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Middle Tenn State vs. Georgia,
9-15-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#187 Middle Tenn State
Blue Raiders
#188 Georgia
Bulldogs

Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Middle Tenn State Blue Raiders

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
1-1
O/U
33
PPG
35
OPPG

Georgia Bulldogs

2 - 0

1-1
ATS
1-0
O/U
42
PPG
8
OPPG

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Georgia Bulldogs

NCAAF: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia at 7:15 PM ET, Saturday, September 15, 2018

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders face their sternest test of the season when they travel to the Sanford Stadium to face the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday evening. Both teams are coming into this game on the back of strong offensive performances in their respective previous games.

Stockstill leads Blue Raiders to first win

After being blown away by the Vanderbilt Commodores in the season opener, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have bounced back well. Normally, a 61-point offensive game deserves a lot more than “well” as an adjective to describe a performance, but they did also concede 37 points to the UT Martin Skyhawks.

Brent Stockstill had a sensational game, throwing for 407 yards and five touchdowns, the third time in his career. The Blue Raiders led 26-17 at halftime, but the game only picked up intensity in the second half.

The Blue Raiders have put up an impressive start in the air offensively. They average 292.5 yards in the air per game, which puts them 33rd in the country, their best rank among all major statistics.

Georgia’s defense gets better

Faced with a sterner test in the South Carolina Gamecocks, the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs hardly broke a sweat in dispatching the No. 24 team 41-17 to begin SEC play. They have now scored 86 points in their first two games. Jake Fromm passed for 194 yards and a touchdown, finishing with an effective 15 of 18.

From a personnel perspective, OL Andrew Thomas has been listed as questionable with an ankle worry. DB Tray Bishop is day-to-day for personal reasons.

Georgia’s stifling defense was on show against South Carolina. They have allowed just 244 yards per game, which puts them 11th in the country. Against the rush, they’ve given away just 72.5 yards per game, sensational by any standards.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The mismatch in this game is on the defensive end. The Bulldogs have allowed just 8.5 points per game this season, 9th in the country. Not a great sample size, but their performances are still enough to show that they can sustain their defensive efficiency. The Blue Raiders have also struggled with their own rushing offense, putting up just 96.5 yards per game on the ground. Big mismatches to capitalize on.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs -31.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Yes, the Bulldogs have enough class and skill to even translate their own defensive efficiency into points, but I don’t think the Blue Raiders do. It will be a blowout, but with the total staying under.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

In two games, the Bulldogs have allowed just 488 yards of total offense. That is stunning by any standards. That means they are ranked 11th in the country. The Blue Raiders don’t have the offense to be able to put too many points on the board.

Prediction: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders points: Under

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Bulldogs will take a comfortable lead at halftime on account of their efficiency on both ends of the field. Enough to even put the game beyond the Blue Raiders after two quarters.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

Again, the apparent mismatches between Georgia’s defense and Middle Tennessee State’s offense will cause the points total to stay under, despite a host of points for Georgia.

Prediction: Under

Nikhil Kalro

Nikhil has been working with ESPN since the age of 18 and covers cricket for their website ESPNcricinfo. When not writing or editing news, game reports, commentary and analysis stories, he is following American sports. A love for stats and patterns, research and results and plain simple learning with a few years of handicapping experience makes him almost 0.500 reliable. A degree in business administration and a keen eye for volatile industries like the stock market help too.

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