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The Los Angeles Chargers look to make it six straight when they head to the Oakland Coliseum on Sunday to take on a Raiders team trying to avoid a fifth straight loss. LA went to Seattle this past Sunday and took down the Seahawks 25-17 while the Silver and Black last played Thursday night and lost to the 49ers in San Francisco, 34-3. The Raiders lead the all-times series 63-53-2, but the Bolts have taken the last three meetings, including a 26-10 victory at home earlier this season. Weather should not be much of a factor here as both teams are from the Golden State and game time temp is expected to be a sunny 71 degrees.
Raiders are Reeling
Not a lot has gone well for Jon Gruden in his return to the Raiders and the NFL coaching ranks. Oakland lost their first three out of the gate in competitive fashion before earning an overtime victory over the lowly Browns at home. Since then they have lost four straight and each one in disastrous fashion, including surrendering a fourth quarter lead against the Colts in which they were outscored 21-0 in the final stanza, and the 31-point loss to the Niners.
— Oakland Raiders (@Raiders) November 6, 2018
They are trying to put the defeat behind them as the reality is, they did not play horribly. They won the time of possession battle, only had four less first downs than San Fran, and did not commit any turnovers. Of course, they did not force any either and were outgained 405 yards to 202. Oh, and allowing 34 straight points after kicking a field goal to open the game did not really help either. The offensive line is banged up and doing a poor job of protecting Derek Carr, who is being sacked at a record pace. Not helping matters is the fact that Center Rodney Hudson and guard Jon Feliciano are both listed as questionable for Sunday’s contest. Running back Doug Martin and Cornerback Daryl Worley are both questionable as well and defensive tackle Justin Ellis has been put on injured reserve. They are giving up 43 yards more per game than they are producing and averaging 40 yards less than the Chargers which if this season’s results are any indication, does not bode well for their chances in this match up.
Los Angeles only Losing to the Best
If you have not noticed, the Chargers are the real deal. Their only two defeats on the season have come against the two teams with the best record in the NFL, the 8-1 Chiefs and Rams. They sit a game-and-a-half behind Kansas City in the AFC West and have outscored their opponents by 40 points through eight games this season. The teams used a big first half that saw them build a nine-point halftime lead against Seattle and then cruised in the second half to the eight-point win. The game was not even that close as a Seahawks touchdown with 1:50 left cut into what was a 15-point deficit before that. The defense held Seattle to just over 350 yards of total offense.
AFC Defensive Player of the Week 👏 pic.twitter.com/mxuFKareMz
— Los Angeles Chargers (@Chargers) November 8, 2018
Philip Rivers is having a very Philip Rivers type season with 19 touchdown passes against just three interceptions and 2,236 yards passing to his point. His favorite receiver Keenan Allen has hauled in 47 catches and has a chance to hit 100 receptions on the season. Melvin Gordon has 579 yards on 107 carries and has found the end zone seven times. Defensive end Joey Bosa is still out, as well as tight end Hunter Henry. Defensive ends Darius Philon and Chris Landrum are each listed as questionable, but even with a banged up defensive line they should still be able to take advantage of one of the worst protecting offensive lines in the NFL. They are averaging 9.9 points more per game than Oakland but those numbers are skewed. It includes Raider games before they gave up. It is tough to imagine a scenario in which the Chargers do not roll here.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Los Angeles is:
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Chargers have already beaten the Raiders once this season. That victory was by 16 points, and while it was at home, it was before Oakland really began their slide. The Silver and Black squad they will play on Sunday is an impressive display of futility. The offense is not producing points, even when they do not turn the ball over, and the defense is as leaky as your grandma’s faucet in that old house with funny smell that she still lives in. This game have Los Angeles victory written allover it, and not by a little . . . by a lot.
Prediction: Pick: Chargers -10
Full-Game Total Pick
Vegas must be under the impression that the Chargers are going to score around 50 points because we already know the Raiders are not going to score many, if any. Oakland has a knack for scoring on their opening pre-scripted drive, but if Los Angeles can stop them from doing that, then the Raiders seriously may not score this game. The Chargers will of course, but put up 40-some odd points is a lot to ask on the road, even of veteran super start quarterback Philip Rivers. The Under has hit six of the last seven times LA played against a divisional opponent and four of their last five games in November. It will hit again on Sunday.
Prediction: Under 50