Upcoming Free Picks

North Texas vs. Liberty,
9-22-2018 - Expert Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#401 North Texas
Mean Green -12.5
#402 Liberty
Flames 65

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 6:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

North Texas Mean Green

3 - 0

2-1
ATS
0-3
O/U
49
PPG
18
OPPG

Liberty Flames

1 - 1

1-1
ATS
1-1
O/U
32
PPG
23
OPPG

North Texas Mean Green at Liberty Flames

NCAAF: Saturday, September 22, 2018, Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, Virginia, 6 PM ET

The North Texas Mean Green opened the new season with three wins and they are at the top of the Conference USA West thanks to great offensive displays in the first three weeks. On the other hand, the Liberty Flames started with a convincing win over the Old Dominion Monarchs but they suffered a defeat to the Army Knights.

The Mean Green upset Arkansas on the road

North Texas surprised the Razorbacks with a 44-17 victory thanks to Arizona’s six turnovers, while the Mean Green committed just one. The Mean Green scored 17 unanswered points in the first quarter and the hosts couldn’t get the things going to get back in the clash, so the visitors secured a comfortable win. North Texas recorded 281 passing yards, and although they had less than 100 rushing yards, they proved to be very dangerous through the air. The Mean Green has the third-best offense when it comes to the passing as they are averaging 398.7 passing yards per contest, while Liberty is allowing 116.5 passing yards per game, which is the third-best defense in the country.

Mason Fine is listed as the starting quarterback and the junior has 89 completions on 135 attempts for 1143 yards, eight touchdowns, and an interception, for the rating of 155.1. Fine recorded 24 passes on 45 attempts for 281 yards and a touchdown in a win over Arkansas, and he should have better numbers on Saturday.

The Flames’ defense couldn’t cope with Army’s rushing offense

Liberty displayed a very well offensive performance when it comes to the passing as they recorded even 307 yards and a couple of touchdowns comparing it with Army’s 61, but the Knights destroyed them on the ground as they ran for 449 yards and four scores. Liberty is excellent in defending the air, but they have a lot of problems when it comes to defending the ground as they are allowing 289.0 yards per contest, and the Mean Green will be looking to hurt the visitors with running.

Stephen Calvert is the No. 1 option at the quarterback and the junior has 44 completions on 73 passes for 652 yards, six touchdowns, and an interception, for the rating of 159.7. Calvert threw 19 passes on 37 attempts in a loss to Army as he collected 307 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

These teams have never met before but after everything we saw in the opening three weeks of the season, the Mean Green is looking in a stronger position to get the victory here. North Texas has a fantastic offense when it comes to the passing, while Liberty is defending the air at a high level, so it’s going to be interesting to see the visitors how they’ll handle the Flames’ sturdy defense. However, I don’t think they will have troubles to secure the fourth straight win.

Prediction: North Texas Mean Green -12.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

When it comes to the points, under is 7-3 in Flames last ten games overall; under is 5-1 in Mean Green last six games in total, while under is 5-1 in Mean Green previous six games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Prediction: Under 70 (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

North Texas destroyed all of their opponents in the opening three weeks of the season, scoring 44+ in each of those contests, and although they are facing the team that is also rather efficient, I don’t think they will have trouble to beat the Flames with a margin bigger than 12 points. Still, I don’t believe the visitors will be that dominant as it was the case so far in the campaign, so I am backing them to win by 13 to 18 point difference.

Prediction: Winning Margin: North Texas Mean Green 13-18 (+400)

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Mean Green had a lead at halftime in each of the previous three games, while Liberty was up only once after the opening 30 minutes, so I am backing the visitors to take control of this tilt in the first half and create at least a 7-point lead.

Prediction: North Texas Mean Green -7 (-110)

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

Two of the Mean Green’s three games produced more than 35 points at halftime, while that wasn’t the case in none of the Flames’ three games thus far, and considering that I expect to see under 70 points in the end, I am also backing under at halftime.

Prediction: Under 35.5 (-110)

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

The visitors are the favorites here and I don’t think they will have problems to beat Liberty in both halves, but if the -175 odds are too low for your taste, you can try with a tie at halftime and North Texas’s win in the end at +1600.

Prediction: Double Result: North Texas – North Texas (-175)

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Tuesday, Oct 16
NBA
#501 Philadelphia 76ers 208.5
#502 Boston Celtics -4.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#503 Oklahoma City Thunder 223.5
#504 Golden State Warriors -12
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#907 Boston Red Sox 8.5
#908 Houston Astros -130
5:05pm
View Pick
#909 Milwaukee Brewers
#910 Los Angeles Dodgers
9:05pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Dallas 6
#2 New Jersey -130
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Florida 6
#4 Philadelphia -130
7:05pm
View Pick
#11 Edmonton 6
#12 Winnipeg -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#13 Arizona 5.5
#14 Minnesota -160
8:05pm
View Pick
#15 Buffalo 6
#16 Vegas -185
10:05pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Oct 17
NBA
#705 Miami Heat -2.5
#706 Orlando Magic 210.5
7:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Oct 18
NFL
#301 Denver Broncos -2.5
#302 Arizona Cardinals 41
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#303 Georgia State 54
#304 Arkansas State -14
7:30pm
View Pick
#305 Stanford -2.5
#306 Arizona State 53.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Oct 19
NCAAF
#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State
9:00pm
View Pick
#309 Air Force -13
#310 UNLV 54.5
10:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#313 Cincinnati 48.5
#314 Temple -4
12:00pm
View Pick
#319 Maryland 52.5
#320 Iowa -11
12:00pm
View Pick
#325 Northwestern
#326 Rutgers
12:00pm
View Pick
#329 Miami - OH 46.5
#330 Army -8
12:00pm
View Pick
#331 Michigan -7
#332 Michigan State 45.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#339 Buffalo 67
#340 Toledo -2
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Illinois
#346 Wisconsin
12:00pm
View Pick
#355 Tulsa 55
#356 Arkansas -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#383 Oklahoma -7.5
#384 TCU 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Auburn -4.5
#400 Ole Miss 64
12:00pm
View Pick
#317 North Carolina 64
#318 Syracuse -10
12:20pm
View Pick
#321 Virginia 45.5
#322 Duke -7.5
12:30pm
View Pick
#375 Bowling Green 69.5
#376 Ohio U -16.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#323 FAU -3
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -15
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4.5
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -16.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -15
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas
#392 Texas Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -16
3:30pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -10
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -12
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -6.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -9.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -17
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -11
7:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -10.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -14
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -14
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -1.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -7
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -7
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#457 Detroit Lions
#458 Miami Dolphins
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills
#462 Indianapolis Colts
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings
#466 New York Jets
1:00pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick