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Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins,
10-21-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#457 Detroit
Lions -3
#458 Miami
Dolphins 47

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins

Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

When: Sunday, October 21, 1:00 PM. ET.

The Detroit Lions will be going for their first road win of the year when they take on the Miami Dolphins, who will be going for their second win in a row, on Sunday afternoon.

Lions Going For Third Win In Four Games

The Lions went into their bye week on a positive note after defeating the Green Bay Packers, which gave them their second win in three games since their 0-2 start to the season. They will be hoping the week off paid off as they go for their third win in their last four games.

Detroit got off to a fast start against the Packers, jumping to a 21-0 lead at the half. However, they struggled to move the ball in the second half, scoring one touchdown the rest of the way. The Lions managed to escape with the 31-23 win thanks to Green Bay kicker Mason Crosby missing four field goals and an extra point.

The Lions will be hoping to avoid another second-half drought when they face the Dolphins, and will also need to play better defensively, after giving up 521 yards to the Packers.

The Lions did a great job trying to establish the run against the Packers, with Kerryon Johnson and LeGarrette Blount finishing with 12 carries. Johnson ran for 70 yards, while Blount ran for 22 yards and two touchdowns.

With the Dolphins giving up 118.2 rushing yards per game, the Lions should be able to move the ball on the ground.

Matthew Stafford had a relatively quiet game for the Lions, completing 53 percent of his passes for 183 yards and two touchdowns. Expect a big game from him against a Dolphins defense that gives up 279 passing yards per game and has given up 11 passing touchdowns in six games.

Dolphins Trying To Improve To 2-0 with Brock Osweiler As Starter

Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill was a late scratch in their win over the Chicago Bears, because of a shoulder injury, and head coach Adam Gase decided to give Brock Osweiler the start.

Osweiler took advantage of the playing time, completing 63 percent of his passes for 380 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, leading the Dolphins to a 31-28 overtime win.

With Tannehill likely to miss this game, the Dolphins will give Osweiler the start against the Lions, hoping he plays as well as he did against the Bears. The coaching staff will need him to protect the ball better than he did against the Bears.

Running back Frank Gore turned back the clock, rushing for 101 yards on 15 carries, giving him his first 100-yard game as a member of the Dolphins. Kenyan Drake, who has split carries with Gore this season, finished with 57 yards on 13 carries. With the Lions giving up 145.8 rushing yards per game, Gore and Drake should have plenty of room to run on Sunday afternoon.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Dolphins have played well against the spread this season, winning four of their six games and five of their last six games. The Lions have struggled against the spread so far, winning two of their five games and seven of their last 19 road games as underdogs, giving the Dolphins the edge.

Prediction: Miami Dolphins +3

Full-Game Total Pick

The total has gone over in five of the Lions’ last six games and six of their last eight road games. The total has also gone over in seven of Miami’s last nine home games, making the over the likely scenario here.

Prediction: Over 46.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

The Dolphins are averaging 21.7 points per game, but even without Tannehill, they should be able to go over 21.5 points in this game against a Lions team that is giving up 27.4 points per game, after their 31 point performance against the Chicago Bears last week.

Prediction: Dolphins – Total Points Over 21.5

Half-Time Side Pick

The Lions are averaging 15.7 points per game in the first half of their last three games, while the Dolphins average seven points. The fact that Detroit’s defense is holding opponents to 5.3 points per game in the first half of their last three games while the Dolphins are giving up eight points per game, gives them the edge in the first half.

Prediction: Detroit Lions -1.5

Half-Time Total Bet

Both teams are combining for 22.7 points in the first half, but they will be unable to go over the total in the first half of this game because their defenses have been very good in the first half, holding opponents to 13.3 combined points at the half.

Prediction: Under 23.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

The Dolphins are averaging seven points per game in the first half of their last three games and will score less than 11.5 points in the first half of this game going against a Lions defense that is giving up 5.3 points per game in the first half of their last three games.

Prediction: Dolphins – 1st Half Total Points Under 11.5

Bosun Akinpelu

I am very passionate about sports, so I kind of feel bad that I get paid to do this. As someone who minored in Mathematics, I have a lot of faith in numbers, and make my picks based on stats and not emotions. I've been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so stick with me if you want to get paid.


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