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NCAAF

Stanford vs. San Diego St,
9-16-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#209 Stanford
Cardinal
#210 San Diego St
Aztecs

Saturday, September 16, 2017 at 10:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Stanford Cardinal

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

San Diego St Aztecs

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Stanford Cardinal (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
vs San Diego State Aztecs (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, Sep 16th, 10:30 PM ET

Line: Stanford -9.5

Total: 45.5

TV/Live Stream: CBS Sports Network

San Diego State will host Stanford in an intriguing Pac-12 vs. Mountain West matchup late on Saturday night at Qualcomm Stadium. The Cardinals dropped a tough one to USC over the weekend. The Aztecs have won four in a row dating back to last season, and they were able to upset Arizona State on the road.

Love dazzles again, but not enough for Cardinal to compete

Stanford’s seven-game winning streak came to a close at USC last Saturday. It was an impressive run that featured five road games — and one played in Australia — but the defense was torched by a much stronger Trojan squad. They gave up over 600 yards while collecting just 342 yards in comparison. They had a balanced attack and there’s certainly hope for their future at running back. Bryce Love may not be Christian McCaffery, but he had 160 yards on 17 catches and scored a touchdown. Outside of that offensively, there wasn’t much to be excited about.

Quarterback Keller Chryst completed 15-of-28 passes for 172 yards. He did net two touchdowns, but finished with a quarterback rating of 55.8. J.J. Arcega-Whiteside led the catching with four receptions, 67 yards, and one of those touchdowns. The team converted half of their third downs (6-for-12), but the offense couldn’t take advantage of two turnovers coughed up by USC. The defense simply couldn’t keep the team in it, giving up an electrifying 12.2 yards per pass.

Penny has over 350 all-purpose yards, 3 scores for SDSU

There’s a lot of unrest among the Arizona State football program, and San Diego State didn’t do anything to squash that discomfort. Rashaad Penny was an absolute beast, tallying up 353 all-purpose yards. He had a 95-yard touchdown run in the first quarter to start scoring, and at the beginning of the second quarter, he returned a 99-yard kickoff to the house. Not done yet, he caught a 33-yard pass for another score to make it 27-14 SDSU late in the third period. The Aztecs only had 73 passing yards, but that’s all they needed to get the job done.

Penny ended his night with 216 rushing yards on 18 carries with the long TD run. Quarterback Christian Chapman completed half of his passes (9-of-18) and had that lone TD throw with no picks. They were able to survive being penalized 12 times and were victorious in their much different style of play than ASU, who threw the ball up more often than not. Penny is probably not going to have a ridiculous game like that again, but Stanford will have to be on notice.

Trends

Stanford is:

  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games
  • 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after a SU loss

San Diego State is:

  • 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against Pac-12 opponents
  • 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September

The Aztecs took advantage of what could be a bad Arizona State squad this year, but lightning won’t strike twice. This is a bad matchup for a Stanford team that should be able to stay on the field, and their defense will certainly rebound after getting smoked by USC.

Pick: Stanford -9.5

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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