Featured Video from Scott Reichel
The New England Patriots head to Chi-town to take on “Da Bears” on Sunday at Soldier Field. While the Patriots are coming off of their biggest wins of the season, Chicago dropped a heart-breaker to the Dolphins in Miami. Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky tried to put things in perspective after the loss . . .
The teams have only met 13 times throughout the years with New England having won nine of those, including the last four, but it was, of course, the Bears than won the biggest match up of all, beating the Pats, 46-10 shuffling their way to the Super Bowl XX title.
Patriots Playing Better
It has been a suspect start for the defending AFC Champions, as they dropped early road contests to both the Jaguars and the Lions. Since then, the team has rebounded with three straight victories and now sit tied atop the AFC East with the Miami Dolphins, whom they have already beaten, 38-7 this season.
The game against the Chiefs was a wild back-and-forth affair with neither team ever leading by more than 11 points on the way to the Pats kicking a field goal as time expired for the 43-40 victory. Brady was 24-35 for 340 yards and a touchdown while surprisingly throwing for only one touchdown, but no interceptions. He did rush for another though and Sony pitched 106 yards on the ground and two scores himself. The two squads combined for nearly 1,000 yards with the Patriots getting 500 of them themselves.
On the season the Patriots are averaging 389.5 yards a game, while the Bears are allowing only 17 points less. This will be one of those match ups of offense vs. defense and while defense normally does win championships, this is just the regular season.
Bears Looking to Bounce Back
After blowing a 20-3 lead en route to a one-point loss to the Packers in the season opener, the Bears reeled off three straight victories and seemed like the team to beat in the NFC North. Then this past weekend happened, a 31-28 overtime loss to the Dolphins and suddenly they find themselves in a three-way tie atop the division and just a single game on top of the bottom-feeding Lions.
The defense allowed a touchdown with 3:01 remaining to allow the Fins to take it to OT and it was a missed field goal of their own that set up Miami for the win as they kicked the winner as time expired in OT to avoid yet another tie in this young NFL season. Trubisky threw for 316 yards, and three touchdowns in defeat, but also had an interception. Jordan Howard managed 69 yards on 14 touches while Taylor Gabriel led the way receiving with 110 yards on five grabs.
It's a privilege to play this game. Make sure to enjoy da ride. 🎢 pic.twitter.com/XQxa3Lzwsp
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) October 15, 2018
The Bears offense is actually only earning seven fewer yards per game than that of New England’s high-powered attack and just 1.5 points less. The advantage they have is the defense is allowing five fewer points per game than the Patriots. If the squad can rid the home-side momentum and play solid D, they will turn this into quite the contest.
- 18-40-1 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- 13-39-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week.
New England is:
- 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While the defense will be a tough test for Brady and company, the team is just too hot right now to not be considered a favorite in this one. As a matter of fact, they should be favored to cover the spread. The Bears defense just did not play like themselves against the Dolphins and while some may blame the heat and humidity of Miami, the reality is that these are professional athletes that should be able to show up and play on any day in any location. They showed this past weekend, that they cannot.
Prediction: Patriots -3.5
Full-Game Total Pick
As seen on Sunday night, the New England offense can be prolific, but not against this Bears defense in the windy city. Do not expect Tom Brady to be out there just having a field time this time around. The Bears offense has improved but they are still no world beaters. The Under has hit in five of the last six games the Bears played in after a loss and five of the last six Patriots road games. It has also hit in 12 of the last 15 games in which New England played on grass. The smart play is to stay away from the Over on this one.
Prediction: Under 49.5