Upcoming Free Picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-24-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#263 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buccaneers 3.5
#264 Atlanta Falcons
Falcons -3.5

Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3 - 7

2-8
ATS
8-2
O/U
27
PPG
31
OPPG

Atlanta Falcons

3 - 7

3-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
21
PPG
26
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Fresh off their two two-game winning streaks of the season, the Atlanta Falcons will host division rival Tampa Bay at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. The game is set for a 1:00 P.M ET kickoff on FOX. New Orleans currently leads the NFC South with an 8-2 record but these two 3-7 teams still have a shot with some help.

Tampa Bay needs better play at the quarterback position. Jameis Winston currently leads the NFL in interceptions with 18. No other quarterback even has 15 interceptions this year.

This will be the first meeting of the season between Tampa Bay and Atlanta. They'll also meet in the season finale on Tampa Bay's turf. Atlanta won both meetings last year, though both games were settled by one score.

Tampa Bay is Explosive

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had a rough first season under head coach Bruce Ariens, at least in terms of record. The Bucs are currently 3-7 on the season and have just one win since Week 4 when they upset the LA Rams.

If you have watched the Bucs this year, you know their makeup. This is a team that is going to score on every team they play. They take big shots and are the only losing team with a Top 10 offense. The Bucs rank sixth in points per game (27.7 ppg) and total yards per game (380.4 ypg).

Now, we get to the reason why they're 3-7; Tampa Bay can't stop opposing offenses and Jameis Winston's NFL-leading 18 interceptions put them in tough spots far too often. They currently rank dead last in scoring defense, allowing a head-scratching 31.3 points per game. Even in their wins, they're allowing 27 points per game, and Tampa Bay leads the NFL in giveaways per game (2.5).

Falcons Heating Up

Don't look now but the Atlanta Falcons are heating up. They are coming off their first set of back-to-back wins this season, but the damage may already be done. Atlanta is 3-7 on the year and they have less than one-percent chance to make the postseason, per FiveThirtyEight.

The Falcons have managed to turn things around without some of their best weapons, which is a testament to Matt Ryan, who missed the game before their two wins, and their defense. The offensive line kept Ryan upright and he delivered. Ryan only took four sacks combined in their last two games after taking 14 combined in his previous four games.

As for the defense, they only allowed 12 points combined in their last two games, both against offenses ranking in the Top 15 in points per game. Every game prior, they allowed at least 20 points and in the four games leading up to their two wins, they were allowing 37.8 points per game.

Devonta Freeman missed Atlanta's last game and hasn't practiced this week. He's listed as questionable. Julio Jones (59 rec) and Austin Hooper (56 rec) are also listed as questionable for Sunday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

This line is a gift, there's no doubt about it. It's a classic situation where the Atlanta Falcons are being overvalued by the public after two straight wins. Public money is coming in heavy on Atlanta (70%) and that tells us all we need to know. Tampa Bay with the points is a must-bet this Sunday. Atlanta is all banged up and their two wins are more fluke than anything else. They showed us who they were over the first two months, and that is a team that cannot stop anyone. Tampa Bay has one of the best offenses in the league and they're the perfect group to put an end to the mini-run by Atlanta. Plus, Tampa Bay hasn't covered in their last six games; they're SO OVERDUE for a cover. That said, the Bucs win outright here.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Before winning two in a row, the Atlanta Falcons allowed 151 points in their four games prior. This defense isn't great, they were just the beneficiary of two good situations. The game against Tampa Bay is a bad situation; the Falcons rank 26th in passing yards allowed, which is the Bucs strong suit. Plus, they don't force turnovers, which is something that's killed Jameis and the Bucs offense. Atlanta ranks 31st in takeaways per game. On the other side, the Falcons offense has been solid all year. They'll be able to move the ball at will against the Bucs' 32nd ranked defense. This one will be an absolute shootout.

