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Miami - FL vs. Louisville Prediction,
and Odds - 9-19-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#115 University of Miami
Hurricanes 2.5
#116 University of Louisville
Cardinals -2.5

Saturday, September 19, 2020 at 4:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The 2020 College Football season heads to the Atlantic Coast Conference, as the Miami Hurricanes will visit the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday, September 19, with the kick-off at 7:30 PM ET.

Both Hurricanes and Cardinals were victorious in the opener last week, playing a couple of non-conference rivals as strong favorites. This time, they start the ACC play, and we should see a very interesting contest between two talented and exciting teams.

Last year, the Hurricanes dismantled the Cardinals 52-27 as 6.5-point home favorites and Louisville will seek revenge this Saturday at Cardinal Stadium.

Line Movements

The Cardinals have gone from -2 up to -2.5 and with Louisville getting 70% of the bets.

The OU Line has gone from 59.5 down to 64.5, despite the Under getting the 57% of the bets.

Gametime Weather: Clear with Temps in the lower 60s.

The Hurricanes’ ground game crashed UAB

The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a comfortable 31-14 home victory over the UAB Blazers. They controlled the game and built a 17-point lead ahead of the scoreless fourth quarter, covering a 15.5-point spread.

The Hurricanes posted 495 total yards while surrendering only 285 in a return. Cam’Ron Harris led the way with 17 carries for 134 yards and a couple of touchdowns, while Houston transfer QB D’Eriq King, tossed for 144 yards and a TD while toting the pigskin 12 times for 83 yards and a TD.

Miami’s offense looked fluid with King under center. The Hurricanes ran for 337 yards, tallying 6.5 runs per carry and converting seven of their 17 3rd downs. On the other side of the ball, they limited UAB to just 3.1 yards per rush and 80 in total, but the Hurricanes’ secondary wasn’t as good as their run D.

Miami’s Injury Report

Questionable: P Matias Gasc and OL Issiah Walker Jr.

Out: OL Kai-Leon Herbert, OL Zalon'Tae Hillery, and OL Navaughn Donaldson

The Cardinals’ passing game looks good

The Louisville Cardinals topped the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 35-21 in their opening game of the 2020 College Football season. Junior QB Micale Cunningham had a great day in the office, throwing for 343 yards and three touchdowns while completing 19 of his 34 passing attempts.

The Cardinals dominated the Hilltoppers through the air, and Dez Fitzpatrick had four receptions for 110 yards and a TD. Interestingly, Braden Smith had four catches for 110 yards, too, but he didn’t score.

Javian Hawkins had 19 carries for 71 yards and a TD, but the Cardinals mostly relied on Cunningham’s arm, while their defense did an excellent job. Louisville yielded only 248 total yards and 3.4 yards per rush. That’s a good sign, as the Cardinals finished the previous season 110th in the country in points allowed per game (33.4) and 102nd in total yards surrendered (440.1).

Louisville’s Injury Report

None Listed

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This should be a tight clash of two conference foes that know each other very well. The bookies listed the hosts as slight 2.5-point favorites, so they expect the same. It could easily go either way, as it’s early in the season, while both teams certainly have a lot of room for improvement on both sides of the ball.

I like the Hurricanes’ setup with D’Eriq King under center, so I’m taking them to cover a 3.5-point spread and keep it within a field-goal range. They’ve been terrific in September over the last few years and looked sharp on the field last week.

Prediction: Miami Hurricanes +3.5 (-138)

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Full-Game Total Pick

Honestly, I don’t feel comfortable with the side bet, but I do expect to see a high-scoring affair at Cardinal Stadium this Saturday. Both teams played good defense last week, but they met some arguably weaker opponents.

Furthermore, both Hurricanes and Cardinals should be way more dangerous on the offensive end. With D’Eriq King and Cam’Ron Harris, the Hurricanes’ ground game is one of the best in the ACC, and I think they will torture the Cardinals in this one.

On the other side, the Cardinals’ passing game will be a big problem for the Hurricanes who already struggled in the secondary against the UAB Blazers. Micale Cunningham impressed in the opener and will look to build on that performance.

Hereof, I think both teams possess enough firepower to do a lot of damage, so I’m betting on the over on the totals. The over has hit in Louisville’s last six games overall and Miami’s previous five outings in Week 3.

Prediction: Over 64.5 points (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet

Prediction: Over 64.5 points (-110)

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