North Texas vs. Iowa, 9-16-2017 - Prediction & Preview
Written by: Jason Green
North Texas Mean Green (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U)
NCAAF: Saturday, September 16, 2017 at 3:30 p.m. ET Kinnick Stadium Iowa City, IA The
Line: Iowa -21.5
North Texas easily won their season opener against a cupcake in Lamar, but then fell down to earth in their last game losing to SMU where they gave up 54 points. They head to Iowa as a 21.5-point road favorite, which I think is pretty generous from the oddsmakers. The Mean Green played Iowa on the road in their last meeting in 2015 where Iowa laid a 62-16 beat down on North Texas.
Iowa has started the season 2-0 and got a solid win in their last game beating in-state rival Iowa State from the Big 12. While North Texas is not a college football powerhouse the Hawkeyes cannot look past them to their big game in their following one facing a top five ranked Penn State squad.
Even in yards, but that is about it
North Texas lost to SMU 54-32 in their last game where each team had the same number of yards (493), but the Mean Green still lost by 22 points. They committed three turnovers and only forced one and it did not help that they allowed SMU to convert half of their 3rd downs (9/18). Mason Fine had a big day in the air, as the NT QB passed for 424 yards with three TD and two INT and Jalen Guyton (109 yards two TD) led three Mean Green players that had at least 84 receiving yards. North Texas could run the ball in the game only rushing for 69 yards with Jeffery Wilson being the leading rusher going for 36 yards on a paltry 2.8 yards per carry. At least North Texas will be facing an Iowa defense that gave up 467 yards in their last game.
Iowa beat Iowa State 44-41 in their last game, so they have in-state bragging rights on their neighbor. While Iowa did give up 467 yards they did force a turnover and did not commit any and racked up 497 total yards (333 passing yards 164 rushing yards). Nathan Stanley was 27 for 41 in the game for 333 yards and five TD and 0 INT and six players for the Hawkeyes had at least 30 receiving yards led by Akrum Wadley (72 yards 1 TD), who also rushed for 118 yards and a TD. Wadley has rushed for at least 116 yards in each of the first two games for Iowa and while the Mean Green lost to SMU in their last game they did only give up 99 yards on the ground.
The North Texas Mean Green are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games
The Iowa Hawkeyes are:
- 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf
North Texas has failed to cover the spread in their last four road games and they were throttled by Iowa the last time facing them. Look for both of those things to happen again in this non-conference match up. The Hawkeyes will easily win this game and move to 3-0 on the season sending the Mean Green under .500.
PICK: Iowa -21.5
I dig every sport and the NFL is my favorite. My team is the Redskins and my 2nd favorite is whoever is playing the Cowboys! I am a great handicapper and if you don’t believe me just ask. I don’t just write about betting on games I actually bet on them and I have done well, which is why it is a good idea to follow my picks.
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