Redskins 42
#134 Green Bay Packers -12.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#135 Denver Broncos 41
#136 Houston Texans -9
1:00pm
View Pick
#137 49ers 45.5
#138 New Orleans Saints -2
1:00pm
View Pick
#139 Cincinnati Bengals 43
#140 Cleveland Browns -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#141 Carolina Panthers 48.5
#142 Atlanta Falcons -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#143 Detroit Lions 42.5
#144 Minnesota Vikings -12.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#145 Miami Dolphins 44
#146 New York Jets -5.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#147 Indianapolis Colts 50.5
#148 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#149 Los Angeles Chargers 44.5
#150 Jacksonville Jaguars 3
4:05pm
View Pick
#151 Kansas City Chiefs 50.5
#152 New England Patriots -3
4:25pm
View Pick
#153 Pittsburgh Steelers 43
#154 Arizona Cardinals 2
4:25pm
View Pick
#155 Tennessee Titans 46.5
#156 Oakland Raiders 3
4:25pm
View Pick
#157 Seattle Seahawks 46.5
#158 Los Angeles Rams
8:20pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 9
NFL
#159 New York Giants 46.5
#160 Philadelphia Eagles -9.5
8:15pm
View Pick