The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be trying to bounce back from their loss to Chicago when they face the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon. This a battle of two Hall of Fame quarterbacks in Aaron Rodgers against Tom Brady.
(Line movements and injury reports are updated as of Sunday Morning.)
This one has shifted in favor of the visiting team. The Buccaneers opened as three-point favorites but the line is now Green Bay -1. 67 percent of the bets ATS are taking Aaron Rodgers and the Packers here.
The total for this game opened at 52 points. There has been a sharp upward movement as the total now sits at 55 or 55.5 points, depending on the sportsbook. A hefty 71 percent of the bets on the total think this one is going over the mark.
Game-time Weather: It's going to be a typical hot, humid afternoon down in the Sunshine State. Game-time temperatures are expected to be in the mid-80s with the real-feel temperature hitting the low-90s under partly sunny skies. There is a near 50 percent chance of rain at kickoff but that drops to 15 percent by 5 pm ET. Winds are from the east-northeast around 10 miles an hour with gusts topping out around 15 miles per hour.
Packers Going For Fifth Consecutive WinThe Packers are off to a good start this season, winning their first four games. They will try to remain unbeaten with a win over the Buccaneers, which will give them their fifth win in a row while increasing their lead in the NFC North.
The #Packers are the first team in NFL history to score 150+ points with 0 turnovers in the first four games of a season.— Green Bay Packers (@packers) October 14, 2020
Larry McCarren takes a look at Green Bay's stellar start on offense & Tampa Bay's pass rushers in this edition of Packers Daily ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/1m4DOXgzrk
Green Bay is the best offensive team in the league, averaging 38 points per game. The team is averaging 294.8 passing yards and 150.8 rushing yards per game.
Aaron Rodgers has completed 70.5 percent of his passes for 1,214 yards, 13 touchdowns, and no interceptions. Aaron Jones leads the team with 374 rushing yards and four touchdowns, while Allen Lazard leads the team with 254 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Davante Adams, who missed the last two games with a hamstring injury, was a full participant in practice this week and is expected to play.
Defensively, the Packers are giving up 25.3 points per game. They held their last three opponents to 22.3 points per game and will need to keep playing well defensively if they want to keep their streak alive.
OUT: TE Josiah Deguara,CB Kabion Ento, RB Tyler Ervin, WR Devin Funchess, LB Christian Kirksey, WR Allen Lazard, LB Kamal Martin, G Simon Stepaniak, G Lane Taylor, RB Patrick Taylor
Questionable: DL Montravious Adams, LB Rashan Gary, CB Kevin King, TE Marcedes Lewis, LB Kamal Martin, LB Za'Darius Smith, WR Equanimeous St. Brown
Bucs Trying To Snap Three-Game Losing Streak to Green BayThe Buccaneers are coming off a disappointing loss to Chicago, which snapped their three-game winning streak. They will try to bounce back from the loss with a win over the Packers, which will give them sole possession of the NFC South lead and snap their three-game losing streak against Green Bay.
Tampa Bay is a good offensive team, averaging 27.8 points per game. They are averaging 265.6 passing yards and 99.4 rushing yards per game.
Tom Brady has completed 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,375 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Ronald Jones II leads the team with 359 rushing yards and one touchdown, while Mike Evans leads the team with 271 receiving yards and six touchdowns. He should also get back speedy receiver Chris Godwin, who has missed the last two games due to a hamstring injury.
Tampa Bay has done a good job defensively, giving up 22.4 points per game. They gave up 20.3 points per game in their last three games and will need to keep playing well on the defensive end if they want to beat the Packers.
OUT: TE Antony Auclair, LB Jack Cichy, S Justin Evans, WR John Franklin, TE O.J. Howard, RB T.J. Logan, T Brad Seaton, DL Vita Vea
Questionable: LB Lavonte David, CB Carlton Davis, DL Khalil Davis, RB Leonard Fournette, TE Rob Gronkowski, WR John Hurst, RB LeSean McCoy, G John Molchon, LB Jason Pierre-Paul
Tampa Bay is:
- 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
Green Bay is:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC South.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Packers have played well offensively, averaging 38 points per game. Even though the Buccaneers have played well defensively, giving up 22.4 points per game. They have struggled against the pass, especially at home, where they are giving up 309 yards per game and will have a hard time slowing down Rodgers, who is averaging 303.5 yards per game. The extra rest and the addition of Adams will only make it tougher on the Bucs' secondary. The Buccaneers have been one-dimensional offensively, with the team averaging only 99.4 rushing yards per game. With the Packers’ run defense holding opponents to 96.3 yards per game in their last three games, they will be able to focus on stopping Brady and force him into making mistakes, making Green Bay the smart play here.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers -1
Full-Game Total Pick
The Packers are averaging 38 points per game and have scored at least 30 points in each game this season. Despite their offensive success, don’t expect them to score over 30 points in this game because the Buccaneers have done a great job defensively in their last three games, giving up 20.3 points per game. The Buccaneers are averaging 27.8 points per game and will also be held under their average by the Packers, who are giving up 22.3 points per game in their last three games. There will be some points scored, but this won't be your traditional shootout. Brady has some banged-up receivers and an aging tight end in Rob Gronkowski, who looks like he's half the player he once was.
Prediction: Under 55.5
Half-Time Side Pick
The Packers will win the first half of this game because they have outplayed the Buccaneers in the first half of their last three games. The two teams are even offensively, averaging 16.7 points per game. But, the Packers have done a better job defensively, giving up 11.3 points per game, while the Buccaneers are giving up 16 points per game, giving Green Bay the edge.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers
Half-Time Total Bet
The Buccaneers and Packers are averaging 33.4 combined points per game in the first half of their last three games and will go over the first half total in this game if they maintain their current scoring pace.