Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Notre Dame Stadium
When: Saturday, September 14, 2019, 2:30 pm ET
We have a fun game on Sunday when Mountain West Conference member New Mexico Lobos head to South Bend, Indiana for a matchup with the seventh-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish. This will be the first meeting between the two schools with the Fighting Irish holding a 30-6 record against Mountain West schools. New Mexico head coach Bob Davie spent four seasons as head coach of Notre Dame, and you can bet he’ll have the Lobos up for this one on Saturday.
New Mexico enters this contest with a 1-0 record thanks to a 39-31 victory over Sam Houston State University. The Lobos are 1-21 over nationally-ranked teams over the last 16 seasons and 2-10 in their last 12 road openers.
Notre Dame is 1-0 and thrashed Louisville at Cardinal Stadium by a score of 35-17. Notre Dame has won seven straight home openers and is 19-4 over their last 23 home openers.
Thrilling Home Opening Win for the Lobos
New Mexico opened their season at home with a 39-31 home win over Sam Houston State. The Lobos racked up 485 total yards with senior running back Ahmari Davis doing the most damage, rambling for 107 yards and two touchdowns to lead New Mexico past a determined Sam Houston State Bearkats football team.
"I saw the absolute very best of UNM". — Bob Davie
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) September 10, 2019
The Lobos allowed 538 total yards of offense against the Bearkats and that could be a big problem against the Fighting Irish on Saturday. The New Mexico defense allow an average of 558 yards of offense and right there will need to change if they want to win this football game against a Notre Dame offense averaging 423 yards of offense per game.
New Mexico was able to put points on the board against the Bearkats, but they are up against a Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense allowing 383 total yards per game. The Fighting Irish allowed 249 rushing yards in their season opener and if New Mexico is looking to upset Notre Dame on Saturday, Davis will be expected to lead the charge.
Lobos junior quarterback Brandt Hughes threw for 218 yards and senior Sheriron Jones threw for 122 yards and they have a tough task before him against a stingy Notre Dame passing defense allowing Louisville just 134 passing yards.
Update (9/12/19): Bob Davie will not be on the sidelines in South Bend to coach against his old team. He collapsed in the New Mexico locker room last Saturday and had a “serious medical incident”.
“I’m not going to get into a whole lot of details, and I’m sure you’ll appreciate that. It was a serious medical situation. The problem has been alleviated,” Davie told the media,
He added that he’s expected to have a “full recovery and there is no permanent damage.”
Irish Looking Forward to Home Opener with Lobos
No. 9 ranked Notre Dame got their season started with a huge season-opening road win over the Louisville Cardinals. Sophomore running back Jahmir Smith rushed for just 24 yards but hit pay dirt twice to lead the Fighting Irish to just their third true road opening victory in their last six tries.
— The Fighting Irish (@FightingIrish) September 9, 2019
The Lobos passing defense allowed 443 passing yards in their season opener and the Irish will look to sophomore quarterback Ian Book to step up and deliver. Book threw for 193 yards and a touchdown against Louisville and he will look to senior wide receiver Chase Claypool to have a big day for Notre Dame.
Notre Dame amassed 423 total yards of offense against Louisville and should have a much easier time against a Lobos defense allowing nearly 600 total yards per game. The Lobos rushing defense also allowed 115 rushing yards and we could see a big game from Notre Dame junior running back Tony Jones Jr. Jones scampered for 110 rushing yards and a touchdown against Louisville.
After allowing 14 first-quarter points, the Fighting Irish allowed just three points the rest of the way. Suffocating was one way to put it and slowing down the two-pronged passing attack of Hughes and Jones will be the key to stopping the Lobos on Saturday.
- Fighting Irish are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
- Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Fighting Irish are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Lobos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Lobos are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
Updated on Sep 14 at 8:15am EDT
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Lobos have got 56% of the bets this week and the line has gone from Notre Dame -37 down to -34.5. The Sharps are helping out the Lobo line movement in this one.
Injury / Weather Report
New Mexico’s Impact Injury Report
Out: Starting QB Brandt Hughes, DL Aaron Blackwell, and RB Bryson Carroll
Notre Dame’s Impact Injury Report
Questionable: DB Donte Vaughn and WR Chase Claypool
Out: WR Jafar Armstrong, WR Michael Young, and OL Aaron Banks
Weather: Temps in the mid-70’s and sunny
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I haven’t any doubt the Fighting Irish will win this game on Saturday but I don’t think they will win this game by 35 points. New Mexico may not be a national power like Notre Dame, but they do know how to score and the quarterback duo from New Mexico might be able to do some damage against the Irish secondary.
I’m not sold on the Notre Dame offense and even though New Mexico allows the third-most total yards in NCAA FBS this season, all they need is three stops and New Mexico should cover because I do expect the Lobos to score points on Saturday.
I’m taking the points and playing New Mexico to cover on Saturday.
Prediction: New Mexico +35 Points
Full-Game Total Pick
The only logical play for New Mexico to cover is to play the under and that’s just what we will do on Saturday.
Notre Dame could easily roll over New Mexico but I don’t see that happening. I also don’t see Lobos Head Coach Bob Davie allowing that to happen and you can bet he’ll have his charges fired up to play the school that fired him in 2001.
New Mexico gets three stops and scores 21 points and we have a 35-21 ballgame on Saturday. At least that’s what my math came up with.
I’m playing the UNDER on Saturday afternoon!!
Prediction: Under 63.5 Points