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Army vs. UTSA Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 9-14-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#141 Army
Black Knights -15
#142 UTSA
Roadrunners 45.5

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 3:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Army Black Knights

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
0-2
O/U
17
PPG
15
OPPG

UTSA Roadrunners

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
1-1
O/U
24
PPG
34
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The University of Texas at San Antonio hosts the Army Black Knights Saturday. These two teams haven’t played in recent years but they are both coming off games against power conference teams. Army gave No. 10 ranked Michigan a scare, but lost 24-21 on Saturday to fall to 1-1. UTSA had a much tougher time against Baylor, as they were crushed by the score of 63-14 on Saturday. They are also 1-1. Kickoff is on Saturday, Sept. 14 at 3:30 p.m. Eastern at the Alamodome in San Antonio. Army is more than a two-touchdown favorite.

Army gives Michigan a scare

Army comes into this game heavily favored. They are 1-1 on the year with their loss coming Saturday at Michigan. But the Black Nights gave the Wolverines a scare, losing 24-21 in double overtime. Regulation ended with the score tied at 14-14. Army quarterback Kelvin Hopkins put Army up 21-14 in overtime on a 6-yard touchdown run, but Michigan came back and tied it on a Zach Charbonnet touchdown run. Michigan got a field goal in the second OT, and that proved to be the winning margin as Army failed to match it.

“Those guys aren’t in there, `Oh, shucks’ and, `Isn’t that great, we gave them a good game?” Army coach Jeff Monken told ESPN. “They’re heartbroken because they believed they were going to win that game. We just came here and took them to overtime with a bunch of guys that, frankly, nobody at this level recruited.”

Army is strictly a ground and pound team. Quarterback Hopkins only threw 4 passes, completing 2 of them, for 43 yards and an interception. But he ran 18 times for 41 yards and 2 touchdowns. Connor Slomka led the running attack with 92 yards on 29 carries, while Kell Walker had 39 yards.

On offense, Army averages 17.5 points per game, which ranks 109th. They are 125th in total yards with 265. They only average 48 yards per game passing, which is 128th. But they average 215 yards per game rushing, which is 36th.

Army’s defense gave up a fair bit of yards to Michigan, but they’ve shown that they bend but don’t break. Defensively, they allow just 15.5 points per game, which is 28th in the country. They allow 291 yards per game, which is 36th nationally. That breaks down to 147 yards per game through the air, which is 21st, and 144 yards on the ground, which is 74th.

Army received 42 votes for the top 25 this week.

UTSA get pounded by Big 12’s Baylor

The University of Texas at San Antonio Roadrunners got beat up pretty good last Saturday at Baylor. It wasn’t much of a contest as they lost to the Big 12 opponent 63-14. There weren’t a lot of highlights as UTSA was clearly outclassed. But they ran the ball pretty well, gaining more than 150 yards on the ground. Sincere McCormick had 87 yards on 12 carries with 2 touchdowns, while Deven Boston had 33 yards. Quarterback Frank Harris completed 15 of 24 passes for 93 yards. Tykee Ogle-Kellogg led UTSA with 4 catches while Blaze Moorhead had 3 receptions.

The big problem was the defense as they just couldn’t stop Baylor, particularly the ground game as Baylor rushed for more than 300 yards.¬†The road doesn’t get much easier as they take on a very good Army team, which is a strong running team.

On offense, UTSA averages 24.5 points per game, which ranks 185th. But a lot of that comes from beating up on Southland Conference foe the University of the Incarnate Word in week one. They average 378 total yards, which ranks 86th. They average 154 yards per game passing, which is 118th and 224 yards per game rushing, which is 34th.

Defensively, UTSA is weak against the run. They allow just 35.5 points per game, which is 114th in the country. They allow 377.5 yards per game, which is 73rd nationally. That breaks down to 179 yards per game passing, which ranks 39th, and a massive 198 yards per game on the ground, which is 110th.

UTSA will be happy when the Conference USA portion of their schedule gets underway next week.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take Army in this one. I just don’t see how the Roadrunners are going¬† to stop Army’s potent running attack. Army pounded No. 10 ranked Michigan on the ground last week, even when Michigan knew they were going to run it. How UTSA will stop them is hard to fathom,. For starters, the roadrunners defense is a weak spot as Baylor tore them up for more than 300 yards on the ground. Look for a similar number by Army in this match up. Offensively, UTSA can run the ball, but they face a tough Army defense, which should hold them well under 20 points. They’ll probably be closer to 2 touchdowns. Sixteen points is a lot to give up, but I think Army will cover.

Prediction: Army -16

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. I’d be surprised to see UTSA score more than 2 touchdowns against a stout Army defense that has allowed only 15 points per game and gave up just 14 points to top 10 Michigan in regulation last Saturday. Army should score at will, but because they run the ball, they’ll eat a lot of the clock and that will keep the score down. The under is 5-2 in Black Knights last 7 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 non-conference games. Also, the under is 9-3 in Roadrunners last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 7-3 in Roadrunners last 10 home games.

Prediction: Under

David Shields

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