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Heading into Week 7 action, the Buffalo Bills and Indianapolis Colts are both coming off disappointing losses looking to right the ship. The Colts are set to host the Bills for what could be an intriguing matchup between two struggling teams.
Luck still finding his way
Through the first six weeks of the season, it has been a huge struggle for the Colts to find any consistency with star quarterback Andrew Luck. It has been a major adjustment period for Luck over the first several games of the year that he has been able to find much success as the weeks move along as he’s seventh in the league with 1,792 passing yards on a career-high 64.2 percent completion rate along with being second with 16 touchdown passes to eight interceptions. He has had his issues with turnovers that have deterred much of the team’s offensive troubles as he came off another productive outing where he threw for 301 passing yards with four touchdowns but also committed three interceptions in the 42-34 loss to the New York Jets.
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 14, 2018
Luck has been able to carry the offense with his arm despite the key injuries to the receiving core over the last few weeks. Former Pro Bowl wide receiver T.Y. Hilton has been dealing with a nagging hamstring injury over the last two games that has kept him off the field. Tight end Jack Doyle has missed the last three contests because of a hip injury. On top of that, the Colts have had little reliability on the ground ranking 30th with 83.2 rushing yards per game. However, all of this has put offseason addition Eric Ebron into a more prominent position in the offense that he has taken full advantage of the situation. Ebron has hauled in an NFL-best six receiving touchdowns with 30 catches for 326 receiving yards. This includes 18 catches for 216 receiving yards and four touchdowns over the last three games played. The Colts have a tough challenge ahead in the Bills defense that ranks 11th against the pass, but this could see Luck put together another solid outing he appears to be trending in the right direction in Week 7.
Quarterback issues mounting
It hasn’t been the start to the season that the Bills had hoped after dropping four out of their first six games played. These issues have only become more clear over the last couple of weeks with the team facing yet another dilemma at the quarterback position. Rookie Josh Allen has been knocked out of the lineup after suffering an elbow injury during Sunday’s 20-13 loss to the Houston Texans as he has been deemed week-to-week moving forward. This has placed second-year quarterback Nathan Peterman under center as he has continued to struggle mightily on the field. In place of Allen against Texans he completed just 6-of-12 passes for 61 yards along with a touchdown and pair of interceptions. The first interception occurred late in the fourth quarter that gave was returned for a pick-six that gave Houston the lead and the latter sealed their fate.
— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) October 14, 2018
Peterman has been a huge liability on the field for the Bills in his brief NFL career as he has been unable to stay away from turnovers as he has thrown 10 turnovers in the seven career games that he has played including the playoffs. He’s been so bad that the Bills are turning to journeyman Derek Anderson as the starter. Beyond that, the Bills have been a dumpster fire offensively ranking dead last with 12.7 points per game and just 123.0 passing yards per game even with Allen under center. This has extended over into their running game that ranks 20th with 99.5 rushing yards per contest. Pro Bowl running back LeSean McCoy has picked it up as of late with back-to-back games surpasses 70 rushing yards, but he has struggled to get any consistency. All of this has made it difficult to trust the Bills on a weekly basis with their offense being largely in shambles even with McCoy. This should once again put them in a tough position to secure a huge win on the road.
- Colts are 30-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Colts are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 7.
- Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.
- Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Colts have struggled through the first several weeks of the season, but their offense has shown plenty of life over the last couple of games. Luck has a favorable matchup that should see him put together another solid outing with his arm. Indianapolis will be in line to grab their second win of the season.
Prediction: Indianapolis -6.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The Colts have shown the ability to put up points this season with Luck back under center, but it has been the Bills utter lack of offensive production that is discouraging. This compounds with the Peterman being under center as he has had much difficulty finding any stable success. What also helps is that under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
Prediction: Under 42.5