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This might be the marquee matchup of the weekend. The Dallas Cowboys head to New England to face the Patriots. Is this a Super Bowl preview? Many thought so at the beginning of the year. While the 9-1 Patriots are where most people thought they'd be, the Cowboys have struggled a bit at 6-4. The Pats are 6 point favorites in the early lines. Kickoff is Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.
The Cowboys have been hard to figure out this year. They were the pick of many to reach the Super Bowl this year, but it hasn't been smooth sailing for the 'Boys. In their three games against good teams, the Saints, Packers, and Vikings, they've lost them all. They've taken care of business against the bad to average teams. Even last week, they had to sweat to beat the Matt Stafford-less Lions 35-27.
The Pats have been winning ugly. Their defense has been great, their offense not so much. But they have been doing enough to win. Last week, they barely survived against a banged-up Eagles team, winning 17-10. Despite the fact that they are 9-1, they have had an easy schedule so its hard to tell how good they really are. They are definitely vulnerable to a good team. It will be interesting to see how the defense holds up against the Cowboys.
Cowboys need a big winThe Dallas Cowboys are 6-4 on the year and they hold a one-game lead over the Eagles in the NFC East. Honestly, I thought the Cowboys would be better at this point, playing in the awful NFC East. They have underperformed so far at 6-4. But the good news is there is time for them to make a late-season push to be the Super Bowl contender many thought they would be. It starts with this week's game at New England.
Truth is, the Cowboys have not done well against good teams. In their three games against good teams, the Saints, Packers, and Vikings, they've lost them all. They've beaten the bad teams, but even there they have been unimpressive. Last week, they had to sweat to beat the Matt Stafford-less Lions 35-27. The Lions were also without their best running back, Kerryon Johnson. They cut it to a touchdown when backup QB Jeff Driskel hit Marvin Jones for a touchdown.
New England gets it done in PhillyIt wasn't pretty, but the New England Patriots got a 17-10 win last Sunday in Philadelphia against the Eagles. The win improved the Patriots record to 9-1 on the year and hold a 2 game lead over the Bills in the awful AFC East. Their defense won it again as the offense has struggled. But I still have questions about the Pats. They had a historically easy schedule in their first 8 games. Even in this win over Philly, they beat a team missing their top two receivers and their starting running back.
Do or do not. There is no try.— Tom Brady (@TomBrady) November 20, 2019
- Adult Yoda pic.twitter.com/18cqq9TNXD
It will be interesting to see how the Pats defense holds up against the Cowboys. The Cowboys have a great offense that's fully loaded. Dak Prescott has been playing great. The Pats offense has struggled. Tom Brady had a bad night against Philly going 26 for 47 for 216 yards and no touchdowns. I don't think that will get it done against Dallas. New England had less than 300 total yards and Sony Michel only had 33 yards on the ground.
Trends are from Covers.com: n/a
- Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Take the Cowboys getting the points. The Cowboys haven't defeated the Patriots since the days of Troy Aikman and Emmitt Smith. The last time these two teams played was 2015 when the Pats won 30-6. I'm not sure they'll be able to get over the hump here but they will cover a spread that's too large. I think the Pats D is overrated and will be exposed by a very good Dallas attack. The Pats offense will have to step up against a good Dallas D, which is ranked 7th in the NFL. I'm not convinced they will do that, which is why Dallas will cover the spread.
Full-Game Total Pick
Take the under here. When you have the 4th best offense against the third-best offense in the NFL, you would think you'd see a lot of points. But the Pats numbers are inflated by some wins over garbage teams while the Cowboys are facing one of the best defenses in the league. This will be another defensive battle featuring the No. 1 defense against the No. 7 defense. Don't look for a lot of points here. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Also, the under is 9-1 in Patriots last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Also, the under is 6-1 in the Cowboys last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record.