Upcoming Free Picks

Western Kentucky vs. Louisville Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 9-14-2019

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#157 Western Kentucky
Hilltoppers 55.5
#158 Louisville
Cardinals -10.5

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
1-1
O/U
23
PPG
24
OPPG

Louisville Cardinals

1 - 1

2-0
ATS
0-2
O/U
29
PPG
17
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Louisville Cardinals play their state rival, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Saturday in a neutral site game. The Hilltoppers gave the Cardinals all they could handle last year, losing 20-17 at Louisville. The Cardinals, who play in the ACC, are 1-1 on the year. They are coming off a 42-0 shutout win over Eastern Kentucky last week. The Hilltoppers, who play in Conference USA, are also 1-1. They are coming off a conference win over Florida International. Kickoff is on Saturday, Sept. 14 at 4:00 p.m. Eastern at the Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Louisville is a 9 point favorite in the early lines.

Western Kentucky pulls upset at FIU

Western Kentucky played their much more heralded and accomplished state rival, the Louisville Cardinals, last year for the first time in many years. Despite being a huge underdog, they gave the Cardinals everything they could handle before losing 20-17. So here they are, playing the Cardinals for the second straight year, and once again they are underdogs, but not as big as they were last year. They are also playing on a neutral site, Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Do they have a chance?

The Hilltoppers come into this game at 1-1. They lost their opener to Southland Conference foe Central Arkansas in their season opener. It was not a good start for new coach Tyson Helton, who was hired as coach in December.  Making matters, WKU blew a 14 point fourth quarter lead as Central Arkansas scored 21 straight points to win 35-28.

The Hilltoppers bounced back last week with a 20-14 win at Florida International University. It was a huge win because FIU is considered to be one of the favorites in Conference USA. It was also big because it was on the road and it was Helton’s first win. “Obviously it’s just one win, but the key is to build off of this success. I’m really proud of our guys,” Helton said, reported Underdog Dynasty.

Quarterback Steven Duncan went 19 for 33 for 241 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Gaej walker racked up 100 yards rushing and a touchdown, while Lucky Jackson had 6 catches for 94 yards. Kyle Fourtenbary had 5 grabs for 74 yards. But the real story was the defense. They shut down FIU and held them to just 66 yards passing and just over 200 total yards. They stopped a potential game winning drive by FIU in the final minutes. “Coach all this week was preaching the last five minutes of the game,” WKU safety Devon Key told the Bowling Green Daily News. “We knew it was going to come down to that and we knew what we had to do.”

Louisville gets first win for Satterfield

Louisville is not expected to be a top tier team in the ACC this year, but they have proven in the early going of the 2019 season that they will be a team to reckoned with. In their season opener, they lost to No. 7 ranked Notre Dame by the score of 35-17, but it was closer than the score would indicate. They jumped out to a 14-7 lead and kept it close until Notre Dame put it away with a fourth-quarter touchdown.

Last week, the Cardinals took out their frustrations on another cross-state rival, Eastern Kentucky. They pounded Eastern Kentucky 42-0 as quarterback Jawon Pass was 12 for 19 for 196 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. Pass also ran for 37 yards. Running back Javian Hawkins just ran over Eastern Kentucky for 123 yards on just 11 carries. Malik Cunningham added 74 yards on the ground. Justin Marshall had 59 yards receiving while Chartorius Atwell had 53 yards and a touchdown. Louisville had 542 total yards.

It was the first win for new coach Scott Satterfield, who had a successful run at Appalachian State. “To have a goose egg, as our guys like to call it, it was exciting for them to be able to celebrate that,” Satterfield told Kentucky.com. “That’s a hard feat to do in college football, to shut another team out … they just kept the pressure on them all night … It’s been a long time for them to celebrate in the locker room with a victory. And all the hard work we put into the offseason and summer … to come out here and get a victory like that was tremendous for our guys.”

