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The Cincinnati Bengals will have their hands full Sunday when they host the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a record of 6-2 while the 0-8 Bengals are still looking for their first win of the season. There's a pretty good chance they won't find it against the Ravens, but can they cover? They are 10 point underdogs. Game time is Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.
The Ravens are coming off their best win of the season. They not only just beat the undefeated New England Patriots, they pretty much manhandled them, beating the Pats 37-20. It will be a short week for the Ravens coming off that Sunday night, but they should be rested enough to take care of business in Cincinnati. The Ravens have one of the best rushing offenses in the league and the Bengals have the worst rushing defense in the NFL. You do the math.
The Bengals may be longing for former coach Marvin Lewis, who could never get them over the hump in the playoffs, but always had them competitive. It's been a rough go for new coach Zac Taylor, who has yet to win his first game as a head coach. Quarterback Andy Dalton has had a decent year but the Bengals defense is just horrible. Will they be able to keep it close enough to cover the spread?
The Ravens knock off defending champsThe Ravens are flying high. They are coming off their best win of the season, knocking off the undefeated New England Patriots 37-20 on Sunday night. It was a pretty thorough domination of the defending Super Bowl champs. The Ravens rushed for 210 yards and completely controlled the clock, winning the time of possession battle 27 minutes to 23 minutes. Mark Ingram rushed for 115 yards while Lamar Jackson rushed for 61 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jackson was also efficient as a passer, going 17 for 23 for 163 yards and 1 touchdown. Also, the defense coughed up 2 big Patriot fumbles.
The Ravens offense has been the most productive in the NFL. They average 31 points per game, which is 1st in the NFL. They gain an average of 438 total yards per game, which is 2nd in the league. That includes a 233 ypg in the air, which ranks 21st, and 204 ypg on the ground, which is 1st in the NFL. Defensively, they are solid. The Saints give up 22 points per game, which ranks 16th. They allow 348 yards per game, which is 15th in the NFL. That includes 265 ypg in the air, which is 26th, and just 83 ypg on the ground, which is 2nd in the league.
Bengals still looking for their first winThe Cincinnati Bengals are having a rough year. They are 0-8 and remain the only winless team in the NFL. It's been a rough go for new coach Zac Taylor, who is still looking for his first win. He won't find it here against the Ravens but they are not as bad as the record shows. They've had a lot of close games, losing tight games to the Seahawks, Cardinals, Bills, and even the Ravens last time out. But as the losses pile up, the team starts to lose focus and they start to throw in the towel, especially if the coach can't keep them motivated. This is the territory that the Bengals are in danger of entering. Can they make a stand here against the Ravens?
The Bengals offense has been disappointing. They average just 15 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They gain an average of 341 total yards per game, which is 26th. That includes a league-281 ypg in the air, which is 9th, and just 59 ypg on the ground, which is dead last in the NFL. Defensively, they are not good. The Bengals give up 26 points per game, which ranks 26th. They allow 455 yards per game, which is 32nd in the NFL. That includes 258 ypg in the air, which is 22nd, and just 177 ypg on the ground, which is dead last in the league.
Trends are from Covers.com:
- Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
- Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 10.
- Bengals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10.
- Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Take the Ravens giving up the points. I'm surprised, quite frankly, the spread is this low. I'm hitting the Ravens hard here. Do the math -- the Ravens have one of the best rushing offenses in the league while the Bengals have the absolute worst rushing defense in the NFL. They will not be able to stop Jackson and the Ravens' rushing attack. Yes, the Bengals kept it close last time they played in Baltimore, but I think the Bengals are a dead team walking and I think the rookie coach is in over his head and won't be able to right the ship. Also, the road team is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings between these two division rivals.
Prediction: Baltimore -10
Full-Game Total Pick
Take the over. As mentioned, the Bengals played the Ravens well last time they met in October, but the teams are going in different directions. The Ravens, with their strong running game, will run wild over the Bengals and run up the score at the same time. The Bengals are terrible rushing the ball, but they can pass very well and the Ravens don't have a great secondary. The Bengals will be able to score -- enough to make it into the over. The over is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 versus an AFC North opponent. Also, the over is 6-2 in the Bengals last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games.