Upcoming Free Picks

Arkansas vs. Auburn,
9-22-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#369 Arkansas
Razorbacks
#370 Auburn
Tigers

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arkansas Razorbacks

1 - 2

1-2
ATS
0-2
O/U
32
PPG
32
OPPG

Auburn Tigers

2 - 1

1-2
ATS
1-2
O/U
34
PPG
15
OPPG

SEC action here as the Arkansas Razorbacks will travel to Alabama to take on the Auburn Tigers. Both teams are coming off devastating losses and will be looking to bounce back here. Arkansas has lost two straight while Auburn lost on a last-second field goal to LSU.

Arkansas Embarrassed Twice

Arkansas has lost two brutal games in a row. First, they lost to Colorado State after leading nearly the entire game. They saw a multiple score lead evaporate and let CSU come charging all the way back to steal the game late in the fourth. Their defense had looked stout early in the game but completely folded when it mattered most.

Then last week, they were destroyed 44-17 by North Texas. The 27 point home loss to a non-Power 5 school was one of their worst losses in recent memory. North Texas led from start to finish and the game was never close. Because of these two losses, I think it’s a pretty good buy-low opportunity on Arkansas.

Arkansas hasn’t had good play under center all season long, and their bread and butter is the run game. They aren’t suited well for comebacks because of their struggles passing the ball. If they get behind, like they did against North Texas, it can become hard for them to get back into a game. If they want to be competitive against Auburn, they’ll need their rushing attack to show up.

Auburn’s Championship Hopes Dashed

Auburn was riding high off their Week 1 win over Washington until LSU delivered a brutal gut punch. Auburn was leading 21-13 at the end of the third, but could only watch helplessly as LSU kicked a last second field goal to top them 22-21. Jarrett Stidham wasn’t on his game in the contest, and threw two interceptions.

It was a devastating loss for a team with national title aspirations, and they’ll need to shake it off quickly. Coming off the emotional down to the wire finish, I could see them starting off sluggish here. It’s an opening for Arkansas, and the Razorbacks will need to exploit whatever hangover from the LSU game the Tigers might have.

The good news for Auburn is that they shut down the LSU run game. LSU only beat them because of strong quarterback play down the stretch, something which isn’t too likely to happen for Arkansas. If the Auburn front seven can stop the run, they could be in for a big day, but only if Stidham can put his bad game behind him and return to form.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

For a variety of reasons, I like the Razorbacks here. Although if Auburn gets up big early it will likely turn into a blowout, I don’t expect the Tigers to start strong here. Teams often come out flat after emotional last-second decision games like the LSU one, and Arkansas will be highly motivated coming off two straight embarrassments. 29 is a ton of points for a conference game between opponents who are familiar with each other, and I think this should be a fairly low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Arkansas +29

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The strength of both of these teams is their ball-control offenses. Both sides will likely seek to establish the running game and control the line of scrimmage. As such, I expect there to be a ton of clock chewed up early on. Arkansas simply cannot move the ball through the air, and if they can’t run it they likely won’t be scoring at all. 56 is a lot of points for a game where neither team has a dynamic offense, and I like the under here.

Prediction: Under 56

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

If you like Arkansas for the full game here, you absolutely have to put something on the first half. If they’re gonna avoid getting blown-out, they’ll need to come out hot and be competitive right from the start. The relatively slow-paced nature of the game will make it hard for Auburn to lead by three touchdowns or more at the break, even if they play very well.

Prediction: Arkansas +19.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The first half under also makes a lot of sense. Arkansas knows the only way they have a shot at competing is if they establish the ground game, and they’ll try to do that in the first half. They might have to abandon that later in the game if they get down big, but the first half at least should be pretty slow-paced. 32 is an awfully high first half number here.

Prediction: Under 32

Alex Porter

Coming Soon!.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Tuesday, Oct 16
NBA
#501 Philadelphia 76ers 208.5
#502 Boston Celtics -4.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#503 Oklahoma City Thunder 223.5
#504 Golden State Warriors -12
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#907 Boston Red Sox 8.5
#908 Houston Astros -130
5:05pm
View Pick
#909 Milwaukee Brewers
#910 Los Angeles Dodgers
9:05pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Dallas 6
#2 New Jersey -130
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Florida 6
#4 Philadelphia -130
7:05pm
View Pick
#11 Edmonton 6
#12 Winnipeg -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#13 Arizona 5.5
#14 Minnesota -160
8:05pm
View Pick
#15 Buffalo 6
#16 Vegas -185
10:05pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Oct 17
NBA
#705 Miami Heat -2.5
#706 Orlando Magic 210.5
7:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Oct 18
NFL
#301 Denver Broncos -2.5
#302 Arizona Cardinals 41
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#303 Georgia State 54
#304 Arkansas State -14
7:30pm
View Pick
#305 Stanford -2.5
#306 Arizona State 53.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Oct 19
NCAAF
#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State
9:00pm
View Pick
#309 Air Force -13
#310 UNLV 54.5
10:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#313 Cincinnati 48.5
#314 Temple -4
12:00pm
View Pick
#319 Maryland 52.5
#320 Iowa -11
12:00pm
View Pick
#325 Northwestern
#326 Rutgers
12:00pm
View Pick
#329 Miami - OH 46.5
#330 Army -8
12:00pm
View Pick
#331 Michigan -7
#332 Michigan State 45.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#339 Buffalo 67
#340 Toledo -2
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Illinois
#346 Wisconsin
12:00pm
View Pick
#355 Tulsa 55
#356 Arkansas -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#383 Oklahoma -7.5
#384 TCU 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Auburn -4.5
#400 Ole Miss 64
12:00pm
View Pick
#317 North Carolina 64
#318 Syracuse -10
12:20pm
View Pick
#321 Virginia 45.5
#322 Duke -7.5
12:30pm
View Pick
#375 Bowling Green 69.5
#376 Ohio U -16.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#323 FAU -3
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -15
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4.5
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -16.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -15
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas
#392 Texas Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -16
3:30pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -10
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -12
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -6.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -9.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -17
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -11
7:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -10.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -14
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -14
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -1.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -7
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -7
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#457 Detroit Lions
#458 Miami Dolphins
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills
#462 Indianapolis Colts
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings
#466 New York Jets
1:00pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick