Oregon State vs. Washington State, 9-16-2017 - Pick and Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
Oregon State Beavers (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)
vs Washington State Cougars (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS)
When: Saturday, Sep 16th, 5:30 PM ET
Line: Washington St -19
TV/Live Stream: Pac-12 Networks
Washington State hosts Oregon State in a Pac-12 matchup at Martin Stadium. The Cougars survived a wild one against Boise State that dipped into triple overtime. The Beavers got pummeled against Minnesota at home and could end up being the worst team among all Power Five schools. WSU has a three-game winning streak against OSU.
Badgers have no bite against Minnesota’s ground game
Oregon State’s offense had a spark in the second quarter, but it didn’t carry over in what was eventually a blowout against P.J. Fleck’s new team. After struggling against Buffalo a week ago, Minnesota put up 411 yards of offense against the Beavers while the home team was stifled to just 225 yards. The Gophers only put the ball in the air eight times, but had more rushing yards (253) than OSU had total yards. Quarterback Jake Luton for the Beavers completed 16-of-28 passes for 135 yards and had a touchdown. It wasn’t awful, but the rushing attack was limited to 80 total yards and the team went 3-for-11 on third down.
It also didn’t help that three different players, including Luton, coughed up a fumble and gave Minnesota more possessions. Receiver Isaiah Hodgins had the most receptions (7), but only registered 48 yards. Jordan Villamin had the better day with 55 yards on three catches and the lone TD pass. Linebacker Manase Hungalu dealt with a hip injury in the first two games, but recorded 10 total tackles in his season debut.
Washington State comes back from 21-point deficit
After whooping up on FCS Montana State 31-0 to open up the season, the Cougars’ defense was in a bigger pickle against Boise State. Things were looking bleak down 31-10 with 10 minutes to go in the game, but an amazing comeback forced overtime and got WSU a victory. Surprisingly, neither team got past 500 total yards, but the Cougars had the most at 455. Most of that came in their air raid attack among two quarterbacks. Tyler Hilinski had the better night completing 25-of-33 passes for 240 yards, 3 touchdowns, and a pick. Luke Falk recorded 24-of-34 passes for 193 yards and just a pick.
Two of Hilinski’s passing TDs came in the fourth quarter comeback. He had a 17-yard pass to Jamire Calvin and a six-yard throw to Jamal Morrow in the end zone. The contest ended with his third TD — another pass to Morrow, this time a 22-yard completion. Morrow finished with 36 yards on six completions. Renard Bell didn’t record a touchdown, but he led all receivers with 107 yards on 7 catches. Five different players had six or more catches, and ironically enough it was running back James Williams that had most of them (10). He’s now had the same amount of running attempts as he’s had catches this season (23) and has 200 receiving yards to 76 rushing yards.
Oregon State is:
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a double-digit loss at home
Washington State is:
- 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
The Cougars are favored by less than three touchdowns due to their questionable defense. Don’t let that fool you — the Beavers don’t look like they’ll be stopping anybody soon and this should be a monster blowout for the home team.
Pick: Washington St -19
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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