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North Texas vs. California Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 9-14-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#161 North Texas
Mean Green 55
#162 California
Golden Bears -14

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 4:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

North Texas Mean Green

1 - 1

0-2
ATS
2-0
O/U
38
PPG
39
OPPG

California Golden Bears

2 - 0

1-1
ATS
0-2
O/U
23
PPG
15
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The University of California puts its unbeaten record on the line when it hosts North Texas on Saturday. The Golden Bears come in with a record of 2-0 while North Texas is 1-1. This is the first meeting between these two schools. Kickoff is on Saturday, Sept. 14 at 4:15 p.m. Eastern at California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, Calif. The Golden Bears, of the Pac-12, are a two-touchdown favorite.

North Texas gives up 500 total yards in loss

The North Texas Mean Green, which plays in Conference USA, are 1-1 on the year. They are coming off a 49-27 thrashing at the hands of Southern Methodist University of the American Athletic Conference. SMU jumped out to a 21-0 lead and cruised from there. North Texas got gouged for over 500 total yards as SMU got 211 yards on the ground and 292 yards in the air.

North Texas had almost 400 yards of offense, including 211 yards on the ground, but it wasn’t nearly enough to overcome SMU. Quarterback Mason Fine went 17 for 32 for 152 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. But the story for North Texas was Tre Stiggers, who ran for 164 yards and a touchdown. Jaelon Darden had 6 catches for 59 yards while Michael Lawrence had 5 receptions for 44 yards. Both caught touchdown passes.

“Tre was the bright spot on the night,” North Texas head coach Seth Littrell said, reported Mean Green Sports. “He ran the ball very hard and was very physical, and he showed what he showed in practice during fall camp so I was pleased with how he played. But that’s about as far as it goes right there.”

North Texas clearly has a potent offense. They average 39 points per game, which is 25th in the country. They average 485 yards per game, which is 34th. That includes 284 yards per game in the air, which is 36th, and 201 yards pg on the ground, which is 45th,

The problem is the defense. It has been atrocious. They allow 40 points per game, which ranks 121st in the country. They allow a whopping 479 total yards per game, which is 115th. That includes allowing 282 yards per game in the air, which is 110th, and 197 yards per game on the ground, which is 109th.

California upsets Washington

The California Golden Bears, who play in the Pac-12 Conference, are off to a great start in 2019. They are coming off a big conference win last Saturday, beating Washington on the road by the score of 20-19.  Golden Bears kicker Greg Thomas kicked the game-winning field goal with 12 seconds left to secure the upset as Washington had been a nearly two-touchdown favorite.

“I’m really proud of the team because it wasn’t the cleanest, but they just keep fighting and they’re a tough bunch of guys,” Cal coach Justin Wilcox said, reported USA Today.

Cal gave up 348 total yards, including 186 yards on the ground. But they ran the ball very effectively, rushing for 192 yards. Christopher Brown led the Bears with 80 yards rushing and 30 yards receiving on 3 catches. Marcel Dancy had 72 yards on the ground with 2 touchdowns. The Bears defense forced two turnovers.

The Bears offense has been pretty one-dimensional. They average 23 points per game, which is 92nd in the country. They average 387 yards per game, which is 79th. The bulk of that is on the ground as they average 212 yards rushing per game, which is 38th in the country. They average 174 yards passing per game, which ranks 104th.

The defense has been very good. They allow just 16 points per game, which ranks 33rd in the country. They allow a 306 total yards per game, which is 45th. They give up 171 yards per game in the air, which ranks 34th in the country, and 134 yards per game rushing, which ranks 65th.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Golden Bears here. North Texas has one of the worst defenses in the country. They will have their hands full stopping a very potent California rushing attack, which gained over 200 yards against a very good Washington team last week. The Bears should run will on North Texas, which was absolutely mauled by SMU for over 500 total yards. Two touchdowns is a lot to give up, especially against a North Texas team that has a very good offense, but the Mean Green are out of their league here against a Golden Bear defense that only allows on 16 points per game.

Prediction: California -14

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. Cal has one of the best defenses in the country, holding Washington to just 19 points after they scored 47 points in their first game. North Texas has a potent offense, but they are above their skis here here and won’t be able to score anywhere near their season average. With Cal’s ball control, ground and pound offense, look for the total to be played in the under. The under is 4-0 in Mean Green last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 11-3-1 in their last 15 games overall. Also, the under is 6-1 in Golden Bears last 7 non-conference games and 4-1 in the last 5 home games.

Prediction: Under

David Shields

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