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NFC East division action here as the Dallas Cowboys will travel east to take on the Washington Redskins. It’s a crucial game for determining the division pecking order, and one that both teams need to have. It’s expected to be a close one, with Vegas installing the Redskins as 1.5 point favorites.
Cowboys Get Much Needed Win
The Cowboys, and specifically head coach Jason Garrett, received a ton of flak this past week. Garret made the decision to punt the ball away in overtime against the Texans on Sunday Night Football, and it blew up in his face.
All week, questions were flying about his job security, but with the team having its back up against the wall, they delivered their best performance of the season. They dominated the Jaguars at home, stomping them from start to finish. Ezekiel Elliott had a field day, and Dak Prescott was efficient and finally got his legs involved. The Cowboys always need to have success on the ground if they want to win games due to their weak receiving corp, and they could struggle to do that here.
The Redskins have allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game in the entire league, which doesn’t bode well for Dallas’ offense. The Redskins’ secondary, which can sometimes be exploited like the Saints did two weeks ago, will be able to hold their own against this group of Dallas pass-catchers.
The Cowboys have an underrated defense that is starting to come on strong, but overall the team plays much better at home and tends to struggle on the road. After their best performance in recent memory, it will be interesting to see how they follow it up, but I don’t expect it to go too well.
Redskins Rebound After Primetime Slaughter
This time a week ago, the Redskins were reeling from their absolute drubbing on Monday Night Football at the hands of the New Orleans Saints. They got blown out, with Alex Smith struggling mightily and many blown coverages in their secondary. All eyes were on Smith and how he would respond, and the veteran signal caller delivered at home against the Panthers.
He didn’t have the best game statistically as the team was missing a bunch of weapons, but he managed a clean game and didn’t turn the ball over. The story to monitor this week will be Washington’s health. If receiver Jamison Crowder or running back Chris Thompson can return this week, it’ll be a massive boost to the offense.
— Mike (@MikeCapitol) October 15, 2018
Adrian Peterson ran the ball well, running for 97 yards on 17 carries. If Crowder or Thompson are still out, the Redskins will need Peterson to continue his strong play and once again carry the load offensively. Dallas is right behind Washington in terms of rushing efficiency defense, but they haven’t played many skilled rushing attacks.
Dallas’ pass defense is middle of the pack statistically, but is starting to come on strong. There simply isn’t much reason to believe however, that the Cowboys offense and Prescott will have much success. In three road games this year, Prescott is averaging less than six yards an attempt, with two touchdowns and four interceptions.
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I like the Redskins a lot here. I expect Thompson to play, which will be a massive boost as he’s a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. The Cowboys offense has been pathetic on the road this year, and I see no reason why that won’t continue. Dallas has played a very week schedule overall, and I think they’ll get exposed here.
Prediction: Redskins -2
Full-Game Total Pick
I like the under a lot here too. There’s reason to believe both offenses will struggle, and these two teams are quite familiar with each other. In a division rivalry game, this should be a very physical, hard-fought, low-scoring game. It has a 20-14 feel to it, and should be very slow-paced with both teams looking to run the ball and avoid asking their quarterbacks to do too much.
Prediction: Under 41.5
Half-Time Side Pick
I like the Redskins in the first half a lot here. The Cowboys will be riding high off their big win over Jacksonville, and will come out sluggish as a result. Washington is pretty banged up, but Jay Gruden will have a nice opening script cooked up to put up points right away.
Prediction: Redskins Pick
Half-Time Total Bet
I think this will be a *very* low scoring first half. Washington’s offense has been completely wrecked by injuries, and Dallas hasn’t been able to do anything offensively on the road all season long. Both teams will be running the ball a ton, especially the Redskins and there should be a ton of punts in the first half.
Prediction: Under 20.5