Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Raymond James Field
When: Sunday, November 17, 2019, 1:00 pm ET
We have an NFC South matchup to consider for Sunday when the New Orleans Saints meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. New Orleans is 7-2 this season and is coming off a 26-9 home loss at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons. Tampa Bay is 3-6 this season and they snapped a four-game losing streak when they defeated the Arizona Cardinals at home by a score of 30-27 against the Arizona Cardinals.
Saints Four Game Winning Streak Snapped by AtlantaThe Saints had a six-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in a 26-9 home loss to the Atlanta Falcons. The loss leaves New Orleans with a 7-2 record but they are still in first place with a two-game lead over the Carolina Panthers in the NFC South. Sunday is a HUGE game for the Saints, and they will want to win this game for further separation from the rest of the division.
Tampa Bay allows the most passing yards in the NFL and future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees is going to have a big day against this defense. Brees has thrown for 1068 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions over his four games this season. Brees has also been sacked seven times this season as the offensive line does an excellent job protecting its prized possession.
Brees will look to wide receiver Michael Thomas, and he’s had a big season, hauling in 86 passes for 1027 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr should see some targets, and he’s caught 20 balls for 296 yards and one touchdown. Tight end Jared Cook is active this week and has 21 receptions for 241 yards and a pair of scores this season.
Tampa Bay has the best rushing defense in the NFL, and if anyone can penetrate that stout defense, it’s running back Alvin Kamara. Kamara has 397 rushing yards with one score plus an extra 326 receiving yards and one touchdown. Running back, Latavious Murray has 371 rushing yards with a team-high four rushing touchdowns with an additional 160 receiving yards and one trip to the end zone.
Bucs Snap Four Game Losing StreakThe Buccaneers snapped a four-game losing streak with a 30-27 home victory over the Arizona Cardinals. The win leaves Tampa Bay in third place in the NFC South with a record of 3-6. With seven games remaining on the schedule, the Buccaneers will likely have to go on an incredible winning streak to reach the playoffs. That run needs to begin with the Saints at home on Sunday.
"In two-minute situations and bringing us from behind, he's been excellent."— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 13, 2019
➡️: HC Bruce Arians on QB Jameis Winston pic.twitter.com/dWn4HbZZOV
New Orleans allows 244 passing yards per game, and it will be up to quarterback Jameis Winston to lead this football team. Winston has thrown for 2765 yards with 17 touchdowns and 14 interceptions with an additional 139 yards and has been sacked 34 times this season. That could be problematic against a Saints defense with 25 sacks this season.
Winston has two targets that seem to have all his attention; wideout Mike Evans has 54 receptions for 924 yards with seven touchdowns this season. Chris Godwin has 840 receiving yards with six touchdowns, and Winston will also look to tight end O.J. Howard, who has 233 receiving yards with one touchdown this season.
The Saints allow 90 rushing yards per game and running back Ronald Jones Jr is leading the Bucs with 410 rushing yards per game with four scores and an extra 201 receiving yards. Running back Peyton Barber could also see some action on Sunday, and he’s rushed for 320 yards, four touchdowns with 37 receiving yards this season.
- Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are
- Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The previous road struggles aside, Drew Brees is due for a monster game, and he'll have plenty of opportunities against the putrid Bucs pass defense. Michael Thomas should have a huge game, and they will lead the Saints to a victory on Sunday. Winston and the Bucs will push the Saints, but in the end, the Tampa Bay offense will likely turn the ball over too much, and that will be their undoing.
I will lay the points and play the Saints to cover the spread.
Prediction: Saints -5.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This is going to be a shootout because the rushing defense on both teams is too good and will force both sides to throw the ball. That is in both teams wheelhouse and this one could exceed the total by the end of the third quarter. Tampa Bay has the worst pass defense in the NFL and the Saints pass defense is the better of the two, but nothing to write home about.
I will play the OVER in this game.
Prediction: Over 50