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Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State Prediction,
and Odds - 9-19-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#141 University of Tulsa
Golden Hurricane
#142 Oklahoma State University

Saturday, September 19, 2020 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The State of Oklahoma will showcase an in-state matchup this Saturday as The University of Tulsa travels to Oklahoma State University with kickoff scheduled for 12:00pm EDT. The game was rescheduled for this Saturday as 12 football players from Oklahoma State had positive coronavirus tests.

Boone Pickens Stadium, home of the OSU Cowboys, can normally hold around 55,000 fans. Oklahoma State is expecting very limited capacity and allowing around 15,000 fans to social-distance and support Oklahoma college football.

This matchup of the Atlantic Coast Conference versus the Big 12 Conference is a repeat of a game that ended with a 40-21 win for OSU in Tulsa last season. The Golden Hurricanes of Tulsa were actually winning at the half over the Cowboys 21-20, but OCU scored 20 unanswered points in the second half in a game where Chuba Hubbard rushed for 256 yards on 32 carries.

Line Movements

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have gone from -20.5 up to -23.5 and that is consistent with the fact that the Cowboys have grabbed 76% of the bets.

The OU Line has gone from 66.5 down to 66, despite the Over getting the 60% of the bets.

Gametime Weather: Sunny with temps in the upper-70’s

Tulsa's Backfield Returns Two Seniors

The University of Tulsa from the American Athletic Conference went 4-8 last season under Coach Philip Montgomery. They have only had one winning season in his five-year tenure with a 25-37 overall record. However, the Golden Hurricane's have optimism in 2020 as they have an offense returning a lot of starters and weapons that should give teams fits in nearly every game they play this season.

Tulsa's backfield includes two senior running backs with impressive career rushing numbers in Shamari Brooks (2,700 yards) and Corey Taylor II (1,490 yards).

"This is the deepest running back room that we've had since I've been here -- guys who are very talented all (down the) line," Tulsa coach Philip Montgomery said in the Tulsa World. "You know it's going to start with Shamari and it's going to start with Corey, guys who have been getting it done here for us for a long time.

Former Baylor Bear transfer Zach Smith returns for the Golden Hurricanes under center and he started 12 games for Tulsa in 2019. Smith threw for 3,279 with 20 TD's and only 9 INT's. Smith will have the luxury of throwing to his number one receiver from 2019 in Keylon Stokes. Stokes hauled in 1,040 yards with 6 TD's on 62 total receptions.

Tulsa began preseason camp on August 7th but they did have a 9-day pause after positive COVID-19 tests on August 12th. Practice was able to resume August 21st, but Tulsa practiced just seven times of the 17 days of preseason camp.

Tulsa’s Injury Report

Out: DB Cristian Williams

Cowboys Gundy Takes $1M Pay Cut

Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy agreed and volunteered to take a $1 million salary cut after there was a two-week review of the football program. The review was prompted by criticism surrounding Gundy's personal character around a few items. The University and players wanted to see improvement from Coach Gundy, and he backed his $1 million pay cut with cutting his contract down from five years to four, and his guarantee from 75% to 50%.

Nonetheless, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are ranked 11th in the Nation and return one of the scariest offenses in the country. The Cowboys were 8-5 last season and averaged 32.5 points per game. OSU returns the nation's leading rusher in Chuba Hubbard, who ran for 2,084 yards and 21 touchdowns. Tylan Wallace is OSU's All-American wide receiver from 2018 who caught 86 passes for 1,491 yards with 12 touchdowns in 2018. In 2019, Wallace had 53 receptions for 903 yards in nine games last year before a knee injury caused him to delay entering the NFL.

The Big 12 Conference Offensive Freshman of the year last season was OSU's very own Spencer Sanders. Sanders is a third-year sophomore who actually missed the final two games last season due to injury, but still broke the OSU freshman passing yardage record with 2,065 yards. Sanders completed 62.7% of his passes and had 16 TD's to go along with 11 INT's.

While the offense has been the talk of the town the defense returns nearly every defense contributor from 2019. Two seasons ago the Cowboys allowed over 30 plus points per game and 452 yards per game. In 2019 the defense for OSU held opponents to an improved 26.8 points and 412 yards per game.

Oklahoma State’s Injury Report

None Listed

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Oklahoma State has been victorious in 44 of their past 50 home openers. During the Coach Gundy era, the Cowboys have tallied 764 points to their opponents 220. That is good for an average of 51-15 per game in home openers. Oklahoma State has a clear advantage on the offensive end as Tulsa is only returning three starters on defense. The last game between these teams in Stillwater was in 2017 and the Cowboys racked up a 59-24 convincing victory. OSU leads the series 41-27-5 all-time and has a 25-6-3 advantage at Boone Pickens Stadium. Tulsa will score a few touchdowns that is for certain, but it will be nearly impossible for them to keep up with the OSU's offensive attack all four quarters. Take the 11th ranked Cowboys to kick off their season with a 20-30 point home victory of the Golden Hurricanes.

Prediction: Oklahoma State -21

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Full-Game Total Pick

This point total has already increased by 4.5 since the line first opened. The OSU offense will get their 50 points based on the advantage they have over the Tulsa defense. The question will come down to how good the Cowboy defense is this year. Tulsa will score enough in this game to help cover this over but most of the points will likely come in garbage time. Too many offensive weapons on both teams for me to invest on the under, even with a line at 66.5. Based on the historical average for home openers during the Gundy era (51-15), take the over in Stillwater on Saturday as this game has the making to easily have 70 plus points scored.

Prediction: Over 66.5

Shane Corey , "Shane the Greek"

Shane has been sports wagering for a little over 20 years and we have now added him to our team. Deep Vegas roots can be traced back to Shane's father who was born in Las Vegas while his Grandparents also owned multiple restaurants and businesses from the late ‘40s to the late ‘60s. Shane understands the game, but for the most part, he’s just a giant numbers-nerd obsessed with trends and identifying the player’s edge to beat the house. Follow Shane The Greek for your favorite matchups, analysis, and game breakdowns.

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