Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium
When: Sunday, November 24, 2019, 1:00 pm ET
We have an AFC matchup to discuss when the Miami Dolphins of the AFC East meet the Cleveland Browns of the AFC North for a Sunday afternoon of tackle football. Miami enters this contest with a 2-8 record and has won two of its last three games. Cleveland is 4-6 this season and enters this matchup riding a two-game winning streak. This is a big game for the Browns, and let’s see if the Dolphins can spoil Cleveland’s playoff hopes with an upset victory.
Dolphins Have Won Two of Last Three GamesThe Dolphins have won two of its last three games and seem to be playing better football. Miami posted good wins over the New York Jets at home and on the road against the Indianapolis Colts, so this tackle football team certainly knows how to win games. Miami enters this game coming off a 37-20 home loss to the Buffalo Bills, but they fought hard, and they will be ready for the Cleveland Browns.
Dolphins Live: Ryan Fitzpatrick meets with the media https://t.co/BKYIlOgbr5— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 20, 2019
Cleveland allows 237.9 passing yards per game, and Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has some arm injuries he’s dealing with but was a limited participant at Wednesday’s practice. Fitzpatrick has thrown for 1687 yards with as many touchdowns (8) as interceptions with an additional 74 rushing yards with two touchdowns. Fitzpatrick has been sacked 24 times, and that could become problematic against the Browns and their 30 sacks this season.
Wide receiver DeVante Parker is the Dolphins leading receiver, and he’s hauled in 40 balls for 604 yards and four touchdowns. Tight end Mike Gesicki has 26 receptions for 294 yards, and wideout Allen Hurns has seen an uptick in production since Preston Williams was lost for the season. Hurns has 17 catches for 223 yards and a touchdown.
The Browns allow 127 rushing yards per game, and leading the way for Miami is running back Mark Walton, but he’s been cut from the team for legal reasons and won’t be playing Sunday. Dolphins running back Kalen Ballage is the Miami leading active rusher, and he’s rambled for 122 yards with three touchdowns plus an extra 50 receiving yards. We might see rookie running back Patrick Laird on Sunday, and he’s rushed for 11 yards this season.
Browns Two Game Winning StreakCleveland has won two consecutive games but has found its way into controversy, and team sacks leader Myles Garrett has been suspended indefinitely. Defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi is also suspended for this game for his actions in their Monday night victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Browns' two wins were both at home and snapped a three-game home losing streak, raising its home record to 2-3 this season. Cleveland still has a chance to win the AFC North, and that would begin with a victory over Miami this Sunday.
RB Nick Chubb at the podium https://t.co/PEw4Np81HX— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) November 20, 2019
Miami allows 254 passing yards per game, and Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield will look to make a dent in the Dolphins defense. Mayfield has thrown for 2394 yards with 11 touchdowns alongside 12 interceptions. Mayfield has an additional 77 rushing yards with a pair of scores alongside 26 sacks. The Dolphins have just 13 sacks this season, but offensive lineman Joe Bitonio and Kendall Lamm are both listed as questionable, and that could increase the Dolphins sack total.
Wideout Jarvis Landry leads the Browns with 695 receiving yards with a team-high three receiving touchdowns and is listed as questionable for this matchup with a hip injury. Odell Beckham Jr has 692 yards with one touchdown and tight end Ricky Seals-Jones has 155 receiving yards with two touchdowns this season.
The Dolphins allow 148 rushing yards per game and running back Nick Chubb leads the way with 1011 yards with six touchdowns plus an additional 166 receiving yards. Running back Kareem Hunt has rushed for 42 yards with 90 receiving yards this season.
- Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Browns are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Browns are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are
- Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cleveland Browns might win this game, but I don't see them covering the 10.5 points. Miami may have a poor record, but Fitzpatrick is a fighter, and the Dolphins seem to find a way to stay in games. Mayfield has more interceptions than touchdowns, and while he gets plenty of recognition, defenses seem to rise whenever they play the Browns. Cleveland will likely be missing two offensive linemen, and that will affect not only Mayfield but the Browns running game. I will take the points and go with the Dolphins to cover.
Prediction: Dolphins +10.5
Full-Game Total Pick
I don't see that much scoring going on in this matchup. Neither offense is very good and I think the defenses here are better than the respective offenses. Miami fights and not with their fists but plays hard for 60 minutes every week and they will throw the kitchen sink at Mayfield. The injuries to the Cleveland offensive line will hurt the Browns offense and that will also keep the scoring down. I will be playing the UNDER in this game.
Prediction: Under 44.5 Points