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take Louisville giving up the points. This is by no means and easy game for the Cardinals. Western Kentucky came within a field goal of beating them last year and they are a team that showed it can win on the road against a team it’s not supposed to beat. Their defense was fantastic against FIU, but they have a much tougher task to hold down Louisville, who’s averaged 29 points and 462 yards per game. The key here will be the running game. Louisville has averaged 285 yards per game on the ground, which is 11th, while the Hilltoppers have allowed 235 yards per game on the ground. Louisville will look to run it down WKU’s throat and will be successful doing it. But I still think it will be close for most of the game as in-state rivalry games are always a little more intense. But a late touchdown will put this away for Louisville.

Prediction: Louisville -9

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. It’s early and we don’t quite know what these teams are yet, but this game will help define both of them a little bit. Right now, it looks like the defenses aren’t great. Louisville shut out Eastern Kentucky, but I don’t read too much into that as it was a mismatch. If they shut down WKU, it may help validate that shut out. Western Kentucky has not been very effective stopping the run, so I don’t see them offering much resistance. But it will be a ground and pound type game, eating up the clock, so I don’t see the total reaching the pretty high over-under total. The under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-1 their last 5 non-conference games. Also, the under is 4-1 in Hilltoppers last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Prediction: Over

David Shields

Coming Soon!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Sunday, Sep 22
NFL
#461 Denver Broncos 43.5
#462 Packers -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#463 Detroit Lions 49.5
#464 Philadelphia Eagles -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Baltimore Ravens 51.5
#466 Kansas City Chiefs -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#467 Cincinnati Bengals 40.5
#468 Buffalo Bills -6
1:00pm
View Pick
#469 Atlanta Falcons 48
#470 Indianapolis Colts -1
1:00pm
View Pick
#471 Oakland Raiders 43
#472 Minnesota Vikings -9
1:00pm
View Pick
#473 New York Jets
#474 New England Patriots
1:00pm
View Pick
#475 Miami Dolphins
#476 Dallas Cowboys
1:00pm
View Pick
#477 New York Giants 49
#478 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6
4:05pm
View Pick
#479 Carolina Panthers 43.5
#480 Arizona Cardinals -2
4:05pm
View Pick
#481 New Orleans Saints 50
#482 Seattle Seahawks -5
4:25pm
View Pick
#483 Houston Texans 49
#484 Los Angeles Chargers -3
4:25pm
View Pick
#485 Pittsburgh Steelers 46.5
#486 49ers -6.5
4:25pm
View Pick
#487 Los Angeles Rams -3.5
#488 Cleveland Browns 51
8:20pm
View Pick
MLB
#915 Toronto Blue Jays
#916 New York Yankees
1:05pm
View Pick
#917 Seattle Mariners
#918 Baltimore Orioles
1:05pm
View Pick
#901 New York Mets -110
#902 Cincinnati Reds 9
1:10pm
View Pick
#903 Washington Nationals -200
#904 Miami Marlins 9
1:10pm
View Pick
#919 Chicago White Sox
#920 Detroit Tigers
1:10pm
View Pick
#921 Boston Red Sox
#922 Tampa Bay Rays
1:10pm
View Pick
#905 San Francisco Giants 9.5
#906 Atlanta Braves -210
1:20pm
View Pick
#907 Pittsburgh Pirates 9
#908 Milwaukee Brewers -255
2:10pm
View Pick
#923 Kansas City Royals
#924 Minnesota Twins
2:10pm
View Pick
#925 Los Angeles Angels
#926 Houston Astros
2:10pm
View Pick
#909 St. Louis Cardinals
#910 Chicago Cubs
2:20pm
View Pick
#927 Texas Rangers
#928 Oakland Athletics
4:07pm
View Pick
#911 Colorado Rockies
#912 Los Angeles Dodgers
4:10pm
View Pick
#913 Arizona Diamondbacks
#914 San Diego Padres
4:10pm
View Pick
#929 Philadelphia Phillies
#930 Cleveland Indians
6:35pm
View Pick
Monday, Sep 23
NFL
#489 Chicago Bears -3.5
#490 Washington Redskins 42.5
8:15pm
View Pick