The Cincinnati Bengals look to bounce back from a loss when visiting the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Bengals are 1-3-1 after losing 27-3 on Sunday to the Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals offense could not find its way against the tough Baltimore defense gaining just 205 yards of total offense. Cincinnati also lost its top offseason acquisition, defensive tackle DJ Reader, who injured his quad and will miss the remainder of the season.
Indianapolis is 3-2 on the season following a disappointing 32-23 loss on the road to the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. The Colts are in second place in the AFC South 1½ games behind the first-place Tennessee Titans. Nine of the points that Cleveland scored against Indianapolis on Sunday came off Philip Rivers’ turnovers. Rivers threw a pick-six and also threw away a pass in the end zone that was called intentional grounding, and the Colts were charged with a safety. Those two plays were instrumental in the Colts losing by nine.
(Injury reports and line movements are updated as of Sunday Morning.)
There has been little movement all week in regards to the line in this contest. This game opened with the Colts as an eight-point favorite in the contest. As the week has worn on, it has dropped to Indianapolis -7.5. 58 percent of the bets against the spread are backing the Bengals with the points in this contest.
The over/under has remained flat in this contest as well. After opening at 46, the total has stayed there all week long for this one. A solid majority, 68 percent, of the wagers on the total in this contest are of the mindset that this one ends up over the total.
Game-time Weather: Lucas Oil Stadium is a retractable-roof stadium.
Joe Burrow Needs Better Pass ProtectionIn Sunday's loss to the Baltimore Ravens, quarterback Joe Burrow was sacked seven times, and this season the rookie has been sacked 22 times, which leads the NFL. That has hurt the offense for theBengalsas they are averaging just 229.8 yards per game passing, which is 22nd in the NFL, and 102.6 yards rushing per game, which is 23rd. On the season, Joe Burrow has passed for 1304 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions and has a rating of 86.3. Running back Joe Mixon has a team-high 374 yards on the ground and two touchdowns, and wide receiver Tyler Boyd has caught 32 passes for 362 yards and one touchdown.
Defensively, Cincinnati's safety Jessie Bates III has a team-high 39 tackles, including 22 solo and 17 assisted. Close behind is safety Vonn Bell with 36 tackles, including 17 solo and 19 assisted. Defensive end Carl Lawson is leading the Bengals in sacks with 3.5, and as a team, Cincinnati has nine sacks through five games. The Bengals are allowing 25.2 points per game, which is 16th in the NFL. Cincinnati is 23rd in overall defense, allowing 159.0 yards per game on the ground and 228.6 yards per game through the air for a total of 387.6 yards per game.
OUT: DT Mike Daniels, DE Sam Hubbard, T Isaiah Prince, DT D.J. Reader, G Xavier Su'a-Filo, DT Josh Tupou, TE C.J. Uzomah, CB Trae Waynes, DT Renell Wren
Doubtful:WR Auden Tate
Questionable: CB Mackensie Alexander, RB Giovani Bernard, CB Darius Phillips, WR John Ross III, T Jonah Williams
Indianapolis defense continues to carry the teamTheIndianapolis Coltsare allowing just 17.6 points per game on defense, which is the second-best in the NFL. Overall, the Colts defense is No. 2 in the NFL, allowing an average of just 266.0 yards per game, including 86.4 yards per game on the ground and 179.6 yards per game through the air. The leading tackler for Indianapolis is linebacker Anthony Walker who has 25 solo tackles and seven assisted. Linebacker Darius Leonard had a slow start to the season, missing one game, but is second and tackles with 27. However, Leonard is doubtful for this one due to a groin injury.
If the offense could play as well as the defense for Indianapolis, the Colts would be undefeated and in first place in the AFC South. However, Indianapolis is averaging just 105.8 yards rushing per game, which is 20th in the NFL, and 244.0 yards per game passing, which is 18th. The Colts are scoring an average of 25.2 points per game, which is 17th. Offseason free-agent signing Philip Rivers has passed for 1227 yards and four touchdowns, but the veteran signal-caller has also tossed five interceptions, including a pick-six last week. Jonathan Taylor is leading the Colts in rushing with 307 yards and has scored three touchdowns on the ground. T.Y. Hilton has caught 19 passes for 231 yards but has yet to reach the end zone.
OUT: LB Matthew Adams, TE Mo-Alie Cox, WR Parris Campbell, T Chaz Green, S Malik Hooker, RB Marlon Mack, S Rolan Milligan, LB Skai Moore, WR Dezmon Patton, WR Michael Pittman Jr., CB Marvell Tell III, DE Kemoko Turay
Doubtful: LB Darius Leonard
Questionable: DT Denico Autry, DT Sheldon Day, DE Justin Houston, RB Jordan Wilkins
- Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in the last five played at home
- The Colts are 5-2 ATS in the last seven when playing as the favorite
- Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in the last five against a team with a record above .500
- The Bengals are 4-12 ATS in the last nine played during the month of October
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cincinnati Bengals have given up an NFL-high 22 sacks this season and will be without one of their starting offensive tackles on Sunday, which will make life even more difficult for rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. Indianapolis has the No. 2 ranked defense in the NFL dominated by a linebacker corps led by Darius Leonard. Cincinnati lost its top defensive lineman DJ Reader, so it should be more susceptible to a running attack led by rookie Jonathan Taylor and Philip Rivers should have plenty of time in the pocket to dissect the Cincinnati secondary.
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -7.5
Full-Game Total Pick
With a rookie quarterback against the second-best defense in the NFL, the probability is high for the game to finish under the total. The total has finished under in five of the Colts last six when they are playing at home as the favorite and in five of the Colts last seven at home overall. Indianapolis has its problems scoring, averaging just 25.2 points per game, and the Colts are allowing only 17.6 points per game, which is second-best in all of the NFL.
Prediction: UNDER 46