Prediction: Over 51

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

Upcoming Free Picks

Sunday, Dec 15
NFL
#305 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 47.5
#306 Detroit Lions 3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#307 Philadelphia Eagles 40
#308 Washington Redskins 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#309 Chicago Bears 41
#310 Green Bay Packers -4.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#311 New England Patriots 40
#312 Cincinnati Bengals 9
1:00pm
View Pick
#313 Houston Texans 47.5
#314 Tennessee Titans -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#315 Seattle Seahawks 48.5
#316 Carolina Panthers 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#317 Denver Broncos 46.5
#318 Kansas City Chiefs -11.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#319 Miami Dolphins 48
#320 New York Giants -3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#323 Jacksonville Jaguars 44.5
#324 Oakland Raiders -6.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#325 Cleveland Browns 47
#326 Arizona Cardinals 3
4:05pm
View Pick
#331 Minnesota Vikings 46
#332 Los Angeles Chargers 2
4:05pm
View Pick
#327 Atlanta Falcons 45.5
#328 49ers -10.5
4:25pm
View Pick
#329 Los Angeles Rams 47
#330 Dallas Cowboys 1
4:25pm
View Pick
#321 Buffalo Bills 37
#322 Pittsburgh Steelers -2
8:20pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 15
NBA
#565 Orlando Magic
#566 New Orleans Pelicans
3:35pm
View Pick
#567 Charlotte Hornets
#568 Indiana Pacers
5:05pm
View Pick
#569 Philadelphia 76ers
#570 Brooklyn Nets
6:05pm
View Pick
#571 Los Angeles Lakers
#572 Atlanta Hawks
6:05pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 15
NCAAB
#775 Illinois ST.
#776 N. Kentucky
2:00pm
View Pick
#777 Oklahoma ST.
#778 Houston
3:00pm
View Pick
#779 NC ST.
#780 UNC Greensboro
3:00pm
View Pick
#781 Drexel
#782 USF
4:00pm
View Pick
#783 Purdue
#784 Nebraska
4:00pm
View Pick
#785 S. Illinois
#786 Missouri
4:00pm
View Pick
#787 SIU - Edwardsville
#788 Northwestern
4:00pm
View Pick
#789 Cleveland ST.
#790 Bowling Green
4:00pm
View Pick
#791 Wofford
#792 N. Carolina (UNC)
4:00pm
View Pick
#795 Cal Riverside
#796 Washington ST.
4:30pm
View Pick
#797 S. Carolina
#798 Clemson
5:00pm
View Pick
#799 Georgia S.
#800 Bradley
5:00pm
View Pick
#801 Cal ST. N.ridge
#802 Pacific
6:00pm
View Pick
#805 Long Beach ST.
#806 USC
6:30pm
View Pick
#807 Missouri ST.
#808 VCU
7:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NFL
#333 Indianapolis Colts 44
#334 New Orleans Saints -9
8:15pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NCAAB
#823 S. Miss
#824 Texas Tech
7:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#201 Buffalo 56.5
#202 Charlotte 5.5
2:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#207 C. Michigan 40
#208 San Diego ST. -4
2:00pm
View Pick
#209 Liberty 55
#210 Georgia S. -5
2:30pm
View Pick
#211 SMU 72
#212 FAU 3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#215 Washington 49
#216 Boise ST. 3.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#223 Miami - FL
#224 Louisiana Tech
4:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#227 N. Carolina (UNC)
#228 Temple
12:00pm
View Pick
#233 USC
#234 Iowa
8:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#239 Memphis
#240 Penn ST.
12:00pm
View Pick
#241 Oklahoma
#242 LSU
4:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 30
NCAAF
#247 Louisville
#248 Mississippi St
4:00pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#253 Kentucky
#254 Virginia Tech
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Georgia ST.
#260 Wyoming
4:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#263 Michigan
#264 Alabama
1:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Jan 3
NCAAF
#275 Ohio U
#276 Nevada
3:30pm
View Pick