The Detroit Lions head south to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in an inter-conference matchup between a pair of one-win teams on Sunday. The Lions are coming off a bye week after a 35-29 loss to the New Orleans Saints on October 4, while the Jaguars have lost four straight after losing to the Houston Texans by a score of 30-14 last Sunday.
Detroit is 1-3 against the spread this season after they failed to cover in their last game as they were 3.5-point underdogs in their six-point loss to the Saints. The total has gone over in three of their four games. Jacksonville is 2-3 against the spread this season, as they have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games. They were 6.5-point underdogs going into their 16 point loss to Houston. The over-under is 3-2 in Jaguar games this season.
(Late line movements and injuries reports were updated on Sunday Morning)
This one has had a small shift in the line but the home team is still the underdog. The Lions opened as 2.5-point favorites but that is now up to Detroit -3. 64 percent of the bets ATS are backing the Lions and giving the points.
The total for this game opened at 53.5 points. There hasn't been a ton of movement though it has trended up to 54.5 points as of Sunday morning. A majority, 62 percent, of the bets on the total feel that this one is going to go over the mark.
Game-time Weather: Temperature at kickoff is expected to be in the high-70s for this contest under cloudy skies. There is a 55 percent chance of rain in the forecast at kickoff and that bounces between 30 and 45 percent as the game wears on, so it's something to watch for here. Winds are expected from the northeast around 10 to 12 miles an hour with wind gusts kicking up to 15 miles per hour during the game.
Lions blow double digit lead against SaintsThe Detroit Lions jumped out early against the New Orleans Saints, leading 14-0 less than five minutes into the game, but the Saints scored 35 unanswered points to take control of the game and send the Lions to their third loss of the season. Matthew Stafford completed just 54.8% of his passes for 206 yards while throwing three touchdowns and one interception. Detroit rushed for only 90 yards total against the Saints, as Adrian Peterson led them with just 36 yards on 11 carries. Kenny Golladay led the receiving corps with four catches for 62 yards in the game.
The Lions have been outscored by an average of 31.8-24.8 per game this season. They give up an average of 419.8 yards per game, while they gain 356 yards per game. Detroit has been horrible against the run this season, giving up over 170 yards rushing per game this season.
Stafford has completed 60.7% of his passes this season for 1,017 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions.
“I think there’s a lot of things that go into (how Stafford has played this year)," offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell said on freep.com. "But I think when you simplify it as easy you can for the quarterback, I had a small conversation with him about it, I think it usually goes back to your feet, because your feet really tell you the story. Your feet is what gets you through your progressions, gets you through the play, and I think that we can continue (to get better there)."
Peterson is the leading ground-gainer for the Lions, gaining 245 yards on 54 carries, while T.J. Hockenson leads the team with 15 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns.
OUT: WR Geronimo Allison, DT John Atkins, FB Nick Bawden, OL Russell Bodine, DE Austin Bryant, TE Hunter Bryant, CB Justin Coleman, DT Jashon Cornell, CB Desmond Trufant
Questionable: G Joe Dahl, CB Mike Ford, LB Christian Jones, S C.J. Moore, OL Frank Ragnow, RB Bo Scarbrough
Jaguars lose fourth straightAfter opening the season with a 27-20 win over the Indianapolis Colts have gone into a nosedive, losing their last four games. Gardner Minshew II had his third 300-yard game in the previous four weeks. However, he completed just 63.3% of his passes for 301 yards. He did throw two interceptions with no interceptions. It was the fourth straight game in which he threw the ball more than 40 times as the running game continues to struggle. James Robinson led the Jaguars with 48 yards on 13 carries, while Laviska Shenault, Jr. had seven catches for 79 yards.
“We're not giving games away, but we're also not going out and taking any games," coach Doug Marrone said on jaguars.com.
Minshew has completed 69.9% of his passes this season for 1,439 yards, ten touchdowns, and four interceptions. Robinson has gained 333 yards on the ground this season, while Shenault, Jr.has 23 catches for 270 yards.
Jacksonville is being outscored by an average of 29.4-21.8 per game this season. They are averaging 386.2 yards per game this season, but only 98.4 yards on the ground. They are giving up 420.8 yards per game and 136.6 yards rushing per game.
Out: RB Ryquell Armstead, CB D.J. Hayden, RB Leon Jacobs, K Josh Lambo, DE Leventee McCray, CB Rashaan Melvin, TE Josh Oliver, DL Dontavious Russell, S Andrew Wingard, DT Al Woods
Questionable: LB Dakota Allen, WR D.J. Chark, DB Chris Claybrooks, TE Tyler Eifert, DT Daniel Ekuale, DT Abry Jones, RB Devine Ozigbo, WR Laviska Shenault Jr.
- The Jaguars are 18-8-3 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Trends found on oddsshark.com:
- The Lions are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall
- The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in October
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Jaguars are 1-1 at home this season, and they will get their second win of the season on Sunday. Neither team has much of a running game, but Detroit is giving up over 170 yards per game on the ground, so look for the Jags to be able to help Minshew out with a running attack led by James Robinson. Minshew has three 300-yard games this season, so look for another good performance from him this week. The Lions have only covered the spread in three of their last 15 games overall, so look for Jacksonville to cover and possibly win straight up on Sunday.
Prediction: Jacksonville +3.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Neither team has a good defense, as they both give up more than 29 points per game. Both starting quarterbacks have played decently this year, and Minshew has three games of over 300 yards. Detroit is giving up over 170 yards rushing and nearly 420 yards of total offense, while Jacksonville gives up just over 420 yards per game. Both teams will improve offensively in this game and score above their averages. Look for a relatively high scoring game with scores in the upper 20s or 30s.
Prediction: Over 54.5