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Check out our best bets in this week’s Fab Five-NFL Edition:
It’s a clash of two NFC powers here as the Philadelphia Eagles travel to take on the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are riding high off their recent win over the Los Angeles Rams and demolition of the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Eagles are reeling after their embarrassing home loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. The Eagles are the defending Super Bowl champions, but oddsmakers have the Saints as eight-point favorites here.
To say 2018 has been a disappointment for the Eagles would be a massive understatement. Nick Foles fell flat in the first couple of games, and Carson Wentz hasn’t looked quite right. The defense has been riddled with injuries, and the Eagles suddenly find themselves two games back of the division-leading Redskins.
The team lost the two brains of the offense, coordinator Frank Reich and quarterbacks coach John DeFilippo, to other teams and haven’t looked the same since. Their most recent effort was an embarrassing home loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. The Eagles’ once stout defensive front let Ezekiel Elliot run wild, and the team lost by seven.
— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) November 15, 2018
As part of an effort to rally the troops, Doug Pederson reportedly called a meeting with 12 of his veteran players and implored them to be leaders. Everything the Eagles are saying this week indicates that they know this is a must-win game, and they’ll be going all out. They did lose cornerback Ronald Darby to a torn ACL in the Cowboys game which is a big loss, but they’ll have to get more pressure on Drew Brees to alleviate his loss.
Saints Riding High
No team in the NFL is hotter than the Saints right now. Two weeks ago, they beat the last undefeated team in the league in the Rams, and they demolished the Bengals by 37 points last week on the road. Drew Brees is one of the front-runners for MVP, and it doesn’t look like this offense can be slowed. That being said, this could be a bad spot for New Orleans. It’s possible they’ve gotten a bit complacent, and they could come out pretty flat after their recent huge victories.
That’s in direct contrast to the Eagles, who will be extremely motivated to win this game. The Eagles should have a decided effort and adrenaline advantage, and that could help keep this game close. It’s the perfect time to sell high on the Saints, even though they are one of the league’s best teams. Don’t be fooled though, the Saints defense is still a glaring weakness. They only gave up 14 points to the Bengals, but the Bengals are inept right now and were playing without A.J. Green.
The secondary is still a major liability and could get exposed here by Wentz, Alshon Jeffery, Zach Ertz, and others. The Saints beat the Vikings 30-20 a couple of weeks ago, but were significantly outgained and benefited from some bad luck fluke plays the Vikings had. The defense has been getting lucky, and I think things will correct themselves here.
- 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I love the Eagles here. It’s the perfect buy-low, sell-high opportunity, and I think the Saints are due for a letdown. It’s often a good idea to back a team coming off an embarrassing primetime loss on national TV, and I think the Eagles will give their best effort of the season here in a must-win spot.
Prediction: Eagles +8
Full-Game Total Pick
I like the over a lot here. The loss of Ronald Darby is massive for the Eagles’ secondary, and they should be exploited for some big plays by Michael Thomas. The Saints’ secondary is also pretty weak, and this one should turn into a shootout. With two great offensive minds as coaches, this one should have a ton of points.