The Georgia Southern Eagles take to the road on Saturday and visit Cajun Field in Lafayette, Louisiana to play against the 19th ranked Louisiana Ragin Cajun. Georgia Southern opened its regular season with a 27-26 hard-fought victory over the FCS Campbell Fighting Camels. The Eagles second game of the season against Florida Atlantic was postponed following positive COVID tests for players on FAU.
Louisiana has won each of its first two games to open the regular season. The Ragin’ Cajuns defeated the 23rd ranked Iowa State Cyclones 31-24 in the first game of the season and followed that with a 34-31 victory over Georgia State this past weekend. Quarterback Levi Lewis leads an offense that has a double-headed attack at running back and a group of wide receivers that can stretch the field.
The line for this contest has moved downward. After opening with UL Lafayette as a 15.5-point favorite, that has dropped to -11.5 points. As it stands, Georgia Southern is garnering 63 percent of the wagers against the spread. In addition, the Eagles are getting 90 percent of the bets on the moneyline.
The over/under has edged up slightly from the opening number of 51 points to the current mark of 52. 66 percent of the wagers being made on the total are on the over.
Temperature at kickoff is expected to be around 80 degrees, though the real-feel temperature will be near 90 with the humidity. The chance for precipitation climbs near 50 percent as the game wears on. Winds are expected to be around five miles an hour from the east-southeast with gusts around 10 miles an hour.
One-dimensional offense is risky for Georgia SouthernSimply put Georgia Southern could not pass the ball. Quarterback Shai Werts has thrown for just 53 yards after one game. The one-dimensional offense is all about running as Werts leads the Eagles with 155 yards on the ground on just 14 carries with one touchdown. The Georgia Southern offense is averaging 284 yards per game on the ground which is 6th in the nation but is averaging just 62 yards through the air. If the Eagles face a tough defense against the run it will be a long day for quarterback Werts and the Georgia Southern passing game.
The Georgia Southern defense is ranked 26th in the nation and is allowing an average of 132 yards rushing and 237 yards passing per game. The leading tackler for Georgia Southern is safety Java’n Singletary with seven, while linebacker Zyon McGee has six. After one game, Georgia Southern has allowed 26 points and must pick up its defense as it will be facing Levi Lewis who can pick apart the Eagles secondary and pair of talented running backs for the Ragin’ Cajuns could run all over the Eagles defense.
OUT: S Javon Jackson
Questionable: NT Gavin Adcock, WR Darion Anderson, SB Mason Babay, CB Darrell Baker Jr., NT Robb Bozeman, SB Tony Dinkins-McCall, S Kenderick Duncan Jr., OL Lawrence Edwards, CB Jack Ferguson, LB Jon Ferguson, RB Gerald Green, WR Justin Harris, OL Gabriel Howard, TE Beau Johnson, CB Ephraim Kitchen Jr., QB Will Lovett Jr., OL Lawson Maxwell, CB Jadon Moreland, S Austin Parker, CB Braylon Peterson, OL Aaron Pyron, OL Teva Reynolds, OL Alex Smith, WR Emil Smith, NT Kierron Smith, CB David Spaulding, QB Justin Tomlin, DE Traver Vliern, LB Quin Williams, S Anthony Wilson, NT C.J. Wright, WR Jallah Zeze Jr.
Louisiana offense led by its two top running backsThe Ragin' Cajuns offense has a pair of top running backs. Elijah Mitchell has rushed for 210 yards and a pair of touchdowns and Trey Ragas has rushed for 93 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Last season Mitchell and Rajas rushed for a combined 1,967 yards and 27 TDs. As a team, Louisiana is averaging 179 yards per game on the ground which is 25th in the nation. The passing game led by quarterback Levi Lewis is averaging 216.5 yards per game which is 31st. Louisiana is scoring an average of 32.5 points per game which is 23rd in the nation.
Defensively, Louisiana is allowing an average of 22.5 points per game which is 33rd in the country. The Louisiana defense is allowing an average of 190.5 yards per game on the ground and 170.5 yards per game through the air. This could be a problem for the Ragin’ Cajuns on defense as Georgia Southern focuses on just running the ball with very little passing. Louisiana is averaging two turnovers forced per game through the first two games.The leading tackler for Louisiana through two games is linebacker Lorenzo McCaskill with 22.
OUT: WR Jamal Bell, LB Joe Dillon, WR Calif Gossett, DL Sonny Hazard, DL Tayland Humphrey, QB Jai'ave Magalei, RB Elijah Mitchell, OL Max Mitchell, WR Brian Smith Jr., CB Asjlin Washington
Questionable: WR Dontae Fleming
- Louisiana is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 as the favorite
- The Ragin’ Cajuns are 1-4 ATS in the 5 conference games
- Georgia Southern is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 on turf
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Louisiana is ranked 19th in the nation and will win this game at home but will find it hard to cover the spread. The Ragin’ Cajuns have a poor defense against the run allowing an average of 190.5 yards per game on the ground. That fits into Georgia Southern's game plan of running the ball on nearly every offensive play. Georgia Southern quarterback Shai Werts rushed for 155 yards in the opening game of the season. Overall, the Louisiana offense is gaining just 34.5 more yards per game than it's defense is allowing and that will come up big in this game against Georgia Southern.
Prediction: Georgia Southern Eagles +14
Full-Game Total Pick
Georgia Southern will try to make the game shorter by using its running game to eat up the clock and not allow the Louisiana potent offense on the field. The total has finished under in each of Louisiana's last four games at home and in five of the Ragin’ Cajuns last six games at home versus a team with a winning record on the road.
Prediction: UNDER 51.5