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Detroit Lions vs. Washington Redskins Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-24-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#265 Detroit Lions
Lions -3.5
#266 Washington Redskins
Redskins 3.5

Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Lions

3 - 6

4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
24
PPG
27
OPPG

Washington Redskins

1 - 9

3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
12
PPG
25
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

After losing in Week 11, the Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins will face off in Week 12 at FedEx Field in Landover, MD. Kickoff is set for 1:00 P.M ET on FOX.

The big question for the Lions is their quarterback situation. Jeff Driskel played well last week against the Dallas Cowboys, posting a passer rating over 100.0, but Stafford was having a resurgent season before suffering a back injury. According to Pro Football Talk, there is "no timetable for his return."

For the Redskins, they suffered a bad loss last week against a two-win Jets team. On the bright side, rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins threw his first two touchdown passes of his career.

Lions Rolling With Driskel

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has had a bounce-back season in 2019, improving his passer rating 16.1 points over last year. Unfortunately, Stafford won't be available on Sunday against Washington. He also missed the last two Lions games.

"Whenever we all deem it's the right time for me to get back out there, I'll be out there," Stafford told the official Lions website (via ESPN).

Jeff Driskel will start in his place against Washington. It will be his third start of the year. Through two games, he has been good, but not great. The team has gone 0-2 and Driskel is averaging 6.6 yards per attempt. Compared to Stafford, who was averaging a career-high 8.6 yards per attempt, it's a big step back for their passing game but it could be worse. Driskel has never played against Washington in his career.

One of Detroit's best pass-rushers, Trey Flowers, is also questionable. For a team that struggles in that department already, ranking 29th in the NFL with two sacks per game, that could really hurt. Luckily, the Redskins offensive line is one of the worst units in all of football.

Skins Are Worst in NFC

By some metrics, the Washington Redskins are the worst team in the NFL. They have scored the least amount of points (125) and they're averaging the least passing yards per game of all 32 NFL teams (169.8). Their only win this season has come against the Miami Dolphins, a one-point victory, and only Cincinnati and Miami have worse point-differentials.

Washington has already fired their head coach, Jay Gruden, replacing him with Bill Callahan, and they're on to their third quarterback of the season, rookie Dwayne Haskins. Haskins hasn't looked good this year. Of all quarterbacks with at least 50 attempts, only Josh Rosen and Ryan Finley have lower passer ratings. Haskins did throw his first two touchdown passes last weekend but one was a screen pass that Derrius Guice took 45 yards for a score and the other was a one-yard touchdown pass with one minute remaining when they were down 34-11.

Haskins was a first-round pick, though, and he's bound to show some signs of improvement soon. Having Guice score against the Jets was big for them; Guice has dealt with numerous injuries since getting drafted last year and the screen-pass touchdown was his first at the NFL level.

Notable players questionable for the Skins are running back Chris Thompson, receiver Paul Richardson Jr., and punter Tress Way.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I don't advise betting on the Washington Redskins often, but this is as good of a spot as they'll have this season. They're going up against a back-up quarterback, a third-string running back, and a defense that ranks 27th in the NFL in points allowed per game. Take that, along with the fact the Skins will have home-field advantage and 3.5 points to work with and you literally can't go wrong. This is the right side regardless of the outcome. It's an old-school wiseguy play; take the points at home. Public action is 77% on Detroit, also, but don't follow that action. Fade it and cash in on the Redskins.

Prediction: Washington Redskins +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

It's hard to look at trends for the Lions right now because they're such a different team right now. They have backups playing at their main positions and Jeff Driskel is no Matthew Stafford. As for the Redskins, six of their last seven games have stayed under. That's a real trend and one that's going to carry forward here. They won't put too much on Haskins plate. Instead, I expect them to give Guice his heaviest workload of the season, along with some sprinkles of AP's tough running style. Washington wins this one 16-13.

Prediction: Under 41.5

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

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