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The UMass Minutemen head to Charlotte to face the 49ers from the Jerry Richardson Stadium in week three of college football action. The Minutemen have made a horrid start to their season, losing both games by a massive margin. The 49ers have split their opening two games.
Minutemen make horrific start to season
The UMass Minutemen have made a terrible start to their 2019-20 season. Over two games, both big losses, the Minutemen have conceded an average of 46.5 points per game, which is 127th in the country. They were dismantled 48-21 against Rutgers in the season opener, followed by a big 45-20 defeat at the hands of Southern Illinois in their previous game.
The Salukis cruised to a 45-20 win after leading 17-13 at halftime. Randall West had 125 yards in the air and ran for a touchdown, their only highlight of the game.
The Minutemen are in big trouble if they don’t improve dramatically very soon. Their offense ranks only 20.5 points per game, which puts them outside the top 100 in the country in both offense and defense. Bilal Ally has 155 yards on 27 carries, which is less than six yards per carry.
— UMass Football (@UMassFootball) September 7, 2019
Charlotte beaten, but offense stands up
Apart from the fact that the 49ers are 1-1 for the season, there are a lot of promising signs. They have averaged 45 points per game, which is tied for 22nd in the country. After a season-opening 49-28 win, the 49ers were convincingly beaten by Appalachian State in their previous game, 56-41.
The Mountaineers were consistent offensively right through the game, putting up 14 points in each quarter. That’s a problem for the 49ers defense in an error-laden game. Chris Reynolds threw for 296 yards and four touchdowns. The second half was tied 28-28, but a lack of defensive efficiency in the first half cost the 49ers the game.
The 49ers will look for their offense. Their rushing offense has been sensational, averaging 276 yards per game, which is 14th in the country. In the air, they average 241 yards passing, 61st in the nation, not bad either. Their defense, however, needs work, conceding an average of 42 points per game so far (125th overall).
The struggling Minutemen may not pose a big threat to the 49ers, but they still need to tighten up their defense. They’ve been too loose with the ball. If they can keep this offensive effectiveness up, they may buy themselves some time to fix their defensive woes.
Charlotte 49ers are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
UMass Minutemen are:
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Which is the better team in the contest? The 49ers. Now, let’s say the Minutemen manage their average against a superior team. Away from home, the Minutemen average 21 points per game scoring and concede 48 points. That’s a difference of 27 points right there. Give them a touchdown for margin of error, and you still have the 49ers covering the spread. Also, at home, the 49ers are averaging 49 points per game.
Prediction: Charlotte 49ers -20
Full-Game Total Pick
The 49ers have some of the best offensive numbers in the country. But these points have come against relatively weaker defenses. The Minutemen aren’t even ranked in the top 100 in the country offensively. While the 49ers are expected to capitalize on a weak defensive unit of the Minutemen, the total might not cross 69 points.
Prediction: Under 69