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Air Force Falcons vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Where and when: Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado, Saturday, 1 pm EST
The Air Force Falcons will take a trip to Boulder, Colorado, to face the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday afternoon at Folsom Field.
The Buffaloes were held scoreless in the first half of their matchup versus Nebraska in week-two; Yet, the team was able to outscore the visitors 31-14 in the second en route to pulling off a huge victory. QB Steven Montez had a big night and after the game, stated that “Before the coin toss, (Nebraska players) were talking, talking trash. “At the bottom of piles, they were spitting, doing dirty stuff. So, I mean, they got what was coming (to them).”
In all, the win seemed to be a momentum-building experience while refocusing the team, all together, in preparation for the Falcons. The Buffaloes already have victories over the Colorado State Rams and the Cornhuskers this year. In each of those wins, the team posted thirty or more points for an average of forty-three points per game in 2019.
The Falcons will have had almost two weeks rest since taking the football field as they did not suit up for week-two. However, the team certainly looked great versus the Colgate Red Raiders at home on August 30th as they racked up thirty-five points by halftime thanks to their strong rushing attack. Air Force will now hit the road to face a Colorado Buffaloes squad that is undefeated while coming off an emotional win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers last weekend.
Finally, the Falcons have not fared well on the road lately as they are 1-5 SU in their last six, overall, in addition to going 3-3 versus the spread during this time.
Team effort after halftime for Colorado
The Buffaloes’ Jaren Mangham came up big for his team in their come-from-behind win over the Cornhuskers in posting two scores in the final two quarters, his third of the year. Also, Alex Fontenot has three scores on the season as well for a rushing attack that has posted an average of 166 yards per contest after two games. K.D. Nixon and Tony Brown are playmakers on the outside with Nixon accumulating just under 150 yards receiving last week and a touchdown while Brown was targeted five times for sixty yards and a score. Clearly the offense is the tip of the spear for this group, particularly when one considers the state of their defense recently.
Back at Folsom, bringing the 🔥 pic.twitter.com/CG1fidoEsy
— Colorado Buffaloes Football (@CUBuffsFootball) September 11, 2019
Colorado’s defense has allowed thirty points or more in five-straight games dating back to 2018. And while Mikial Uno leads the unit with two picks on the year, they have not been able to stop the pass as of yet in ranking 121st in the NCAA’s in giving up well over three-hundred yards per. On the other hand, their rush defense has been atrocious as well in following up a 131-yard performance to the Colorado State Rams by giving up 179 to Nebraska last week.
Air Force tough to stop on the ground versus Colgate
Colorado’s inability to stop teams from rushing the ball will certainly cause the Falcons to lick their chops. As stated, Air Force continues to possess one of the most potent running games in college football. Its option attack is led by Donald Hammond III (3 TD’s) along with Taven Birdow, who rushed for eighty yards on nine carries versus Colgate last weekend. And while the rushing attack is their bread and butter, the Falcons will sting their opponents with a pass (or two) throughout the duration of a game.
Getting battle ready 🛠 pic.twitter.com/gdEwx00f0S
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 10, 2019
For instance, the team ran the ball for a total of sixty-five attempts versus Colgate yet through the ball just once, which ended in a forty-one yard gain. Of course, with the Buffaloes playing undisciplined in the first half of last week’s showdown, expect the Falcons to throw in some extra pass plays into the game plan to sting what has been a shaky defensive unit for the Buffaloes. Nonetheless, it will be no surprise that the Falcons will look to pound the ball early and often for this contest.
- Buffaloes are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MWC.
- No trends to report.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I will back the Falcons and the points as Colorado’s defense simply has not impressed me thus far. And with such a punishing running game for the Falcons coming to town, expect the visitors to have success early while taking the momentum. I happen to believe that after a physical, overtime win over Nebraska, facing a Falcons squad (that will also bring the physicality for their ground attack) will affect the team in this showdown.
Prediction: Pick: Air Force Falcons +4
Full-Game Total Pick
Expect for this game to be one where the score, along with momentum, will flip back and forth throughout its duration. And while the Falcons had a great day on the defensive side versus Colgate, they have been thoroughly dominated on the road in allowing thirty or more in four of their last six. However, they will put up some scores versus Colorado’s unit while the Buffaloes will certainly get lucky facing the secondary for Air Force.
Prediction: Pick: Over 58.5