Boston College Eagles at Purdue Boilermakers
NCAAF: Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Boston College broke into the top 25 after an 3-0 start and while they have not played any powerhouse teams they did beat Wake Forest of the ACC 41-34 on the road in their last game. The Boston College offense has been pretty good, but the reason they are a ranked squad is due to their run game, which ranks 8th in the nation averaging 285.7 rushing yards per game.
Purdue has lost their last two games, but they have had some hard luck. In their three losses they have combined to lose by only eight points and they have faced two teams already from major conferences. They lost their last game on a field goal as time expired where they racked up more than 600 yards, so they can move the chains.
This is the first-ever meeting between these two teams.
Brown leads the Eagles
In Boston College’s last game they beat Wake Forest 41-34 with QB Anthony Brown passing for five TD. The Eagles racked up 524 yards in the game with 304 passing yards and 220 rushing yards and they needed the offense since they gave up 512 total yards. BC forced two turnovers in the game and they held Wake to 5/22 on 3rd down conversions. Brown passed for 304 yards with five TD and was not picked off and Jeff Smith led the Eagles with 145 receiving yards. A.J. Dillon rushed for 185 yards and in his last two games, he has rushed for a combined 334 yards.
In Purdue’s last game, they gave up 375 passing yards and 233 rushing yards. They only rank 71st in the nation in run defense and that is a concern facing the Eagles, who rank 8th in the nation in rushing yards per game.
Racking up the yards in another loss
Purdue was at home in their last game and they lost to Missouri 40-37 where they racked up 614 yards, but gave up 608 yards. While each team had a turnover Missouri had the more balanced offense and while the Boilermakers had 572 passing yards they only had 42 rushing yards. David Blough had a big game going 39/55 for 572 passing yards with three TD and a pick and three players had at least 100 receiving yards. He was also the team’s 2nd leading rusher with 18 yards and D.J. Knox led Purdue with only 23 yards on the ground. Knox had rushed for 229 yards in the previous two games, including 152 in the last game against Eastern Michigan, before being shut down by Mizzou. Knox has to run the ball well in this game for the Boilermakers to get the win.
Boston College ranks a solid 36th in the nation against the pass, but only 93rd against the run. Knox will get his carries facing an Eagles squad that gave up nearly 300 rushing yards in their last game.
The Purdue Boilermakers are:
- 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
The Boston College Eagles are:
- 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While Purdue is 0-3, they have pretty good betting trends and they have covered the spread in six of their last seven non-conference games. However, do not look for that trend to continue. The Eagles have a good all-around team with a great rushing offense and they will ride the run in this game. Look for this game to be a barnburner with a lot of points on the board, but the Eagles have a more potent offense and they will come out on top, cover the spread, and remain in the top 25.
Prediction: PICK: Boston College
Full-Game Total Pick
Even with a high total set in this game the Over is the right pick since both teams can light up the scoreboard. The Eagles have a lot of firepower led by Dillon, who might set records in this one.
Prediction: PICK: Over