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Kansas State vs. Oklahoma Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 9-26-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#423 Kansas State University
Wildcats
#424 University of Oklahoma
Sooners

Saturday, September 26, 2020 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Kansas State Wildcats (0-1) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (1-0)

Is this another “sure” victory for the Oklahoma Sooners? They would like to believe and, if you believe oddsmakers, it certainly looks that way as the Sooners welcome the Kansas State Wildcats to town on Saturday.

This game has an ugly blow out written all over it. The Sooners are favored by 28.5 and the money line is -10,000 for Oklahoma. Ya, the Wildcats are not given much of a chance in this contest.

Line Movements:

The line has moved slightly from Oklahoma -27.5 to the Sooners -28. 67 percent of the bets with the spread are on Oklahoma while a staggering 95 percent of the moneyline bets are backing the Sooners.

The over/under for this contest has ticked up slightly. After originally opening at 60 points, it now stands at 60.5 points. A massive 95 percent of the bets are being laid on the over for this one.

Game-time Weather: Temperature at kickoff is expected to be in the high-70s with the mercury rising to the mid-80s during the contest. Sunny skies are forecasted with winds from the south around 15 miles per hour. They could gust up to 20 miles an hour. Humidity will be in the mid-60s for percentage, so that may play a role.

K. State Licking Wounds after Loss against Red Wolves

The Wildcats blew a 14-point second-quarter lead, giving up 21 unanswered points in their 35-31 loss to the Arkansas State Red Wolves on September 12. Skylar Thompson was solid at the QB position, connecting on 17 of his 29 pass attempts for 259 yards and two touchdowns. Chabastin Taylor made four catches for 98 yards and Briley Moore had six grabs for 54 yards and a TD.

However, the running attack never materialized behind Deuce Vaughn (12 carries, 47 yards, TD) and Harry Trotter (16, 43, TD). Plus, the defense allowed 330 yards passing and 489 yards of total offense. The Wildcats were favored by 14.5. embarrassing!

Despite the loss, the Wildcats have to like the play of Vaughn. Vaughn became the first freshman in school history to score a touchdown in the season opener. This will hopefully be the beginning of good things to come, but he will need a little better blocking as 3.9 yards per carry is not going to cut it against the Sooners.

Injury Report:

Questionable: WR Wykeen Gill, OL Noah Johnson, DB Wayne Jones, WR Joshua Youngblood

Sooners through the Air!

Oklahoma comes into this contest 1-0 thanks to a 48-0 crushing of Missouri State on September 12. It was a devastating passing attack led by Spencer Rattler who completed 14 of 17 passes in his first career start at the school for 290 years and four touchdowns. Rattler was doing so well that his afternoon was basically over just after the half.

Freshman Seth McGowan made his mark in his first career game for Oklahoma, carrying the ball nine times for 61 yards and a score. The combo of Charleston Rambo (4 catches, 80 yards, 2 TDs) and Marvin Mims (3 catches, 80 yards, TD) made for deadly weapons for Rattler. What was most impressive was that 12 different Sooners made at least one catch against Missouri State.

The Oklahoma defense was smothering in their opening victory. It was easy to see how they tossed the shutout as the squad allowed just 81 yards rushing and 81 yards passing. Plus, they recorded four sacks.

Injury Report:

Out: WR Trejan Bridges, WR Jadon Haselwood, DE Ronnie Perkins, RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Questionable: WR Obi Obialo, K Gabe Brkic, OL Anton Harrison, RB T.J. Pledger, WR Drake Stoops, DE Marcus Stripling, HB Brayden Willis

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

There is no doubt that Oklahoma is the superior team. They blasted Missouri State and look to make short work of Kansas State, but this is a big pride game for the Wildcats. They were embarrassed by Arkansas State and want to do something to show they are not going to be the doormat in this conference. 

What I like is that the Wildcats have traditionally played well against the spread, going 11-5 in their last 16 games, while the Sooners are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. There is no doubt that Oklahoma wins this game, but they will not win by 28.

Prediction: Take the Wildcats and the 27.5 points (-110)

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The total is set at 60.0. That seems high, but the truth is that both of these teams have pretty good offenses. Rattler is very good for the Sooners, and Thompson played well in the loss to Arkansas State. What that means is that both teams are going to put up points. 

The major difference in this game is going to be the Sooners defense, which I think will produce or set up 14 points on their own. This is going to make for a high-scoring affair as Oklahoma wins this game, 44-20.

Prediction: Take the over 60.0 (-110)

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