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Louisiana Tech vs. Bowling Green Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 9-14-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#163 Louisiana Tech
Bulldogs -13
#164 Bowling Green
Falcons 55.5

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 5:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

1 - 1

0-2
ATS
1-1
O/U
16
PPG
29
OPPG

Bowling Green Falcons

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
0-2
O/U
22
PPG
27
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Bowling Green Falcons host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in a non-conference battle in week three action in college football. Bowling Green, of the Mid American Conference, is coming off one of its worst defeats in years, losing 52-0 to Kansas State. Louisiana Tech, which plays in Conference USA, is coming off a win over Grambling. Game time is Saturday, Sept. 14 at 5:00 p.m. Eastern at Perry stadium ion the Bowling Green campus.

There’s not a lot of familiarity here as the two schools have not met since Seinfeld was on TV. The Bulldogs won that 1997 battle, but that was a long time ago. Louisiana Tech is favored in this one by 10 points in the early lines.

Louisiana Tech holds on for first win

Louisiana Tech didn’t have a lot of success against Texas in week one, but playing against a top 10 team in the Longhorns, they weren’t expected to. But they didn’t put up much of a fight, losing 45-14. Last week, they had to work extra hard to eke out a win over  Grambling 20-14. It was their first win as they improved to 1-1. Quarterback J’mar Smith had a very solid game, going 17 for 25 for 220 yards and a touchdown. Griffin Hebert had 3 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. Cee Jay Powell had 4 catches for 57 yards. Israel Tucker added 71 yards rushing on 16 carries while Jacqis Dancy had 49 yards on 5 carries. Smith had 25 yards rushing while Justin Henderson had 23 yards rushing and a touchdown.

While the Bulldogs got the “W,” they were outplayed by Grambling. They blew a 20-0 halftime lead and held on for deal life for the win as Grambling had over 300 total yards in the second half alone. they had over 45o total yards in the game to Louisiana Tech’s 390.

“I talked to (the team) in the locker room, told them to enjoy the win and it was like we lost,” Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz said, reported the News Star. “It was quiet, nobody was saying anything. They’re down, they know they didn’t play well in the second half. Never take winning for granted. It was a tale of two halves. There were a lot of bright spots but an awful lot of things we’ve got to clean up.”

That clean up work will begin with its defense, which has allowed 29 points per game this year, which is 94th in the country, and 454 total yards per game, which ranks 111th. They give up an average of 270 yards in the air (105th) and 184 yards per game on the ground, which is 104th.

Offensively, they only score 17 points per game, which ranks 112th in the country. Yet, they average a healthy 401 yards per game, which ranks 71st. That breaks down to 280 yards per game in the air (40th) and 121 yards per game on the ground (104th). The offense should get untracked against Bowling Green.

Bowling Green throws gutter ball

Bowling Green (1-1) ran into a buzz saw last Saturday when they were completely outclassed by their Big 12 opponent, Kansas State, who beat them 52-0. It was a game the Falcons would rather forget, but of course, we’ll remind everyone how bad they were. They had less than 150 yards of total offense, including 79 yards passing and 64 yards on the ground. Bowling Green quarterback Darius Ward was 8 for 19 passing for 79 yards. Davon Jones had 47 yards rushing on 8 carries. Bryson Denley had 3 catches for 23 yards. That was about it from an offensive standpoint. They certainly missed Andrew Clair, their best running back, who was out with an injury, but he wouldn’t have made much of a difference here.

Defensively, they could not stop Kansas State, which rushed for more than 300 yards on the ground. James Gilbert led the Kansas State attack with 103 yards and 2 touchdowns while quarterback Skylar Thompson was an efficient 10 for 13 for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns.

“I told our team that our Monday and Tuesday practice was a direct reflection of what happened today, and it was,” Bowling Green coach Loeffler said, reported the Toledo Blade. “For us to improve, it’s got to be an every-day thing. In this game, you get what deserve. We didn’t practice well early in the week and we got what we deserved.”

It was a hard pill to swallow after they beat Morgan State in the opener. The Falcons have allowed 27 points per game this year, which is 82nd in the country, and 295 total yards per game, which ranks 38th. They only give up an average of 106 yards in the air, which is 6th nationally, and 189 yards per game on the ground, which is 105th.

Offensively, the Falcons score 23 points per game, which ranks 95th in the country. They average 380 yards per game, which ranks 84th. That breaks down to 185 yards per game in the air (99th) and 193 yards per game on the ground (48th). Clair is not on the injury report, so he should play Saturday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take Bowling Green getting the points at home. It’s hard to know exactly what these two teams are just yet. Bowling Green destroyed Morgan State in their opener, and then got destroyed by Big 12 Kansas State. Louisiana Tech got destroyed by Big 12 Texas in the opener, then eked out a win over Grambling. What’s troubling about the Bulldog’s performances this year is that they have given up a lot of yards to both opponents, both in the air and on the ground. It means their defense is not very good. Bowling Green is much better offensively than they showed against Kansas State. Darius Ward should be able to move the ball against the Bulldogs and with Clair back, they’ll easily cover the spread at home.

Prediction: Bowling Green +10

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the over. Both of these teams are due to break out. They both have better offenses than they’ve shown, especially the Bulldogs. And they both have pretty bad defenses. Offenses can generally get better and start clicking, but it’s hard to improve on defense if you just don’t have the horses. I look for this to be a high-scoring shootout. I actually think the Bulldogs have enough firepower to win this game, but they don’t cover. But this will be in the over. The over is 9-2 in the Falcons last 11 games following an against the spread loss and 9-4 in their last 13 following a straight up loss.

Prediction: Over

David Shields

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