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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-17-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#457 Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars 2.5
#458 Indianapolis Colts
Colts -2.5

Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Jacksonville Jaguars

4 - 5

5-4
ATS
4-4
O/U
19
PPG
20
OPPG

Indianapolis Colts

5 - 4

4-5
ATS
5-4
O/U
21
PPG
21
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Fresh off a disappointing loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Indianapolis Colts will host division rival Jacksonville in Week 11 at 1:00 P.M ET. They hope to have Jacoby Brissett back for the game after he missed last week's loss to Miami unexpectedly.

Jacksonville also has some quarterback news as Nick Foles, acquired this offseason, also returns from the injury list. Foles last played in Week 1 when he broke his clavicle and opened the door for rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew. The Jaguars are coming off a bye week.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis will be broadcast on CBS.

Foles Time in Jax

Rookie Gardner Minshew II kept the Jacksonville Jaguars alive during their first nine games, throwing 13 touchdown passes and just 4 interceptions. The Jags won four games during the Minshew II coming-out party, which is why they're going back to their original plan, Nick Foles.

Foles broke his clavicle in the first quarter of his first game in Jacksonville and is finally healthy again. He'll start for Jacksonville this week and has historically been amazing down the stretch.

"Is there anyone you'd rather have down the stretch than this guy," NFL Network analyst Peter Schrager said, referencing Foles. "The Jaguars are still in this thing."

On the defensive side, the Jags have been solid recently, allowing 17.7 points per game in their last four. Former first-round pick D.J. Hayden is expected back as well after missing their last game, as is starting linebacker Leon Jacobs, who missed their last two games. Calais Campbell, who is second on the team with 5.5 sacks, is questionable.

Foles should also have Dede Westbrook back after missing last game.

Colts Need to Bounce Back

After starting the season 5-3, the Indianapolis Colts took a step back last week by losing to the lowly Miami Dolphins. Luckily, that game featured Brian Hoyer at quarterback, a guy who hadn't started a game since 2017. Hoyer threw three picks and completed less than 50 percent of his throws.

Regular starter Jacoby Brissett, thankfully, is expected to be back this week for the Colts against their division rivals. He's done a great job of taking care of the ball this year while pushing the ball down the field. He has three interceptions on 236 passing attempts and he's mobile enough to avoid the rush and make plays. In eight games, he's taken just 12 sacks.

The Jaguars rank 22nd against the run this year, so you can expect a heavy dose of Marlon Mack on Sunday. Mack may be the best weapon the Colts have. He's on pace for 1,339 rushing yards and he can also handle the ball in the passing game if needed.

Jack Doyle is questionable for Sunday's game. He has 27 receptions this year and three touchdowns. Leading tackler and reigning Defensive Rookie of the Year Darius Leonard is also questionable.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Jaguars are going to be a new team this week against Indianapolis because Nick Foles is coming back. That may be a detriment, in my opinion. They haven't enough live rounds with Foles this year and I'm fairly certain some players are still in Camp Minshew II. It was a bold move taking him out for Foles and that may have sat funny with some guys. On top of that, the Jags rank 22nd against the run and the Colts have one of the best backs in the league, Marlon Mack. Plus, we get home-field advantage, a better coach and organization, and the return of Jacoby Brissett.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -3

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This is one of the best spots of the weekend. For this game to go over, you have to count on both teams rocking and rolling on offense. I don't see it happening with Foles and Brissett both coming back from injuries. The Jags have allowed 17.7 points per game in their last four games, while the Colts are allowing 19.5 over their last four. Plus, this is a division rivalry with bad blood and the under has hit four times in their last five meetings.

Prediction: Under 43.5

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

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